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Vita Coco’s Q4 Earnings Call: Our Top 5 Analyst Questions

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Vita Coco’s fourth quarter results reflected a mix of progress and ongoing headwinds, as revenue surpassed Wall Street expectations but earnings per share came in below consensus. Management identified healthy international momentum and improved U.S. distribution as key drivers, but noted that flat overall sales and lower sales volumes were weighed down by lingering inventory and tariff-related costs. CEO Martin F. Roper acknowledged, "We operated the quarter primarily on spot rates, with some fixed price arrangements on certain lanes to secure capacity," highlighting the company’s tactical approach to navigating supply chain challenges.

Is now the time to buy COCO? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

Vita Coco (COCO) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $127.8 million vs analyst estimates of $120.4 million (flat year on year, 6.2% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.14 vs analyst estimates of $0.12 (17.3% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $14.1 million vs analyst estimates of $10.73 million (11% margin, 31.5% beat)
  • EBITDA guidance for the upcoming financial year 2026 is $125 million at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $122.7 million
  • Operating Margin: 8%, up from 3.4% in the same quarter last year
  • Sales Volumes fell 3.7% year on year (19.3% in the same quarter last year)
  • Market Capitalization: $3.15 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Vita Coco’s Q4 Earnings Call

  • Eric Des Lauriers (Craig-Hallum): asked about the cadence of private label growth and white space opportunities in the U.S. Corey Baker explained growth should ramp after Q1 as new customer wins are phased in, and described the private label opportunity as diversified but still subject to “lumpy” retailer decisions.
  • Eric Des Lauriers (Craig-Hallum): inquired about international acceleration and whether Europe is poised for ongoing growth. Roper responded that international is a developing market, with the U.K. and Germany several years behind the U.S. and substantial runway for per capita consumption increases.
  • James Ronald Salera (Stephens): questioned the Walmart placement and whether new shelf space was attracting different consumer demographics. Roper said it’s too early for detailed buyer data but emphasized the improved visibility and potential for other retailers to follow Walmart’s lead.
  • James Ronald Salera (Stephens): asked about marketing strategies to drive hydration and sports positioning. Chairman Michael Kirban pointed to expanded partnerships in youth sports and media campaigns emphasizing electrolytes and natural sourcing.
  • Michael Scott Lavery (Piper Sandler): asked about the company’s use of cash and M&A plans. CFO Corey Baker reiterated that growth investments in the core brand remain the priority, with M&A considered only if opportunities meet strategic and valuation criteria.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In the coming quarters, StockStory analysts will closely watch (1) the pace and sustainability of international sales momentum, particularly in the U.K. and Germany; (2) the effect of Walmart’s expanded shelf space on U.S. brand penetration and potential moves by other retailers; and (3) the impact of tariff exemptions and lower freight rates on gross margins. The evolution of private label partnerships and new product rollouts will also be key indicators of execution.

Vita Coco currently trades at $53.25, down from $56.52 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

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