A free, one‑time live online event titled Tipping Point 2026 will be held on Tuesday, December 16, at 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time, bringing together 50‑year Wall Street veteran Marc Chaikin and financial technology executive Keith Kaplan to discuss potential bear‑market risk and stock‑level volatility heading into 2026.
The webinar will present historical market context, outline scenarios in which 2026 could mark the start of a significant market downturn, and introduce new software designed to help investors identify stocks that may be vulnerable to short‑term “flash crash”‑style declines.
The event is aimed at individual investors, advisors, and other market participants who currently hold U.S. equities and want a structured, data‑driven framework for thinking about late‑cycle risk and portfolio exposure as the calendar turns to 2026.
Registration is free and includes advance access to a limited‑feature version of a tool called the Flash Crash Screener, along with additional educational resources.
Event Focus and Discussion Topics
The central focus of Tipping Point 2026 is whether current market conditions resemble past periods that preceded major downturns, and how investors might prepare if similar dynamics unfold.
Chaikin and Kaplan estimate there is roughly a 65% probability that 2026 could coincide with a formal bear market, defined as a decline of at least 20% in broad market indexes, based on long‑term historical patterns, valuation measures, and recent volatility.
During the live session, Chaikin will:
- Review more than 100 years of market history to highlight how previous combinations of extended rallies, sentiment, and macroeconomic backdrops have often been followed by significant drawdowns.
- Discuss how recent episodes of heightened volatility and rapid intraday selling fit into these historical precedents.
Kaplan will then address changes in modern market structure, including the increased role of algorithmic and AI‑driven trading systems, and how these factors may contribute to sudden, sharp declines in individual stocks or sectors even before a broad market bear phase becomes evident. The presenters intend to emphasize process and risk management rather than making short‑term market calls.
Introduction to the Flash Crash Screener
A key element of Tipping Point 2026 will be the public introduction of the Flash Crash Screener, a new software tool developed to help investors monitor individual stocks for elevated short‑term downside risk. During the webinar, Chaikin and Kaplan will demonstrate how the Screener:
- Analyzes market and technical data to identify patterns that have historically preceded rapid declines of 20–30% or more in single stocks over relatively short periods.
- Distinguishes between tickers showing heightened “flash crash” risk (flagged with a red lightning‑bolt icon) and those where current conditions do not indicate such risk (green icon).
The demonstration will include historical case studies in which similar signals would have appeared before notable price breaks in recent technology and consumer stocks, illustrating how the tool could have been used as an additional input for risk management.
Although the underlying methodology incorporates multiple quantitative inputs, the Screener’s interface is designed to be straightforward: users enter a stock ticker and receive a clear visual indication of the model’s current assessment of short‑term downside risk.
Benefits for Registered Attendees
Individuals who register for Tipping Point 2026 receive several resources before and during the event:
- Limited‑feature Flash Crash Screener access – Prior to the live session, registrants can log into a private portal and enter up to 10 stock symbols to see whether each currently triggers a red or green signal in the Screener. This beta access remains available until the webinar begins on December 16.
- Private event website – Registrants are directed to an event hub that consolidates all relevant materials, including links to the Screener, background information on Chaikin and Kaplan, and additional educational content about volatility, risk management, and bear‑market dynamics.
- Pre‑event stock alerts – In the days leading up to the webinar, registrants receive a short series of alerts highlighting specific stocks that the Screener currently identifies as having elevated risk of sharp, near‑term declines. These examples are intended to help investors understand how the model works and to encourage review of their own holdings.
During the live broadcast, attendees will also gain access to an analysis of 26 widely followed stocks. Prior to the event, registrants may submit stock symbols they are most interested in; the presenters will compile the most commonly requested names into a report indicating whether each stock is rated as a buy or sell heading into 2026, based on the software’s readings and their interpretation. This report is provided to viewers who attend the event in real time and is not scheduled to be redistributed afterward.
In addition, Chaikin and Kaplan plan to highlight two specific stocks during the session—one they believe investors should consider reviewing for potential sale before January 1, and one they believe could be relatively well‑positioned for potential opportunity in early 2026. These examples are intended to show how the risk framework can be applied at the individual‑stock level.
How to Register and Attend
Tipping Point 2026 is open to the public at no cost. To register, interested participants should:
- Visit the Tipping Point 2026 registration page.
- Enter a valid email address to reserve a virtual seat for the December 16 webinar and to receive credentials for the event hub and Screener access.
- Optionally, provide a U.S. mobile phone number to receive SMS reminders about the event and a brief report outlining three stocks that have recently triggered higher‑priority alerts in the new software. SMS participation is not required and can be canceled at any time.
After registration, participants will receive a confirmation email containing:
- A link to the private event website.
- Instructions for using the limited‑feature Flash Crash Screener.
- An option to add the webinar to their digital calendar.
On December 16, attendees can access the live broadcast through the event link and are encouraged to log in 5–10 minutes before the scheduled start time to verify their connection and review any final pre‑event materials.
Intended Use and Audience
The organizers emphasize that Tipping Point 2026 is intended as an informational and educational session. The webinar is designed for:
- Self‑directed investors who want to better understand potential bear‑market scenarios in 2026 and how to incorporate stock‑specific risk metrics into their decision‑making.
- Financial professionals and advisors interested in how quantitative tools such as the Flash Crash Screener can complement existing research and risk‑management processes.
All information provided, including any stock examples and the 26‑stock report, is general in nature and not tailored to any individual’s financial circumstances. Attendees are encouraged to use the content as one input among many and to consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions
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