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AX Q3 deep dive: Loan growth, deposit acquisitions, and stable margins amid shifting funding mix

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Digital banking company Axos Financial (NYSE: AX) reported Q3 2026 results topping the market’s revenue expectations, with sales up 22.2% year on year to $395.1 million. Its non-GAAP profit of $2.34 per share was 3.7% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy AX? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

Axos Financial (AX) Q3 2026 highlights:

  • Revenue $395.1 million vs S&P analysts’ estimates of $386.4 million (22.2% year-on-year growth, 2.2% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS $2.34 vs S&P analysts’ estimates of $2.26 (3.7% beat)
  • Market capitalization $5.25 billion

StockStory’s take

Axos Financial’s third quarter results for 2026 showed strong revenue and earnings growth, but the market responded negatively, reflecting investor caution about the sustainability of recent momentum. Management attributed the results to robust loan growth across multiple business lines, particularly in capital call, real estate lender finance, and equipment finance. CEO Gregory Garrabrants pointed to a deliberate strategy to reduce higher-cost deposits and temporarily increase Federal Home Loan Bank advances as the company prepared for the incoming Jenius Bank deposit acquisition. He also noted, “We continue to generate high returns as evidenced by the over 16% return on average common equity and 1.8% return on assets.”

Looking ahead, Axos Financial’s outlook is shaped by anticipated loan growth fueled by recent and pending deposit acquisitions, including Jenius Bank and Capital One. Management expects these strategic moves to support low- to mid-teens organic loan growth and provide incremental funding for both organic and inorganic opportunities. Garrabrants emphasized the company’s focus on leveraging artificial intelligence to drive operational efficiency and the potential to cross-sell broader banking and securities products to new clients. CFO Derrick Walsh highlighted that future margin trends will depend on the integration of new deposits and ongoing balance sheet optimization, stating, “Our guidance on net interest margin incorporates those acquisitions and how we’re thinking about pricing with respect to them.”

Key insights from management’s remarks

Management attributed the quarter’s performance to broad-based loan growth, operational efficiency gains, and the impact of deposit acquisition activity, as well as increased noninterest income from both recurring and one-time items.

  • Loan growth across verticals: Axos saw strong loan origination in capital call, real estate lender finance, and equipment finance, with ending loan balances up $800 million quarter-over-quarter, excluding single-family warehouse loans. The diversity of lending channels provided flexibility to maintain growth without sacrificing margin quality.
  • Deposit base reshaped by acquisitions: The company strategically reduced higher-cost deposits and increased short-term borrowings ahead of bringing on $2.3 billion of Jenius Bank deposits. This move was designed to support loan growth and reduce the need for aggressive deposit pricing or increased marketing spend.
  • Noninterest income drivers: Noninterest income increased significantly year-over-year, supported by a $22 million one-time legal settlement, higher mortgage banking income, and rental income from a newly acquired commercial office building intended for future headquarters use. Recurring fee income from the Verdant Equipment Leasing acquisition also contributed meaningfully.
  • Operational efficiency through AI: Axos expanded the use of artificial intelligence across business functions, with over 500 team members now using AI tools to increase productivity. Management cited ongoing benefits in salaries, data processing, and general administrative expenses as a result.
  • Credit quality remains stable: Credit losses were primarily driven by one specific C&I loan, while overall net charge-offs remained low. Management noted that the allowance for credit losses remains robust, and spreads on new loans are expected to remain stable, with no further compression anticipated.

Drivers of future performance

Management expects deposit acquisitions, digital banking initiatives, and disciplined pricing to drive loan growth and operational margins in coming quarters.

  • Deposit acquisition integration: Successful onboarding of Jenius Bank and Capital One deposits is expected to provide incremental funding, enabling Axos to support loan growth targets without increasing funding costs or marketing expenses. Management plans to use new deposits to reduce short-term borrowings and fuel both organic and potential M&A-driven growth.
  • AI-driven operational leverage: Continued scaling of artificial intelligence tools is projected to further enhance productivity and control expenses, supporting margin stability even as the company invests in business development and technology.
  • Diversification and cross-sell opportunities: Axos aims to deepen relationships with acquired clients by offering a broader range of banking and securities products, particularly to Jenius Bank and Capital One customers. Management believes these efforts will improve retention and drive incremental fee income, although the full impact will depend on successful execution and market conditions.

Catalysts in upcoming quarters

Looking ahead, the StockStory team will be monitoring (1) the integration and client retention rates following the onboarding of Jenius Bank and Capital One deposits, (2) the pace and sustainability of loan growth across diversified lending verticals, and (3) the scalability of AI-driven operational improvements. Progress on cross-selling new products to acquired clients and execution on strategic M&A opportunities will also be key indicators of business momentum.

Axos Financial currently trades at $90.47, down from $92.55 just before the earnings. In the wake of this quarter, is it a buy or sell? See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free).

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