
Wall Street has issued downbeat forecasts for the stocks in this article. These predictions are rare - financial institutions typically hesitate to say bad things about a company because it can jeopardize their other revenue-generating business lines like M&A advisory.
At StockStory, we look beyond the headlines with our independent analysis to determine whether these bearish calls are justified. That said, here are three stocks where the skepticism is well-placed and some better opportunities to consider.
Doximity (DOCS)
Consensus price target: $31.11 (-5.1% implied return)
With over 80% of U.S. physicians as members of its digital community, Doximity (NYSE: DOCS) operates a digital platform that enables physicians and other healthcare professionals to collaborate, stay current with medical news, manage their careers, and conduct virtual patient visits.
Why Does DOCS Worry Us?
- Average billings growth of 7.9% over the last year was subpar, suggesting it struggled to push its software and might have to lower prices to stimulate demand
- Estimated sales growth of 5% for the next 12 months implies demand will slow from its two-year trend
- Costs have risen faster than its revenue over the last year, causing its operating margin to decline by 10.5 percentage points
Doximity is trading at $32.79 per share, or 9.3x forward price-to-sales. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why DOCS doesn’t pass our bar.
Molson Coors (TAP)
Consensus price target: $43.62 (8.9% implied return)
Sporting an impressive roster of iconic beer brands, Molson Coors (NYSE: TAP) is a global brewing giant with a rich history dating back more than two centuries.
Why Do We Avoid TAP?
- Falling unit sales over the past two years suggest it might have to lower prices to stimulate growth
- Expenses have increased as a percentage of revenue over the last year as its operating margin fell by 37 percentage points
- Below-average returns on capital indicate management struggled to find compelling investment opportunities, and its falling returns suggest its earlier profit pools are drying up
At $40.06 per share, Molson Coors trades at 8.5x forward P/E. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than TAP.
Avantor (AVTR)
Consensus price target: $17.35 (8.9% implied return)
With roots dating back to 1904 and embedded in virtually every stage of scientific research and production, Avantor (NYSE: AVTR) provides mission-critical products, materials, and services to customers in biopharma, healthcare, education, and advanced technology industries.
Why Do We Think AVTR Will Underperform?
- Absence of organic revenue growth over the past two years suggests it may have to lean into acquisitions to drive its expansion
- Adjusted operating margin declined by 6.5 percentage points over the last five years as its sales cratered
- Earnings per share decreased by more than its revenue over the last five years, showing each sale was less profitable
Avantor’s stock price of $15.93 implies a valuation ratio of 19.1x forward P/E. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including AVTR in your portfolio.
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