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Table of Contents

UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, DC 20549
 
FORM 10-Q
(Mark One)
 
x QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
 
For the quarterly period ended: September 30, 2017
or
 
¨ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
 
For the transition period from_____________________________to_____________________________
 
Commission File Number: 001-33067
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)
 
New Jersey
 
22-2168890
(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation or Organization)
 
(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)
 
 
 
40 Wantage Avenue
 
 
Branchville, New Jersey
 
07890
(Address of Principal Executive Offices)
 
(Zip Code)
(973) 948-3000
(Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code)
 
(Former Name, Former Address and Former Fiscal Year, if Changed Since Last Report)
 
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant: (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.
Yesx           No o
 
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically and posted on its corporate Web site, if any, every Interactive Data File required to be submitted and posted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit and post such files).
Yesx           No o

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, a smaller reporting company, or an emerging growth company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer,” “smaller reporting company,” and “emerging growth company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.
Large accelerated filer x
 
Accelerated filer o
Non-accelerated filer o
 
Smaller reporting company o
Emerging growth company o
 
 
(Do not check if a smaller reporting company)
If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.
Yeso           No o

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act).                                                              Yeso          Nox
As of October 13, 2017, there were 58,391,399 shares of common stock, par value $2.00 per share, outstanding. 


Table of Contents

 
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
 
 
Table of Contents
 
 
 
Page No.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


Table of Contents

PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION
 
ITEM 1. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS.
 
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
 
Unaudited
 
 
($ in thousands, except share amounts)
 
September 30,
2017
 
December 31,
2016
ASSETS
 
 

 
 

Investments:
 
 

 
 

Fixed income securities, held-to-maturity – at carrying value (fair value:  $67,716 – 2017; $105,211 – 2016)
 
$
64,989

 
101,556

Fixed income securities, available-for-sale – at fair value (amortized cost: $5,026,735 – 2017; $4,753,759 – 2016)
 
5,133,432

 
4,792,540

Equity securities, available-for-sale – at fair value (cost:  $145,984 – 2017; $120,889 – 2016)
 
175,272

 
146,753

Short-term investments (at cost which approximates fair value)
 
216,336

 
221,701

Other investments
 
120,806

 
102,397

Total investments (Note 4 and 6)
 
5,710,835


5,364,947

Cash
 
694

 
458

Interest and dividends due or accrued
 
40,754

 
40,164

Premiums receivable, net of allowance for uncollectible accounts of:  $7,218 – 2017; $5,980 – 2016
 
769,786

 
681,611

Reinsurance recoverable, net of allowance for uncollectible accounts of: $4,700 – 2017; $5,500 – 2016
 
661,189

 
621,537

Prepaid reinsurance premiums
 
161,429

 
146,282

Current federal income tax
 

 
2,486

Deferred federal income tax
 
52,932

 
84,840

Property and equipment – at cost, net of accumulated depreciation and amortization of:
$211,444 – 2017; $198,729 – 2016
 
66,339

 
69,576

Deferred policy acquisition costs
 
242,156

 
222,564

Goodwill
 
7,849

 
7,849

Other assets
 
98,167

 
113,534

Total assets
 
$
7,812,130

 
7,355,848

 
 
 
 
 
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY
 
 

 
 

Liabilities:
 
 

 
 

Reserve for losses and loss expenses (Note 8)
 
$
3,835,800

 
3,691,719

Unearned premiums
 
1,393,821

 
1,262,819

Long-term debt
 
439,006

 
438,667

Current federal income tax
 
6,730

 

Accrued salaries and benefits
 
113,076

 
132,880

Other liabilities
 
324,345

 
298,393

Total liabilities
 
$
6,112,778

 
5,824,478

 
 
 
 
 
Stockholders’ Equity:
 
 

 
 

Preferred stock of $0 par value per share:
 
$

 

Authorized shares 5,000,000; no shares issued or outstanding
 
 
 
 
Common stock of $2 par value per share:
 
 
 
 
Authorized shares 360,000,000
 
 
 
 
Issued: 102,180,302 – 2017; 101,620,436 – 2016
 
204,361

 
203,241

Additional paid-in capital
 
362,737

 
347,295

Retained earnings
 
1,679,041

 
1,568,881

Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) (Note 11)
 
31,315

 
(15,950
)
Treasury stock – at cost
(shares:  43,789,249 – 2017; 43,653,237 – 2016)
 
(578,102
)
 
(572,097
)
Total stockholders’ equity
 
$
1,699,352

 
1,531,370

Commitments and contingencies
 


 


Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity
 
$
7,812,130

 
7,355,848


The accompanying notes are an integral part of these unaudited interim consolidated financial statements.

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SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands, except per share amounts)
 
2017
 
2016
 
2017
 
2016
Revenues:
 
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
Net premiums earned
 
$
572,055

 
542,429

 
1,700,939

 
1,596,819

Net investment income earned
 
40,446

 
33,375

 
119,295

 
95,326

Net realized gains:
 
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
Net realized investment gains
 
6,871

 
4,030

 
12,252

 
7,233

Other-than-temporary impairments
 
(43
)
 
(342
)
 
(4,729
)
 
(4,494
)
Other-than-temporary impairments on fixed income securities recognized in other comprehensive income
 
(30
)
 

 
(36
)
 
10

Total net realized gains
 
6,798

 
3,688

 
7,487

 
2,749

Other income
 
1,994

 
2,199

 
8,526

 
7,018

Total revenues
 
621,293

 
581,691

 
1,836,247

 
1,701,912

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Expenses:
 
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
Losses and loss expenses incurred
 
344,587

 
316,258

 
1,003,618

 
911,881

Policy acquisition costs
 
194,635

 
193,835

 
587,687

 
567,793

Interest expense
 
6,085

 
5,714

 
18,272

 
16,940

Other expenses
 
8,671

 
10,441

 
32,852

 
35,669

Total expenses
 
553,978

 
526,248

 
1,642,429

 
1,532,283

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Income before federal income tax
 
67,315

 
55,443

 
193,818

 
169,629

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Federal income tax expense:
 
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
Current
 
16,859

 
5,625

 
48,917

 
38,027

Deferred
 
3,738

 
11,316

 
6,317

 
12,467

Total federal income tax expense
 
20,597

 
16,941

 
55,234

 
50,494

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net income
 
$
46,718

 
38,502

 
138,584

 
119,135

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Earnings per share:
 
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
Basic net income
 
$
0.80

 
0.66

 
2.37

 
2.06

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Diluted net income
 
$
0.79

 
0.66

 
2.34

 
2.03

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Dividends to stockholders
 
$
0.16

 
0.15

 
0.48

 
0.45

 
The accompanying notes are an integral part of these unaudited interim consolidated financial statements. 
 


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SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)
 
2017
 
2016
 
2017
 
2016
Net income
 
$
46,718

 
38,502

 
138,584

 
119,135

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other comprehensive income, net of tax:
 
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
Unrealized gains (losses) on investment securities:
 
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
Unrealized holding gains (losses) arising during period
 
10,874

 
(8,444
)
 
50,961

 
70,473

Non-credit portion of other-than-temporary impairments recognized in other comprehensive income
 
19

 

 
23

 
(6
)
  Amounts reclassified into net income:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Held-to-maturity securities
 
(35
)
 
(9
)
 
(95
)
 
(68
)
Non-credit other-than-temporary impairments
 
25

 

 
25

 

Realized gains on available-for-sale securities
 
(4,394
)
 
(2,395
)
 
(4,638
)
 
(1,786
)
Total unrealized gains (losses) on investment securities
 
6,489

 
(10,848
)
 
46,276

 
68,613

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans:
 
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
Amounts reclassified into net income:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net actuarial loss
 
329

 
1,050

 
989

 
3,021

  Total defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans
 
329

 
1,050

 
989

 
3,021

Other comprehensive income (loss)
 
6,818

 
(9,798
)
 
47,265

 
71,634

Comprehensive income
 
$
53,536

 
28,704

 
185,849

 
190,769

 
The accompanying notes are an integral part of these unaudited interim consolidated financial statements.
 


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SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands, except per share amounts)
 
2017
 
2016
Common stock:
 
 

 
 

Beginning of year
 
$
203,241

 
201,723

Dividend reinvestment plan (shares:  22,278 – 2017; 29,865 – 2016)
 
45

 
60

Stock purchase and compensation plans (shares:  537,588 – 2017; 613,964 – 2016)
 
1,075

 
1,228

End of period
 
204,361

 
203,011

 
 
 
 
 
Additional paid-in capital:
 
 

 
 

Beginning of year
 
347,295

 
326,656

Dividend reinvestment plan
 
1,025

 
1,035

Stock purchase and compensation plans
 
14,417

 
15,155

End of period
 
362,737

 
342,846

 
 
 
 
 
Retained earnings:
 
 

 
 

Beginning of year
 
1,568,881

 
1,446,192

Net income
 
138,584

 
119,135

Dividends to stockholders ($0.48 per share – 2017; $0.45 per share – 2016)
 
(28,424
)
 
(26,399
)
End of period
 
1,679,041

 
1,538,928

 
 
 
 
 
Accumulated other comprehensive income:
 
 

 
 

Beginning of year
 
(15,950
)
 
(9,425
)
Other comprehensive income
 
47,265

 
71,634

End of period
 
31,315

 
62,209

 
 
 
 
 
Treasury stock:
 
 

 
 

Beginning of year
 
(572,097
)
 
(567,105
)
Acquisition of treasury stock (shares: 136,012 – 2017; 152,392 – 2016)
 
(6,005
)
 
(4,985
)
End of period
 
(578,102
)
 
(572,090
)
Total stockholders’ equity
 
$
1,699,352

 
1,574,904

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. also has authorized, but not issued, 5,000,000 shares of preferred stock, without par value, of which 300,000 shares have been
designated Series A junior preferred stock, without par value.
  
The accompanying notes are an integral part of these unaudited interim consolidated financial statements.
 


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SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)
 
2017
 
2016
Operating Activities
 
 

 
 

Net income
 
$
138,584

 
119,135

 
 
 
 
 
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:
 
 

 
 

Depreciation and amortization
 
38,163

 
45,563

Stock-based compensation expense
 
10,139

 
8,950

Undistributed (gains) losses of equity method investments
 
(5,157
)
 
49

Loss on disposal of fixed assets
 
998

 

Net realized gains
 
(7,487
)
 
(2,749
)
 
 
 
 
 
Changes in assets and liabilities:
 
 

 
 

Increase in reserve for losses and loss expenses, net of reinsurance recoverable
 
104,429

 
90,814

Increase in unearned premiums, net of prepaid reinsurance
 
115,855

 
125,453

Decrease in net federal income taxes
 
15,674

 
11,534

Increase in premiums receivable
 
(88,175
)
 
(96,425
)
Increase in deferred policy acquisition costs
 
(19,592
)
 
(22,775
)
Increase in interest and dividends due or accrued
 
(1,088
)
 
(1,356
)
Decrease in accrued salaries and benefits
 
(19,804
)
 
(63,753
)
Decrease (increase) in other assets
 
12,678

 
(16,280
)
Increase (decrease) in other liabilities
 
12,621

 
(20,686
)
Net cash provided by operating activities
 
307,838

 
177,474

 
 
 
 
 
Investing Activities
 
 

 
 

Purchase of fixed income securities, held-to-maturity
 

 
(4,235
)
Purchase of fixed income securities, available-for-sale
 
(1,517,474
)
 
(842,253
)
Purchase of equity securities, available-for-sale
 
(44,480
)
 
(24,747
)
Purchase of other investments
 
(34,586
)
 
(34,994
)
Purchase of short-term investments
 
(3,025,824
)
 
(1,307,024
)
Sale of fixed income securities, available-for-sale
 
811,991

 
33,448

Sale of short-term investments
 
3,032,802

 
1,332,239

Redemption and maturities of fixed income securities, held-to-maturity
 
36,092

 
74,186

Redemption and maturities of fixed income securities, available-for-sale
 
439,616

 
483,877

Sale of equity securities, available-for-sale
 
19,007

 
99,420

Distributions from other investments
 
18,503

 
18,512

Purchase of property and equipment
 
(11,806
)
 
(13,421
)
Net cash used in investing activities
 
(276,159
)
 
(184,992
)
 
 
 
 
 
Financing Activities
 
 

 
 

Dividends to stockholders
 
(26,915
)
 
(24,885
)
Acquisition of treasury stock
 
(6,005
)
 
(4,985
)
Net proceeds from stock purchase and compensation plans
 
4,744

 
4,906

Proceeds from borrowings
 
64,000

 
105,000

Repayments of borrowings
 
(64,000
)
 
(70,000
)
Excess tax benefits from share-based payment arrangements
 

 
1,917

Repayments of capital lease obligations
 
(3,267
)
 
(3,840
)
Net cash (used in) provided by financing activities
 
(31,443
)
 
8,113

Net increase in cash
 
236

 
595

Cash, beginning of year
 
458

 
898

Cash, end of period
 
$
694

 
1,493

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these unaudited interim consolidated financial statements.

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NOTES TO UNAUDITED INTERIM CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

NOTE 1. Basis of Presentation
As used herein, the "Company,” “we,” “us,” or “our” refers to Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (the "Parent"), and its subsidiaries, except as expressly indicated or unless the context otherwise requires. Our interim unaudited consolidated financial statements (“Financial Statements”) have been prepared by us in conformity with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) and the rules and regulations of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) regarding interim financial reporting. The preparation of the Financial Statements in conformity with GAAP requires us to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported financial statement balances, as well as the disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities. Actual results could differ from those estimates. All significant intercompany accounts and transactions between the Parent and its subsidiaries are eliminated in consolidation.

Our Financial Statements reflect all adjustments that, in our opinion, are normal, recurring, and necessary for a fair presentation of our results of operations and financial condition. Our Financial Statements cover the third quarters ended September 30, 2017 (“Third Quarter 2017”) and September 30, 2016 (“Third Quarter 2016”) and the nine-month periods ended September 30, 2017 ("Nine Months 2017") and September 30, 2016 ("Nine Months 2016"). The Financial Statements do not include all of the information and disclosures required by GAAP and the SEC for audited annual financial statements. Results of operations for any interim period are not necessarily indicative of results for a full year. Consequently, our Financial Statements should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements contained in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2016 (“2016 Annual Report”) filed with the SEC.

NOTE 2. Adoption of Accounting Pronouncements 
In March 2016, the Financial Accounting Standards Board ("FASB") issued Accounting Standard Update ("ASU") 2016-09, Compensation - Stock Compensation: Improvements to Employee Share-based Payment Accounting (“ASU 2016-09”). ASU 2016-09 simplifies several aspects of the accounting for share-based payment transactions. We adopted this guidance on January 1, 2017, which resulted in the following impacts on our consolidated financial statements:
Consolidated Statements of Income
The new standard requires that the tax effects of share-based compensation be recognized in the income tax provision as discrete items outside of the annual estimated expected tax rate. In addition, all excess tax benefits and tax deficiencies should be recognized as income tax benefit or expense in the income statement. Previously, these amounts were recorded in additional paid-in capital. In addition, in calculating potential common shares used to determine diluted earnings per share, GAAP requires us to use the treasury stock method. The new standard requires that assumed proceeds under the treasury stock method be modified to exclude the amount of excess tax benefits that would have been recognized in additional paid-in capital. These changes were adopted on a prospective basis. As a result of adoption, we recognized an income tax benefit in the Consolidated Statements of Income of $0.1 million in Third Quarter 2017 and $3.4 million in Nine Months 2017 related to stock grants that have vested this year.

In recording share-based compensation expense, the standard allows companies to make a policy election as to whether they will include an estimate of awards expected to be forfeited or whether they will account for forfeitures as they occur. We have elected to include an estimate of forfeitures in the computation of our share-based compensation expense. As this treatment is consistent with previous guidance, this election had no impact on our consolidated financial statements.
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
ASU 2016-09 requires that excess tax benefits from share-based awards be reported as operating activities in the consolidated statement of cash flows. Previously, these cash flows were included in financing activities. We elected to apply this change on a prospective basis; therefore, no changes have been made to the prior periods disclosed in this report.

ASU 2016-09 also requires that employee taxes paid when an employer withholds shares for tax-withholding purposes be reported as financing activities in the consolidated statement of cash flows. This requirement has no impact to us as we have historically reported these cash flows as part of financing activities.
In October 2016, the FASB issued ASU 2016-17, Consolidation: Interests Held through Related Parties That Are under Common Control ("ASU 2016-17"). ASU 2016-17 changes how a decision maker considers indirect interests in a variable interest entity ("VIE") held under common control in making the primary beneficiary determination. ASU 2016-17 was effective for annual periods beginning after December 15, 2016, including interim periods within those annual periods. The adoption of ASU 2016-17 did not impact us, as we are not the decision maker in any of the VIEs in which we are invested.

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Pronouncements to be effective in the future
In January 2016, the FASB issued ASU 2016-01, Financial Instruments - Overall: Recognition and Measurement of Financial Assets and Financial Liabilities (“ASU 2016-01”). ASU 2016-01 provides guidance to improve certain aspects of recognition, measurement, presentation, and disclosure of financial instruments. Specifically the guidance: (i) requires equity investments to be measured at fair value with changes in fair value recognized in earnings; (ii) simplifies the impairment assessment of equity investments without readily determinable fair values by requiring a qualitative assessment to identify impairment; (iii) eliminates the requirement to disclose the methods and significant assumptions used to estimate the fair value that is required to be disclosed for financial instruments measured at amortized cost; (iv) requires the use of the exit price notion when measuring the fair value of financial instruments for disclosure purposes; and (v) clarifies that the need for a valuation allowance on a deferred tax asset related to an available-for-sale ("AFS") security should be evaluated with other deferred tax assets.

ASU 2016-01 is effective for annual periods beginning after December 15, 2017, including interim periods within those annual periods. Our adoption of this guidance will require a cumulative-effect adjustment to the balance sheet as of January 1, 2018 in an amount equal to the after-tax net unrealized gain or loss on our equity portfolio as of year-end 2017. If this guidance had been adopted as of the beginning of 2017, the cumulative-effect adjustment would have been approximately $17 million after tax and we would have recognized additional after-tax net income of approximately $2 million or $0.04 per diluted share, reflecting the change in fair value during Nine Months 2017.

In February 2016, the FASB issued ASU 2016-02, Leases (“ASU 2016-02”). ASU 2016-02 requires all lessees to recognize a lease liability and a right-of-use asset, measured at the present value of the future minimum lease payments, at the lease commencement date. ASU 2016-02 is effective for fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2018, including interim reporting periods within that fiscal year, with early adoption permitted. ASU 2016-02 requires the application of a modified retrospective approach for leases existing at, or entered into after, the beginning of the earliest comparative period presented in the financial statements. While we are currently evaluating ASU 2016-02, we do not expect a material impact on our financial condition or results of operations from the adoption of this guidance.

In June 2016, the FASB issued ASU 2016-13, Financial Instruments - Credit Losses (“ASU 2016-13”).  ASU 2016-13 will change the way entities recognize impairment of financial assets by requiring immediate recognition of estimated credit losses expected to occur over the remaining life of many financial assets, including, among others, held-to-maturity debt securities, trade receivables, and reinsurance recoverables. ASU 2016-13 requires a valuation allowance to be calculated on these financial assets and that they be presented on the financial statements net of the valuation allowance. The valuation allowance is a measurement of expected losses that is based on relevant information about past events, including historical experience, current conditions, and reasonable and supportable forecasts that affect the collectability of the reported amount.  This methodology is referred to as the current expected credit loss model. ASU 2016-13 is effective for fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2019, including interim periods within those annual periods. Early adoption is permitted, but no earlier than fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2018. We are currently evaluating the impact of this guidance on our financial condition and results of operations.

In August 2016, the FASB issued ASU 2016-15, Statement of Cash Flows (“ASU 2016-15”). ASU 2016-15 adds or clarifies guidance on the classification of certain cash receipts and payments in the statement of cash flows, including, but not limited to: (i) debt prepayment or debt extinguishment costs; (ii) proceeds from the settlement of corporate-owned life insurance policies, including bank-owned life insurance policies; (iii) distributions received from equity method investees; and (iv) separately identifiable cash flows and application of the predominance principle. ASU 2016-15 is effective for fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2017, and interim periods within those fiscal years. Early adoption is permitted. We are currently evaluating the impact of this guidance on our statement of cash flows.

In November 2016, the FASB issued ASU 2016-18, Statement of Cash Flows: Restricted Cash ("ASU 2016-18"). ASU 2016-18, requires that restricted cash and restricted cash equivalents be included with cash and cash equivalents in the reconciliation of beginning and ending cash on the statements of cash flows. This update also requires a reconciliation of the statement of the cash flows to the balance sheet if the balance sheet includes more than one line item of cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash. ASU 2016-18 is effective, with retrospective adoption, for annual periods beginning after December 15, 2017, and interim periods within those annual periods. We currently have restricted cash associated with the National Flood Insurance Program ("NFIP") in "Other assets." This literature will impact the presentation of this item in both the Consolidated Balance Sheets and the Statements of Cash Flows.

In January 2017, the FASB issued ASU 2017-04, Intangibles-Goodwill and Other: Simplifying the Test for Goodwill Impairment (“ASU 2017-04”). ASU 2017-04 eliminates the second step of the two part goodwill impairment test, which

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required entities to determine the fair value of individual assets and liabilities of a reporting unit to measure the goodwill impairment. Under the new guidance, a goodwill impairment is calculated as the amount by which a reporting unit’s carrying value exceeds its fair value, not to exceed the carrying amount of goodwill. An entity still has the option to perform the qualitative assessment for a reporting unit to determine if the quantitative impairment test is necessary. The amendments in this update should be applied on a prospective basis for annual or interim goodwill impairment tests in fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2019. Early adoption is permitted for interim or annual goodwill impairment tests performed on testing dates after January 1, 2017. We do not expect a material impact on our financial condition or results of operations from the adoption of this guidance.
In March 2017, the FASB issued ASU 2017-07, Compensation-Retirement Benefits: Improving the Presentation of Net Periodic Pension Cost and Net Periodic Postretirement Benefit Cost ("ASU 2017-07"). ASU 2017-07 requires that an employer report a pension plan's service cost in the same line item or line items as other compensation costs arising from services rendered by pertinent employees during the period. ASU 2017-07 also requires that other components of net benefit cost be presented in the income statement separately from the service cost component. If a separate line item or items are not used, the line item or items used in the income statement to present the other components of net benefit cost must be disclosed. ASU 2017-07 is effective for annual periods beginning after December 15, 2017, including interim periods within those annual periods, with early adoption permitted at the beginning of an annual period. As our pension plan was frozen as of March 2016, we have ceased accruing additional service fee costs since that time. Therefore, the application of this guidance is not anticipated to impact our financial condition, results of operations, or disclosures.
In March 2017, the FASB issued ASU 2017-08, Receivables-Nonrefundable Fees and Other Costs: Premium Amortization on Purchased Callable Debt Securities ("ASU 2017-08"). ASU 2017-08 revises the amortization period for certain callable debt securities held at a premium, requiring the premium to be amortized to the earliest call date. Under current GAAP, entities generally amortize the premium as an adjustment of yield over the contractual life of the instrument. ASU 2017-08 is effective for annual periods, and interim periods within those annual periods, beginning after December 15, 2018 with early adoption permitted. This ASU does not impact us as we amortize premium on these callable debt securities to the earliest call date.

In May 2017, the FASB issued ASU 2017-09, Compensation - Stock Compensation: Scope of Modification Accounting ("ASU 2017-09"). ASU 2017-09 provides clarification about which changes to the terms or conditions of a share-based payment award would require the application of modification accounting. ASU 2017-09 is effective for annual and interim periods beginning after December 15, 2017, with early adoption permitted. The adoption of this guidance is not anticipated to impact us, as we currently record modifications in accordance with this ASU.

NOTE 3. Statements of Cash Flows
Supplemental cash flow information was as follows:
 
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)
 
2017
 
2016
Cash paid during the period for:
 
 

 
 

Interest
 
$
15,356

 
13,874

Federal income tax
 
39,000

 
36,405

 
 
 
 
 
Non-cash items:
 
 
 
 
Exchange of fixed income securities, AFS
 
6,192

 
21,775

Corporate actions related to equity securities, AFS1
 
4,725

 
3,032

Assets acquired under capital lease arrangements
 
278

 
3,108

Non-cash purchase of property and equipment
 

 
648

1Examples of such corporate actions include non-cash acquisitions and stock splits.

Included in "Other assets" on the Consolidated Balance Sheets was $18.0 million at September 30, 2017 and $20.9 million at September 30, 2016 of cash received from the NFIP, which is restricted to pay flood claims under the Write Your Own ("WYO") program. 

8

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NOTE 4. Investments
(a) Information regarding our held-to-maturity ("HTM") fixed income securities as of September 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016 was as follows:
September 30, 2017
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
($ in thousands)
 
Amortized
Cost
 
Net
 Unrealized Gains
 (Losses)
 
Carrying
Value
 
Unrecognized
 Holding
Gains
 
Unrecognized Holding
 Losses
 
Fair
Value
Obligations of states and political subdivisions
 
$
46,551

 
130

 
46,681

 
1,442

 

 
48,123

Corporate securities
 
18,426

 
(118
)
 
18,308

 
1,285

 

 
19,593

Total HTM fixed income securities
 
$
64,977

 
12

 
64,989

 
2,727

 

 
67,716

December 31, 2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
($ in thousands)
 
Amortized
Cost
 
Net
 Unrealized Gains
 (Losses)
 
Carrying
Value
 
Unrecognized
 Holding
Gains
 
Unrecognized Holding
 Losses
 
Fair
Value
Obligations of states and political subdivisions
 
$
77,466

 
317

 
77,783

 
2,133

 

 
79,916

Corporate securities
 
22,711

 
(143
)
 
22,568

 
1,665

 
(158
)
 
24,075

Commercial mortgage-backed securities ("CMBS")
 
1,220

 
(15
)
 
1,205

 
15

 

 
1,220

Total HTM fixed income securities
 
$
101,397

 
159

 
101,556

 
3,813

 
(158
)
 
105,211

 
Unrecognized holding gains and losses of HTM securities are not reflected in the Financial Statements, as they represent fair value fluctuations from the later of: (i) the date a security is designated as HTM; or (ii) the date that an other-than-temporary impairment (“OTTI”) charge is recognized on an HTM security, through the date of the balance sheet.

(b) Information regarding our AFS securities as of September 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016 was as follows:
September 30, 2017
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
($ in thousands)
 
Cost/
Amortized
Cost
 
Unrealized
Gains
 
Unrealized
Losses
 
Fair
Value
AFS fixed income securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government and government agencies
 
$
58,820

 
906

 
(137
)
 
59,589

Foreign government
 
18,149

 
650

 

 
18,799

Obligations of states and political subdivisions
 
1,431,282

 
49,088

 
(432
)
 
1,479,938

Corporate securities
 
1,753,584

 
41,095

 
(845
)
 
1,793,834

Collateralized loan obligations and other asset-backed securities ("CLO and other ABS")
 
747,793

 
6,305

 
(143
)
 
753,955

CMBS
 
306,173

 
2,249

 
(318
)
 
308,104

Residential mortgage-backed
securities (“RMBS”)
 
710,934

 
8,842

 
(563
)
 
719,213

Total AFS fixed income securities
 
5,026,735

 
109,135

 
(2,438
)
 
5,133,432

AFS equity securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Common stock
 
131,869

 
29,900

 
(1,342
)
 
160,427

Preferred stock
 
14,115

 
748

 
(18
)
 
14,845

Total AFS equity securities
 
145,984

 
30,648

 
(1,360
)
 
175,272

Total AFS securities
 
$
5,172,719

 
139,783

 
(3,798
)
 
5,308,704


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December 31, 2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
($ in thousands)
 
Cost/
Amortized
Cost
 
Unrealized
Gains
 
Unrealized
Losses
 
Fair
Value
AFS fixed income securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government and government agencies
 
$
75,139

 
2,230

 
(36
)
 
77,333

Foreign government
 
26,559

 
322

 
(16
)
 
26,865

Obligations of states and political subdivisions
 
1,366,287

 
18,610

 
(5,304
)
 
1,379,593

Corporate securities
 
1,976,556

 
27,057

 
(5,860
)
 
1,997,753

CLO and other ABS
 
527,876

 
1,439

 
(355
)
 
528,960

CMBS
 
256,356

 
1,514

 
(1,028
)
 
256,842

RMBS
 
524,986

 
3,006

 
(2,798
)
 
525,194

Total AFS fixed income securities
 
4,753,759

 
54,178

 
(15,397
)
 
4,792,540

AFS equity securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Common stock
 
104,663

 
26,250

 
(305
)
 
130,608

Preferred stock
 
16,226

 
274

 
(355
)
 
16,145

Total AFS equity securities
 
120,889

 
26,524

 
(660
)
 
146,753

Total AFS securities
 
$
4,874,648

 
80,702

 
(16,057
)
 
4,939,293


Unrealized gains and losses of AFS securities represent fair value fluctuations from the later of: (i) the date a security is designated as AFS; or (ii) the date that an OTTI charge is recognized on an AFS security, through the date of the balance sheet. These unrealized gains and losses are recorded in "Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)" ("AOCI") on the Consolidated Balance Sheets.
  
(c) The severity of impairment on securities in an unrealized/unrecognized loss position averaged 1% of amortized cost at September 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016. Quantitative information regarding unrealized losses on our AFS portfolio is provided below.
September 30, 2017
 
Less than 12 months
 
12 months or longer
 
Total
($ in thousands)
 
Fair Value
 
Unrealized
Losses1
 
Fair Value
 
Unrealized
Losses1
 
Fair Value
 
Unrealized
Losses
1
AFS fixed income securities:
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
U.S. government and government agencies
 
$
19,058

 
(136
)
 
250

 
(1
)
 
19,308

 
(137
)
Obligations of states and political subdivisions
 
67,538

 
(432
)
 

 

 
67,538

 
(432
)
Corporate securities
 
108,011

 
(827
)
 
1,475

 
(18
)
 
109,486

 
(845
)
CLO and other ABS
 
88,636

 
(143
)
 

 

 
88,636

 
(143
)
CMBS
 
65,016

 
(245
)
 
5,216

 
(73
)
 
70,232

 
(318
)
RMBS
 
96,981

 
(558
)
 
592

 
(5
)
 
97,573

 
(563
)
Total AFS fixed income securities
 
445,240

 
(2,341
)
 
7,533

 
(97
)
 
452,773

 
(2,438
)
AFS equity securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Common stock
 
18,032

 
(1,342
)
 

 

 
18,032

 
(1,342
)
Preferred stock
 
3,886

 
(18
)
 

 

 
3,886

 
(18
)
Total AFS equity securities
 
21,918

 
(1,360
)
 

 

 
21,918

 
(1,360
)
Total AFS
 
$
467,158

 
(3,701
)
 
7,533

 
(97
)
 
474,691

 
(3,798
)


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Table of Contents

December 31, 2016
 
Less than 12 months
 
12 months or longer
 
Total
($ in thousands)
 
Fair
Value
 
Unrealized
Losses1
 
Fair Value
 
Unrealized
Losses1
 
Fair Value
 
Unrealized
Losses
1
AFS fixed income securities:
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
U.S. government and government agencies
 
$
6,419

 
(36
)
 

 

 
6,419

 
(36
)
Foreign government
 
13,075

 
(16
)
 

 

 
13,075

 
(16
)
Obligations of states and political subdivisions
 
306,509

 
(5,304
)
 

 

 
306,509

 
(5,304
)
Corporate securities
 
462,902

 
(5,771
)
 
4,913

 
(89
)
 
467,815

 
(5,860
)
CLO and other ABS
 
189,795

 
(354
)
 
319

 
(1
)
 
190,114

 
(355
)
CMBS
 
82,492

 
(1,021
)
 
1,645

 
(7
)
 
84,137

 
(1,028
)
RMBS
 
279,480

 
(2,489
)
 
8,749

 
(309
)
 
288,229

 
(2,798
)
Total AFS fixed income securities
 
1,340,672

 
(14,991
)
 
15,626

 
(406
)
 
1,356,298

 
(15,397
)
AFS equity securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Common stock
 
11,271

 
(305
)
 

 

 
11,271

 
(305
)
Preferred stock
 
6,168

 
(355
)
 

 

 
6,168

 
(355
)
Total AFS equity securities
 
17,439

 
(660
)
 

 

 
17,439

 
(660
)
Total AFS
 
$
1,358,111

 
(15,651
)
 
15,626

 
(406
)
 
1,373,737

 
(16,057
)
  1 Gross unrealized losses include non-OTTI unrealized amounts and OTTI losses recognized in AOCI. 

We do not intend to sell any of the securities in the tables above, nor do we believe we will be required to sell any of these securities. We have also reviewed these securities under our OTTI policy, as described in Note 2. “Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” within Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of our 2016 Annual Report, and have concluded that they are temporarily impaired. This conclusion reflects our current judgment as to the financial position and future prospects of the entity that issued the investment security and underlying collateral.
 
(d) Fixed income securities at September 30, 2017, by contractual maturity, are shown below. Mortgage-backed securities ("MBS") are included in the maturity tables using the estimated average life of each security. Expected maturities may differ from contractual maturities because issuers may have the right to call or prepay obligations, with or without call or prepayment penalties.
 
Listed below are the contractual maturities of fixed income securities at September 30, 2017:
 
 
AFS
 
HTM
($ in thousands)
 
Fair Value
 
Carrying Value
 
Fair Value
Due in one year or less
 
$
337,546

 
27,335

 
27,531

Due after one year through five years
 
2,148,949

 
29,341

 
31,037

Due after five years through 10 years
 
2,377,658

 
8,313

 
9,148

Due after 10 years
 
269,279

 

 

Total fixed income securities
 
$
5,133,432

 
64,989

 
67,716

  
(e) We evaluate the alternative investments and tax credit investments included in our other investments portfolio to determine whether those investments are VIEs and if so, whether consolidation is required. A VIE is an entity that either has equity investors that lack certain essential characteristics of a controlling financial interest or lacks sufficient funds to finance its own activities without financial support provided by other entities. We consider several significant factors in determining if our investments are VIEs and if we are the primary beneficiary, including whether we have: (i) the power to direct activities of the VIE; (ii) the ability to remove the decision maker of the VIE; (iii) the ability to participate in making decisions that are significant to the VIE; and (iv) the obligation to absorb losses and the right to receive benefits that could potentially be significant to the VIE. We have determined that the investments in our other investment portfolio are VIEs, but that we are not the primary beneficiary and therefore, consolidation is not required.


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The following table summarizes our other investment portfolio by strategy:
Other Investments
 
September 30, 2017
 
December 31, 2016
($ in thousands)
 
Carrying Value
 
Remaining Commitment
 
Maximum Exposure to Loss1
 
Carrying Value
 
Remaining Commitment
 
Maximum Exposure to Loss1
Alternative Investments
 
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Private equity
 
$
47,654

 
81,478

 
129,132

 
41,135

 
76,774

 
117,909

   Private credit
 
33,318

 
53,635

 
86,953

 
28,193

 
40,613

 
68,806

   Real assets
 
21,649

 
31,466

 
53,115

 
14,486

 
22,899

 
37,385

Total alternative investments
 
102,621

 
166,579

 
269,200

 
83,814

 
140,286

 
224,100

Other securities
 
18,185

 

 
18,185

 
18,583

 
3,400

 
21,983

Total other investments
 
$
120,806

 
166,579

 
287,385

 
102,397

 
143,686

 
246,083

1The maximum exposure to loss includes both the carry value of these investments and the related unfunded commitments. In addition, tax credits that have been previously recognized in Other securities are subject to the risk of recapture, which we do not consider significant. 

We do not have a future obligation to fund losses or debts on behalf of the investments above; however, we are contractually committed to make additional investments up to the remaining commitment outlined above. We have not provided any non-contractual financial support at any time during 2017 or 2016.

For a description of our alternative investment strategies, as well as information regarding redemption, restrictions, and fund liquidations, refer to Note 5. “Investments” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of our 2016 Annual Report.
 
The following table sets forth gross summarized financial information for our other investments portfolio, including the portion not owned by us. The majority of these investments are carried under the equity method of accounting. The last line of the table below reflects our share of the aggregate income or loss, which is the portion included in our Financial Statements. As the majority of these investments report results to us on a one quarter lag, the summarized financial statement information for the three and nine-month periods ended June 30 is included in our Third Quarter and Nine Months results. This information is as follows:
Income Statement Information
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in millions)
 
2017
 
2016
 
2017
 
2016
Net investment (loss) income
 
$
(10.3
)

(55.4
)
 
(61.8
)
 
26.1

Realized gains (losses)
 
43.3


245.6

 
(261.0
)
 
1,186.8

Net change in unrealized appreciation (depreciation)
 
1,072.0


117.8

 
3,186.3

 
(1,132.8
)
Net gain
 
$
1,105.0


308.0

 
2,863.5

 
80.1

Selective’s insurance subsidiaries’ other investments gain
 
$
2.7

 
1.6

 
9.5

 

 
(f) We have pledged certain AFS fixed income securities as collateral related to our relationships with the Federal Home Loan Bank of Indianapolis ("FHLBI") and the Federal Home Loan Bank of New York ("FHLBNY"). In addition, certain securities were on deposit with various state and regulatory agencies at September 30, 2017 to comply with insurance laws. We retain all rights regarding all securities pledged as collateral.

The following table summarizes the market value of these securities at September 30, 2017:
($ in millions)
 
FHLBI Collateral
 
FHLBNY Collateral
 
State and Regulatory Deposits
 
Total
U.S. government and government agencies
 
$
3.0

 

 
22.8

 
25.8

Obligations of states and political subdivisions
 

 

 
3.2

 
3.2

CMBS
 
3.5

 
4.8

 

 
8.3

RMBS
 
58.7

 
49.6

 

 
108.3

Total pledged as collateral
 
$
65.2

 
54.4

 
26.0


145.6

 

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(g) We did not have exposure to any credit concentration risk of a single issuer greater than 10% of our stockholders' equity, other than certain U.S. government-backed investments, as of September 30, 2017 or December 31, 2016.

(h) The components of pre-tax net investment income earned were as follows:
 
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)
 
2017
 
2016
 
2017
 
2016
Fixed income securities
 
$
38,865


32,453

 
$
113,424

 
95,850

Equity securities
 
1,605


1,506

 
4,492

 
5,940

Short-term investments
 
396


192

 
1,023

 
493

Other investments
 
2,659


1,628

 
9,493

 
(49
)
Investment expenses
 
(3,079
)

(2,404
)
 
(9,137
)
 
(6,908
)
Net investment income earned
 
$
40,446

 
33,375

 
$
119,295

 
95,326


(i) The following tables summarize OTTI by asset type for the periods indicated:
Third Quarter 2017
 
Gross 
 
Included in Other Comprehensive Income ("OCI")
 
Recognized in
Earnings
($ in thousands) 
 
 
 
AFS fixed income securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
Corporate securities
 
$
12

 

 
12

CLO and other ABS
 
11

 

 
11

RMBS
 
20

 
(30
)
 
50

Total OTTI losses
 
$
43

 
(30
)
 
73

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Third Quarter 2016
 
Gross 
 
Included in OCI
 
Recognized in
Earnings
($ in thousands) 
 
 
 
AFS equity securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
Common stock
 
$
342

 

 
342

Total AFS equity securities
 
342

 

 
342

Total OTTI losses
 
$
342

 

 
342

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Nine Months 2017
 
Gross 
 
Included in OCI
 
Recognized in
Earnings
($ in thousands) 
 
 
 
AFS fixed income securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government and government agencies
 
$
31

 

 
31

Obligations of states and political subdivisions
 
612

 

 
612

Corporate securities
 
587

 

 
587

CLO and other ABS
 
96

 

 
96

CMBS
 
670

 

 
670

RMBS
 
1,183

 
(36
)
 
1,219

Total AFS fixed income securities
 
3,179

 
(36
)
 
3,215

AFS equity securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
Common stock
 
1,360

 

 
1,360

Total AFS equity securities
 
1,360

 

 
1,360

Other Investments
 
190

 

 
190

Total OTTI losses
 
$
4,729

 
(36
)
 
4,765

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Nine Months 2016
 
Gross 
 
Included in OCI
 
Recognized in
Earnings
($ in thousands) 
 
 
 
AFS fixed income securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
Corporate securities
 
$
1,077

 

 
1,077

RMBS
 
98

 
10

 
88

Total AFS fixed income securities
 
1,175

 
10

 
1,165

AFS equity securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
Common stock
 
3,316

 

 
3,316

Preferred stock
 
3

 

 
3

Total AFS equity securities
 
3,319

 

 
3,319

Total OTTI losses
 
$
4,494

 
10

 
4,484



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Table of Contents

For a discussion of our evaluation for OTTI refer to Note 2. "Summary of Significant Accounting Policies" in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of our 2016 Annual Report.

(j) The components of net realized gains, excluding OTTI charges, for the periods indicated were as follows:
 
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)
 
2017
 
2016
 
2017
 
2016
HTM fixed income securities
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Gains
 
$

 

 
44

 
3

Losses
 

 

 
(1
)
 
(1
)
AFS fixed income securities
 
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
Gains
 
2,070

 
2,204

 
8,337

 
3,189

Losses
 
(74
)
 
(40
)
 
(1,814
)
 
(81
)
AFS equity securities
 
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
Gains
 
4,875

 
1,863

 
5,225

 
4,364

Losses
 

 

 

 
(240
)
Other investments
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Gains
 

 
3

 
480

 
3

      Losses
 



 
(19
)
 
(4
)
Total net realized gains (excluding OTTI charges)
 
$
6,871


4,030

 
12,252

 
7,233

 
Realized gains and losses on the sale of investments are determined on the basis of the cost of the specific investments sold. Proceeds from the sale of AFS securities were $107.6 million and $27.0 million in Third Quarter 2017 and Third Quarter 2016, respectively and $831.0 million and $132.9 million in Nine Months 2017 and Nine Months 2016, respectively. This increase was primarily driven by opportunistic sales in our equity portfolio and higher trading volume in our fixed income securities portfolio related to the recent hiring of new external investment managers.

NOTE 5. Indebtedness
Our long-term debt balance has not changed since December 31, 2016. However, on February 28, 2017, Selective Insurance Company of America ("SICA") borrowed $64 million in short-term funds from the FHLBNY at an interest rate of 0.75%. This borrowing was repaid on March 21, 2017.

For detailed information on our indebtedness, see Note 10. "Indebtedness" in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of our 2016 Annual Report.

NOTE 6. Fair Value Measurements
Our financial assets are measured at fair value as disclosed on the Consolidated Balance Sheets. The fair values of our long-term debt have improved since December 31, 2016, but none by more than 5% in the aggregate. For a discussion of the fair value and hierarchy of the techniques used to value our financial assets and liabilities, refer to Note 2. "Summary of Significant Accounting Policies" in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of our 2016 Annual Report.


14

Table of Contents

The following tables provide quantitative disclosures of our financial assets that were measured at fair value at September 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016:
September 30, 2017
 
 
 
Fair Value Measurements Using
($ in thousands)
 
Assets
Measured at
Fair Value
 
Quoted Prices in
Active Markets for
Identical Assets/
Liabilities (Level 1)1
 
Significant Other
 Observable
Inputs
 (Level 2)1
 
Significant Unobservable
 Inputs
 (Level 3)
Description
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Measured on a recurring basis:
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

AFS fixed income securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government and government agencies
 
$
59,589

 
24,807

 
34,782

 

Foreign government
 
18,799

 

 
18,799

 

Obligations of states and political subdivisions
 
1,479,938

 

 
1,479,938

 

Corporate securities
 
1,793,834

 

 
1,793,834

 

CLO and other ABS
 
753,955

 

 
753,955

 

CMBS
 
308,104

 

 
308,104

 

RMBS
 
719,213

 

 
719,213

 

Total AFS fixed income securities
 
5,133,432

 
24,807

 
5,108,625

 

AFS equity securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Common stock
 
160,427

 
147,279

 

 
13,148

Preferred stock
 
14,845

 
14,845

 

 

Total AFS equity securities
 
175,272

 
162,124

 

 
13,148

Total AFS securities
 
5,308,704

 
186,931

 
5,108,625

 
13,148

Short-term investments
 
216,336

 
216,336

 

 

Total assets measured at fair value
 
$
5,525,040

 
403,267

 
5,108,625


13,148


December 31, 2016
 
 
 
Fair Value Measurements Using
($ in thousands)
 
Assets
Measured at
Fair Value
 
Quoted Prices in
 Active Markets for
Identical Assets/Liabilities
(Level 1)1
 
Significant
Other Observable
Inputs
 (Level 2)1
 
Significant Unobservable
Inputs
 (Level 3)
Description
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Measured on a recurring basis:
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

AFS fixed income securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government and government agencies
 
$
77,333

 
27,520

 
49,813

 

Foreign government
 
26,865

 

 
26,865

 

Obligations of states and political subdivisions
 
1,379,593

 

 
1,379,593

 

Corporate securities
 
1,997,753

 

 
1,997,753

 

CLO and other ABS
 
528,960

 

 
528,960

 

CMBS
 
256,842

 

 
256,842

 

RMBS
 
525,194

 

 
525,194

 

Total AFS fixed income securities
 
4,792,540

 
27,520

 
4,765,020

 

AFS equity securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Common stock
 
130,608

 
122,932

 

 
7,676

Preferred stock
 
16,145

 
16,145

 

 

Total AFS equity securities
 
146,753

 
139,077

 

 
7,676

Total AFS securities
 
4,939,293

 
166,597

 
4,765,020

 
7,676

Short-term investments
 
221,701

 
221,701

 

 

Total assets measured at fair value
 
$
5,160,994

 
388,298

 
4,765,020

 
7,676

1 
There were no transfers of securities between Level 1 and Level 2.

There were no material changes in the fair value of securities measured using Level 3 inputs since December 31, 2016.


15

Table of Contents

The following tables provide quantitative information regarding our financial assets and liabilities that were disclosed at fair value at September 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016:
September 30, 2017
 
 
 
Fair Value Measurements Using
($ in thousands)
 
Assets/
Liabilities
Disclosed at
Fair Value
 
Quoted Prices in
 Active Markets for
 Identical Assets/
Liabilities
(Level 1)
 
Significant Other
Observable Inputs
(Level 2)
 
Significant
Unobservable
Inputs
(Level 3)
Financial Assets
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

HTM:
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Obligations of states and political subdivisions
 
$
48,123

 

 
48,123

 

Corporate securities
 
19,593

 

 
13,572

 
6,021

Total HTM fixed income securities
 
$
67,716

 

 
61,695

 
6,021

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Financial Liabilities
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Long-term debt:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
7.25% Senior Notes
 
$
58,655

 

 
58,655

 

6.70% Senior Notes
 
112,312

 

 
112,312

 

5.875% Senior Notes
 
187,516

 
187,516

 

 

1.61% borrowings from FHLBNY
 
24,630

 

 
24,630

 

1.56% borrowings from FHLBNY
 
24,576

 

 
24,576

 

3.03% borrowings from FHLBI
 
61,057

 

 
61,057

 

Total long-term debt
 
$
468,746

 
187,516

 
281,230

 


December 31, 2016
 
 
 
Fair Value Measurements Using
($ in thousands)
 
Assets/
Liabilities
Disclosed at
Fair Value
 
Quoted Prices in
 Active Markets for
 Identical Assets/
Liabilities
(Level 1)
 
Significant Other
Observable Inputs
(Level 2)
 
Significant
Unobservable
Inputs
(Level 3)
Financial Assets
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

HTM:
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 
Obligations of states and political subdivisions
 
$
79,916

 

 
79,916

 

Corporate securities
 
24,075

 

 
16,565

 
7,510

CMBS
 
1,220

 

 
1,220

 

Total HTM fixed income securities
 
$
105,211

 

 
97,701

 
7,510

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Financial Liabilities
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
Long-term debt:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
7.25% Senior Notes
 
$
56,148

 

 
56,148

 

6.70% Senior Notes
 
108,333

 

 
108,333

 

5.875% Senior Notes
 
176,860

 
176,860

 

 

1.61% borrowings from FHLBNY
 
24,286

 

 
24,286

 

1.56% borrowings from FHLBNY
 
24,219

 

 
24,219

 

3.03% borrowings from FHLBI
 
59,313

 

 
59,313

 

Total long-term debt
 
$
449,159

 
176,860

 
272,299

 


16

Table of Contents


NOTE 7. Reinsurance
The following table contains a listing of direct, assumed, and ceded reinsurance amounts for premiums written, premiums earned, and loss and loss expenses incurred for the periods indicated. For more information concerning reinsurance, refer to
Note 8. “Reinsurance” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of our 2016 Annual Report.
 
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)
 
2017
 
2016
 
2017
 
2016
Premiums written:
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Direct
 
$
706,918

 
669,844

 
$
2,097,146

 
1,981,984

Assumed
 
8,506

 
7,644

 
20,685

 
21,752

Ceded
 
(111,147
)
 
(98,715
)
 
(301,036
)
 
(281,464
)
Net
 
$
604,277

 
578,773

 
$
1,816,795

 
1,722,272

Premiums earned:
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Direct
 
$
666,048

 
627,520

 
$
1,967,364

 
1,846,587

Assumed
 
7,623

 
7,163

 
19,465

 
20,604

Ceded
 
(101,616
)
 
(92,254
)
 
(285,890
)
 
(270,372
)
Net
 
$
572,055

 
542,429

 
$
1,700,939

 
1,596,819

Loss and loss expenses incurred:
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Direct
 
$
455,728

 
428,520

 
$
1,187,400

 
1,152,223

Assumed
 
5,420

 
5,929

 
17,623

 
18,424

Ceded
 
(116,561
)
 
(118,191
)
 
(201,405
)
 
(258,766
)
Net
 
$
344,587

 
316,258

 
$
1,003,618

 
911,881


Ceded premiums and losses related to our participation in the NFIP, under which 100% of our flood premiums, losses, and loss expenses are ceded to the NFIP, are as follows:
Ceded to NFIP
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)
 
2017
 
2016
 
2017
 
2016
Ceded premiums written
 
$
(68,132
)
 
(62,051
)
 
$
(188,274
)
 
(179,205
)
Ceded premiums earned
 
(59,847
)
 
(56,505
)
 
(174,779
)
 
(169,986
)
Ceded loss and loss expenses incurred
 
(112,994
)
 
(99,200
)
 
(134,675
)
 
(164,179
)

NOTE 8. Reserves for Losses and Loss Expenses
The table below provides a roll forward of reserves for losses and loss expenses for beginning and ending reserve balances:
 
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)
 
2017
 
2016
Gross reserves for losses and loss expenses, at beginning of year
 
$
3,691,719

 
3,517,728

Less: reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses and loss expenses, at beginning of year
 
611,200

 
551,019

Net reserves for losses and loss expenses, at beginning of year
 
3,080,519

 
2,966,709

Incurred losses and loss expenses for claims occurring in the:
 
 

 
 

Current year
 
1,037,079

 
955,347

Prior years
 
(33,461
)
 
(43,466
)
Total incurred losses and loss expenses
 
1,003,618

 
911,881

Paid losses and loss expenses for claims occurring in the:
 
 

 
 

Current year
 
314,686

 
275,623

Prior years
 
581,186

 
547,067

Total paid losses and loss expenses
 
895,872

 
822,690

Net reserves for losses and loss expenses, at end of period
 
3,188,265

 
3,055,900

Add: Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses and loss expenses, at end of period
 
647,535

 
630,686

Gross reserves for losses and loss expenses at end of period
 
$
3,835,800

 
3,686,586


Prior year development in Nine Months 2017 of $33.5 million was primarily driven by favorable prior year casualty reserve development of $48.3 million in our general liability line of business and $29.3 million in our workers compensation line of business. This was partially offset by unfavorable casualty development of $26.0 million in our commercial automobile line of business, $10.0 million in our Excess and Surplus ("E&S") segment and $4.0 million in our personal automobile line of business.


17

Table of Contents

Prior year development in Nine Months 2016 of $43.5 million was primarily due to favorable casualty reserve development of $36.0 million in our workers compensation line of business and $33.0 million in our general liability line of business. This was partially offset by unfavorable casualty reserve development of $20.0 million in our commercial automobile line of business and $3.0 million in our E&S segment.

For a discussion of the trends and recent developments impacting these lines, refer to the "Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates" section of Item 7. "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations." in our 2016 Annual Report.

NOTE 9. Segment Information
The disaggregated results of our four reportable segments are used by senior management to manage our operations. These reportable segments are evaluated as follows:

Our Standard Commercial Lines, Standard Personal Lines, and E&S Lines are evaluated based on statutory underwriting results (net premiums earned, incurred losses and loss expenses, policyholder dividends, policy acquisition costs, and other underwriting expenses), and statutory combined ratios.

Our Investments segment is evaluated based on after-tax net investment income and net realized gains and losses.

In computing the results of each segment, we do not make adjustments for interest expense or net general corporate expenses; however, we do partially allocate taxes to various segments. Furthermore, we do not maintain separate investment portfolios for the segments and therefore, do not allocate assets to the segments.

The following summaries present revenues (net investment income and net realized gains on investments in the case of the Investments segment) and pre-tax income for the individual segments:
Revenue by Segment
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)
 
2017
 
2016
 
2017
 
2016
Standard Commercial Lines:
 
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
Net premiums earned:
 
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
Commercial automobile
 
$
111,711

 
100,612

 
327,156

 
294,927

Workers compensation
 
77,580

 
78,596

 
236,366

 
229,847

General liability
 
141,059

 
133,981

 
422,546

 
391,349

Commercial property
 
78,151

 
74,052

 
232,594

 
217,821

Businessowners’ policies
 
25,019

 
24,461

 
74,853

 
73,016

Bonds
 
7,420

 
5,795

 
20,904

 
16,924

Other
 
4,310

 
4,089

 
12,839

 
11,868

Miscellaneous income
 
1,712

 
1,925

 
7,588

 
6,182

Total Standard Commercial Lines revenue
 
446,962

 
423,511

 
1,334,846

 
1,241,934

Standard Personal Lines:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net premiums earned:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Personal automobile
 
38,612

 
34,865

 
113,225

 
106,526

Homeowners
 
32,215

 
32,031

 
97,382

 
98,342

Other
 
1,774

 
1,794

 
4,867

 
4,851

Miscellaneous income
 
282

 
275

 
938

 
836

Total Standard Personal Lines revenue
 
72,883

 
68,965

 
216,412

 
210,555

E&S Lines:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net premiums earned:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Commercial liability
 
40,090

 
38,991

 
117,056

 
112,787

Commercial property
 
14,114

 
13,162

 
41,151

 
38,561

Miscellaneous income
 

 
(1
)
 

 

Total E&S Lines revenue
 
54,204

 
52,152

 
158,207

 
151,348

Investments:
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Net investment income
 
40,446

 
33,375

 
119,295

 
95,326

Net realized investment gains
 
6,798

 
3,688

 
7,487

 
2,749

Total Investments revenue
 
47,244

 
37,063

 
126,782

 
98,075

Total revenues
 
$
621,293

 
581,691

 
1,836,247

 
1,701,912




18

Table of Contents

Income Before Federal Income Tax
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)
 
2017
 
2016
 
2017
 
2016
Standard Commercial Lines:
 
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
Underwriting gain
 
$
35,329

 
30,124

 
112,634

 
101,229

GAAP combined ratio
 
92.1
%
 
92.9

 
91.5

 
91.8

Statutory combined ratio
 
91.7

 
92.0

 
90.2

 
90.1

 
 
 
 


 


 


Standard Personal Lines:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Underwriting gain
 
$
8,179

 
4,271

 
7,517

 
19,001

GAAP combined ratio
 
88.7
%
 
93.8

 
96.5

 
90.9

Statutory combined ratio
 
86.4

 
92.0

 
95.2

 
90.7

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
E&S Lines:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Underwriting loss
 
$
(11,063
)
 
(2,362
)
 
(8,174
)
 
(3,465
)
GAAP combined ratio
 
120.4
%
 
104.5

 
105.2

 
102.3

Statutory combined ratio
 
120.1

 
101.4

 
104.6

 
100.9

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Investments:
 
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
Net investment income
 
$
40,446

 
33,375

 
119,295

 
95,326

Net realized investment gains
 
6,798

 
3,688

 
7,487

 
2,749

Total investment income, before federal income tax
 
47,244

 
37,063

 
126,782

 
98,075

Tax on investment income
 
13,236

 
9,752

 
34,572

 
24,290

      Total investment income, after federal income tax

$
34,008


27,311

 
92,210

 
73,785

Reconciliation of Segment Results to Income
Before Federal Income Tax
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)
 
2017
 
2016
 
2017
 
2016
Underwriting gain (loss), before federal income tax
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Standard Commercial Lines
 
$
35,329

 
30,124

 
112,634

 
101,229

Standard Personal Lines
 
8,179

 
4,271

 
7,517

 
19,001

E&S Lines
 
(11,063
)
 
(2,362
)
 
(8,174
)
 
(3,465
)
Investment income, before federal income tax
 
47,244

 
37,063

 
126,782

 
98,075

Total all segments
 
79,689

 
69,096

 
238,759

 
214,840

Interest expense
 
(6,085
)
 
(5,714
)
 
(18,272
)
 
(16,940
)
General corporate and other expenses
 
(6,289
)
 
(7,939
)
 
(26,669
)
 
(28,271
)
Income, before federal income tax
 
$
67,315

 
55,443


193,818

 
169,629


NOTE 10. Retirement Plans
SICA's primary pension plan is the Retirement Income Plan for Selective Insurance Company of America (the “Pension Plan”). SICA also sponsors the Supplemental Excess Retirement Plan (the “Excess Plan”) and a life insurance benefit plan. All plans are closed to new entrants and benefits ceased accruing under the Pension Plan and the Excess Plan after March 31, 2016. For more information concerning SICA's retirement plans, refer to Note 14. “Retirement Plans” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of our 2016 Annual Report.

The following tables provide information regarding the Pension Plan:
 
 
Pension Plan
 
Pension Plan
 
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)
 
2017
 
2016
 
2017
 
2016
Net Periodic Benefit Cost:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Service cost
 
$

 
41

 

 
1,647

Interest cost
 
3,111

 
3,049

 
9,332

 
9,252

Expected return on plan assets
 
(4,854
)
 
(5,006
)
 
(14,563
)
 
(12,982
)
Amortization of unrecognized net actuarial loss
 
481

 
1,763

 
1,444

 
4,724

Total net periodic (benefit) cost
 
$
(1,262
)
 
(153
)
 
(3,787
)
 
2,641


19

Table of Contents

 
 
Pension Plan
 
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
 
 
2017
 
2016
Weighted-Average Expense Assumptions:
 
 
 
 
Discount rate
 
4.41
%
 
4.69
%
Effective interest rate for calculation of service cost
 
 n/a

 
4.89

Effective interest rate for calculation of interest cost
 
3.83

 
4.02

Expected return on plan assets
 
6.24

 
6.37

Rate of compensation increase
 
 n/a

 
 n/a

 
NOTE 11. Comprehensive Income
The components of comprehensive income, both gross and net of tax, for Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017 and 2016 were as follows:
Third Quarter 2017
 
 
 
 
 
 
($ in thousands)
 
Gross
 
Tax
 
Net
Net income
 
$
67,315

 
20,597

 
46,718

Components of OCI:
 
 

 
 

 
 

Unrealized gains on investment securities:
 
 

 
 

 
 

Unrealized holding gains during period
 
16,729

 
5,855

 
10,874

Non-credit portion of OTTI recognized in OCI
 
30

 
11

 
19

Amounts reclassified into net income:
 
 
 
 
 
 
HTM securities
 
(54
)
 
(19
)
 
(35
)
Non-credit OTTI
 
38

 
13

 
25

Realized gains on AFS securities
 
(6,760
)
 
(2,366
)
 
(4,394
)
    Total unrealized gains on investment securities
 
9,983

 
3,494

 
6,489

Defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans:
 
 

 
 

 
 

Amounts reclassified into net income:
 
 

 
 

 
 

Net actuarial loss
 
507

 
178

 
329

    Total defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans
 
507

 
178

 
329

Other comprehensive income
 
10,490

 
3,672

 
6,818

Comprehensive income
 
$
77,805

 
24,269

 
53,536

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Third Quarter 2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
($ in thousands)
 
Gross
 
Tax
 
Net
Net income
 
$
55,443

 
16,941

 
38,502

Components of OCI:
 
 

 
 

 
 

Unrealized losses on investment securities:
 
 

 
 

 
 

Unrealized holding losses during period
 
(12,992
)
 
(4,548
)
 
(8,444
)
Amounts reclassified into net income:
 
 
 
 
 
 
HTM securities
 
(13
)
 
(4
)
 
(9
)
Realized gains on AFS securities
 
(3,684
)
 
(1,289
)
 
(2,395
)
    Total unrealized losses on investment securities
 
(16,689
)
 
(5,841
)
 
(10,848
)
Defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans:
 
 

 
 

 
 

Amounts reclassified into net income:
 
 

 
 

 
 

Net actuarial loss
 
1,615

 
565

 
1,050

    Total defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans
 
1,615

 
565

 
1,050

Other comprehensive loss
 
(15,074
)
 
(5,276
)
 
(9,798
)
Comprehensive income
 
$
40,369

 
11,665

 
28,704

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

20

Table of Contents

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Nine Months 2017
 
 
 
 
 
 
($ in thousands)
 
Gross
 
Tax
 
Net
Net income
 
$
193,818

 
55,234

 
138,584

Components of OCI:
 
 

 
 

 
 

Unrealized gains on investment securities:
 
 

 
 

 
 

Unrealized holding gains during period
 
78,401

 
27,440

 
50,961

Non-credit portion of OTTI recognized in OCI
 
36

 
13

 
23

Amounts reclassified into net income:
 
 
 
 
 
 
HTM securities
 
(146
)
 
(51
)
 
(95
)
Non-credit OTTI
 
38

 
13

 
25

Realized gains on AFS securities
 
(7,135
)
 
(2,497
)
 
(4,638
)
    Total unrealized gains on investment securities
 
71,194

 
24,918

 
46,276

Defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans:
 
 

 
 

 
 

Amounts reclassified into net income:
 
 

 
 
 
 
Net actuarial loss
 
1,522

 
533

 
989

    Total defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans
 
1,522

 
533

 
989

Other comprehensive income
 
72,716

 
25,451

 
47,265

Comprehensive income
 
$
266,534

 
80,685

 
185,849

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Nine Months 2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
($ in thousands)
 
Gross
 
Tax
 
Net
Net income
 
$
169,629

 
50,494

 
119,135

Components of OCI:
 
 

 
 
 
 
Unrealized gains on investment securities:
 
 

 
 
 
 
Unrealized holding gains during period
 
108,420

 
37,947

 
70,473

Non-credit portion of OTTI recognized in OCI
 
(10
)
 
(4
)
 
(6
)
Amounts reclassified into net income:
 
 
 
 
 
 
HTM securities
 
(104
)
 
(36
)
 
(68
)
Realized gains on AFS securities
 
(2,747
)
 
(961
)
 
(1,786
)
    Total unrealized gains on investment securities
 
105,559

 
36,946

 
68,613

Defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans:
 
 

 
 

 
 

Amounts reclassified into net income:
 
 

 
 
 
 
Net actuarial loss
 
4,648

 
1,627

 
3,021

    Total defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans
 
4,648

 
1,627

 
3,021

Other comprehensive income
 
110,207

 
38,573

 
71,634

Comprehensive income
 
$
279,836

 
89,067

 
190,769


The balances of, and changes in, each component of AOCI (net of taxes) as of September 30, 2017 were as follows:
September 30, 2017
 
 
 
Defined Benefit
Pension and Post-Retirement Plans
 
 
 
 
Net Unrealized Gains on Investment Securities
 
 
Total AOCI
($ in thousands)
 
OTTI
Related
 
HTM
Related
 
All
Other
 
Investments
Subtotal
 
 
Balance, December 31, 2016
 
$
(150
)
 
102

 
42,170

 
42,122

 
(58,072
)
 
(15,950
)
OCI before reclassifications
 
23

 

 
50,961

 
50,984

 

 
50,984

Amounts reclassified from AOCI
 
25

 
(95
)
 
(4,638
)
 
(4,708
)
 
989

 
(3,719
)
Net current period OCI
 
48

 
(95
)
 
46,323

 
46,276

 
989

 
47,265

Balance, September 30, 2017
 
$
(102
)
 
7

 
88,493

 
88,398

 
(57,083
)
 
31,315



21

Table of Contents

The reclassifications out of AOCI were as follows:
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
Affected Line Item in the Unaudited Consolidated Statement of Income
($ in thousands)
2017
 
2016
 
2017
 
2016
OTTI related
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Non-credit OTTI on disposed securities
$
38

 

 
38

 

Net realized gains
 
38

 

 
38

 

Income before federal income tax
 
(13
)
 

 
(13
)
 

Total federal income tax expense
 
25

 

 
25

 

Net income
HTM related
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unrealized losses on HTM disposals
11

 
73

 
41

 
161

Net realized gains
Amortization of net unrealized gains on HTM securities
(65
)
 
(86
)
 
(187
)
 
(265
)
Net investment income earned
 
(54
)
 
(13
)
 
(146
)
 
(104
)
Income before federal income tax
 
19

 
4

 
51

 
36

Total federal income tax expense
 
(35
)
 
(9
)
 
(95
)
 
(68
)
Net income
Realized gains on AFS and OTTI
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Realized gains on AFS disposals and OTTI
(6,760
)
 
(3,684
)
 
(7,135
)
 
(2,747
)
Net realized gains
 
(6,760
)
 
(3,684
)
 
(7,135
)
 
(2,747
)
Income before federal income tax
 
2,366

 
1,289

 
2,497

 
961

Total federal income tax expense
 
(4,394
)
 
(2,395
)
 
(4,638
)
 
(1,786
)
Net income
Defined benefit pension and post-retirement life plans
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net actuarial loss
110

 
351

 
331

 
1,009

Losses and loss expenses incurred
 
397

 
1,264

 
1,191

 
3,639

Policy acquisition costs
Total defined benefit pension and post-retirement life
507

 
1,615

 
1,522

 
4,648

Income before federal income tax
 
(178
)
 
(565
)
 
(533
)
 
(1,627
)
Total federal income tax expense
 
329

 
1,050

 
989

 
3,021

Net income
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total reclassifications for the period
$
(4,075
)
 
(1,354
)
 
(3,719
)
 
1,167

Net income

NOTE 12. Related Party Transactions
BlackRock, Inc., a leading publicly traded investment management firm (“BlackRock”), has purchased our common shares in the ordinary course of its investment business and has previously filed Schedules 13G/A with the SEC. On April 10, 2017, BlackRock filed a Schedule 13G/A reporting beneficial ownership as of March 31, 2017, of 12.7% of our common stock. In connection with purchasing our common shares, BlackRock filed the necessary filings with insurance regulatory authorities. On the basis of those filings, BlackRock is deemed not to be a controlling person for the purposes of applicable insurance law.

We are required to disclose related party information for our transactions with BlackRock. BlackRock is highly regulated, serves its clients as a fiduciary, and has a diverse platform of active (alpha) and index (beta) investment strategies across asset classes that enables it to tailor investment outcomes and asset allocation solutions for clients. BlackRock also offers the BlackRock Solutions® investment and risk management technology platform, Aladdin®, risk analytics, advisory and technology services and solutions to a broad base of institutional and wealth management investors. In Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017, we incurred expenses related to BlackRock of $0.5 million and $1.5 million for services rendered, respectively. No material expenses were incurred with BlackRock in Third Quarter 2016 and Nine Months 2016. Amounts payable for such services at September 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016, were $0.5 million and $0.4 million, respectively. All contracts with BlackRock were consummated in the ordinary course of business on an arm's-length basis.

We have no additional material transactions with related parties other than those disclosed in Note 16. "Related Party Transactions" included in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of our 2016 Annual Report.

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NOTE 13. Litigation
In the ordinary course of conducting business, we are named as defendants in various legal proceedings. Most of these proceedings are claims litigation involving our ten insurance subsidiaries ("Insurance Subsidiaries") as either: (i) liability insurers defending or providing indemnity for third-party claims brought against our customers; or (ii) insurers defending first-party coverage claims brought against them. We account for such activity through the establishment of unpaid losses and loss expense reserves. We expect that any potential ultimate liability in such ordinary course claims litigation will not be material to our consolidated financial condition, results of operations, or cash flows after consideration of provisions made for potential losses and costs of defense.
 
From time to time, our Insurance Subsidiaries also are named as defendants in other legal actions, some of which assert claims for substantial amounts. These actions include, among others, putative class actions seeking certification of a state or national class. Such putative class actions have alleged, for example, improper reimbursement of medical providers paid under workers compensation and personal and commercial automobile insurance policies. Similarly, our Insurance Subsidiaries are also named from time-to-time in individual actions seeking extra-contractual damages, punitive damages, or penalties, some of which allege bad faith in the handling of insurance claims. We believe that we have valid defenses to these cases. We expect that any potential ultimate liability in any such lawsuit will not be material to our consolidated financial condition, after consideration of provisions made for estimated losses. Nonetheless, given the inherent unpredictability of litigation and the large or indeterminate amounts sought in certain of these actions, an adverse outcome in certain matters could possibly have a material adverse effect on our consolidated results of operations or cash flows in particular quarterly or annual periods.

As of September 30, 2017, we do not believe the Company was involved in any legal action that could have a material adverse effect on our consolidated financial condition, results of operations, or cash flows.


23

Table of Contents

ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS.

Forward-Looking Statements
As used herein, the "Company," "we," "us," or "our" refers to Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (the "Parent"), and its subsidiaries, except as expressly indicated or unless the context otherwise requires. In this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, we discuss and make statements regarding our intentions, beliefs, current expectations, and projections regarding our company’s future operations and performance. Such statements are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements are often identified by words such as “anticipates,” “believes,” “expects,” “will,” “should,” and “intends” and their negatives. We caution prospective investors that such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. Risks and uncertainties are inherent in our future performance. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated by such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, those discussed under Item 1A. “Risk Factors” below in Part II. “Other Information.” These risk factors may not be exhaustive. We operate in a continually changing business environment and new risk factors emerge from time to time. We can neither predict such new risk factors nor can we assess the impact, if any, of such new risk factors on our businesses or the extent to which any factor or combination of factors may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements in this report. In light of these risks, uncertainties, and assumptions, the forward-looking events discussed in this report might not occur. We make forward-looking statements based on currently available information and assume no obligation to update these statements due to changes in underlying factors, new information, future developments, or otherwise.
  
Introduction
The Parent, through its ten insurance subsidiaries, collectively referred to as the "Insurance Subsidiaries", offers property and casualty insurance products in the standard and excess and surplus ("E&S") marketplaces. We classify our business into four reportable segments, which are as follows:

Standard Commercial Lines;
Standard Personal Lines;
E&S Lines; and
Investments.

For further details regarding these segments, refer to Note 9. "Segment Information" in Item 1. "Financial Statements." of this Form 10-Q and Note 11. "Segment Information" in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2016 ("2016 Annual Report").

Our Standard Commercial and Standard Personal Lines products and services are written through nine of our Insurance Subsidiaries, some of which write flood business through the Write Your Own ("WYO") program of the National Flood Insurance Program ("NFIP"). Our E&S products and services are written through one subsidiary, Mesa Underwriters Specialty Insurance Company ("MUSIC"). This subsidiary provides us with a nationally-authorized non-admitted platform to offer insurance products and services to customers who have not obtained coverage in the standard marketplace.
The following is Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) of the consolidated results of operations and financial condition, as well as known trends and uncertainties, that may have a material impact in future periods. Consequently, investors should read the MD&A in conjunction with Item 1. "Financial Statements." of this Form 10-Q and the consolidated financial statements in our 2016 Annual Report filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC").
In the MD&A, we will discuss and analyze the following:
Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates;
Financial Highlights of Results for the third quarters ended September 30, 2017 (“Third Quarter 2017”) and September 30, 2016 (“Third Quarter 2016”) and the nine-month periods ended September 30, 2017 ("Nine Months 2017") and September 30, 2016 ("Nine Months 2016");
Results of Operations and Related Information by Segment;
Federal Income Taxes;
Financial Condition, Liquidity, and Capital Resources;
Ratings;
Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements; and
Contractual Obligations, Contingent Liabilities, and Commitments.

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Table of Contents


Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates
Our unaudited interim consolidated financial statements include amounts based on our informed estimates and judgments for those transactions that are not yet complete. Such estimates and judgments affect the reported amounts in the consolidated financial statements. Those estimates and judgments that were most critical to the preparation of the consolidated financial statements involved the following: (i) reserves for loss and loss expenses; (ii) pension and post-retirement benefit plan actuarial assumptions; (iii) investment valuation and other-than-temporary-impairments ("OTTI"); and (iv) reinsurance. These estimates and judgments require the use of assumptions about matters that are highly uncertain and, therefore, are subject to change as facts and circumstances develop. If different estimates and judgments had been applied, materially different amounts might have been reported in the financial statements. For additional information regarding our critical accounting policies, refer to pages 37 through 45 of our 2016 Annual Report.
 
Financial Highlights of Results for Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017 and Third Quarter and Nine Months 20161 
($ and shares in thousands, except per share amounts)
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Change
% or Points
 
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
 
Change
% or Points
 
 
2017
 
2016
 
 
 
2017
 
2016
 
 
Generally Accepted Accounting Principles ("GAAP") measures:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Revenues
 
$
621,293

 
581,691

 
7

%
 
$
1,836,247

 
1,701,912

 
8

%
After-tax net investment income
 
29,590

 
24,913

 
19

 
 
87,344

 
71,998

 
21

 
Pre-tax net income
 
67,315

 
55,443

 
21

 
 
193,818

 
169,629

 
14

 
Net income
 
46,718

 
38,502

 
21

 
 
138,584

 
119,135

 
16

 
Diluted net income per share
 
0.79

 
0.66

 
20

 
 
2.34

 
2.03

 
15

 
Diluted weighted-average outstanding shares
 
59,323

 
58,731

 
1

 
 
59,232

 
58,612

 
1

 
GAAP combined ratio
 
94.3
%
 
94.1

 
0.2

pts 
 
93.4
%
 
92.7

 
0.7

pts 
   Statutory combined ratio
 
93.7

 
92.9

 
0.8

 
 
92.2

 
91.2

 
1.0

 
Invested assets per dollar of stockholders' equity
 
$
3.36

 
3.41

 
(1
)
%
 
$
3.36

 
3.41

 
(1
)
%
After-tax yield on investments
 
2.1
%
 
1.9

 
0.2

pts
 
2.1
%
 
1.8

 
0.3

pts
Annualized return on average equity ("ROE")
 
11.2

 
9.8

 
1.4

 
 
11.4

 
10.7

 
0.7

 
Non-GAAP measures:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Operating income2
 
$
42,300

 
36,104

 
17

%
 
$
133,718

 
117,348

 
14

%
Diluted operating income per share2
 
0.72

 
0.62

 
16

 
 
2.26

 
2.00

 
13

 
Annualized operating ROE2
 
10.1
%
 
9.2

 
0.9

pts 
 
11.0
%
 
10.5

 
0.5

pts 
1 
Refer to the Glossary of Terms attached to our 2016 Annual Report as Exhibit 99.1 for definitions of terms used in this Form 10-Q.
2 
Operating income is used as an important financial measure by us, analysts, and investors, because the realization of investment gains and losses on sales in any given period is largely discretionary as to timing. In addition, these realized investment gains and losses, as well as OTTI that are charged to earnings and the results of discontinued operations, could distort the analysis of trends.

Reconciliations of net income, net income per share, and annualized ROE to operating income, operating income per share, and annualized operating ROE, respectively, are provided in the tables below:
Reconciliation of net income to operating income
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)
 
2017
 
2016
 
2017
 
2016
Net income
 
$
46,718

 
38,502

 
138,584

 
119,135

Exclude: Net realized gains
 
(6,798
)
 
(3,688
)
 
(7,487
)
 
(2,749
)
Exclude: Tax on net realized gains
 
2,380

 
1,290

 
2,621

 
962

Operating income
 
$
42,300

 
36,104

 
133,718

 
117,348

Reconciliation of net income per share to operating income per share
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
 
 
2017
 
2016
 
2017
 
2016
Diluted net income per share
 
$
0.79

 
0.66

 
2.34

 
2.03

Exclude: Net realized gains per share
 
(0.11
)
 
(0.06
)
 
(0.13
)
 
(0.05
)
Exclude: Tax on net realized gains per share
 
0.04

 
0.02

 
0.05

 
0.02

Diluted operating income per share
 
$
0.72

 
0.62

 
2.26

 
2.00


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Table of Contents

Reconciliation of annualized ROE to annualized operating ROE
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
 
 
2017
 
2016
 
2017
 
2016
Insurance segments
 
5.0
 %
 
5.3
 %
 
6.0
 %
 
6.8

Investment income1
 
7.1

 
6.4

 
7.2

 
6.5

Other
 
(2.0
)
 
(2.5
)
 
(2.2
)
 
(2.8
)
Net realized gains
 
1.6

 
0.9

 
0.6

 
0.2

Tax on net realized gains
 
(0.5
)
 
(0.3
)
 
(0.2
)
 

Annualized ROE
 
11.2
 %
 
9.8

 
11.4

 
10.7

Exclude: Net realized gains
 
(1.6
)
 
(0.9
)
 
(0.6
)
 
(0.2
)
Exclude: Tax on net realized gains
 
0.5

 
0.3

 
0.2

 

Annualized operating ROE
 
10.1
 %
 
9.2

 
11.0

 
10.5

1 Investment segment results are the combination of "Net investment income earned," "Net realized gains," and "Tax on net realized gains."

Our Nine Months 2017 results continue to reflect our efforts to: (i) drive renewal pure price increases at the account level within our Standard Commercial Lines segment and overall rate level increases in our Standard Personal Lines segment; (ii) generate new business; and (iii) improve the underlying profitability of our business through various underwriting and claims initiatives. Our net premiums written ("NPW") growth of 5% for Nine Months 2017 was driven by our strong franchise value with our "ivy league" distribution partners. For more than eight years, our Standard Commercial Lines renewal pure price increases have cumulatively outperformed the Willis Towers Watson Commercial Lines Pricing (or CLIPs) survey by approximately 1,900 basis points, while maintaining high retention rates. In addition, NPW growth was aided by the net appointment of 81 additional retail agents in 2016 and 56 retail agents in Nine Months 2017, which is exclusive of 27 agents that have been appointed in our new states of Arizona and New Hampshire and our targeted geographic expansion state of Colorado.

In addition to the cumulative pure renewal price increases we have achieved over the past several years, we have driven underwriting and claims process enhancements, and we have added higher quality accounts. For example, our workers compensation book of business, which represents approximately 18% of our Standard Commercial Lines business, continues to benefit from the steps we have taken in recent years to increase premium rates and improve business mix by shifting towards lower hazard and smaller accounts from higher hazard and larger accounts. Additionally, claims initiatives, such as reducing workers compensation medical costs through more favorable Preferred Provider Organization ("PPO") contracts and greater PPO penetration, have helped improve profitability of this line. The workers compensation statutory combined ratio was a profitable 85.1% in Nine Months 2017. For a full discussion of the claims initiatives that we have deployed, refer to the “Reserves for Losses and Loss Expenses” section within Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates in Item 7. “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.” of our 2016 Annual Report.

Our commercial automobile line of business has been unprofitable in recent years and remains an area of focus as we are taking steps to improve profitability in this line of business. In Third Quarter 2017, we recorded unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development and an increase to current year loss costs for this line. We will continue to actively implement renewal pure price increases on this line, which have averaged 6.7% in Nine Months 2017. We have also been managing our in-force book of business in targeted industry segments and we have been reducing exposures to higher hazard classes to improve the underlying profitability of this business.

Our E&S Lines segment also remains a focus area, with a combined ratio of 120.4% for Third Quarter 2017 and 105.2% for Nine Months 2017. We face a competitive environment in this segment, and our pricing and underwriting initiatives aimed at improving profitability have resulted in a decline in new business volume in both the quarter and year-to-date periods, although we expect this decline to be temporary.

After-tax net investment income grew 21% in Nine Months 2017 compared to Nine Months 2016, driven by higher yields on our fixed income securities portfolio and improved returns on our alternative investments portfolio. We are continuing the more active management approach to our investment portfolio that we deployed in 2016 to maximize the after-tax income and total return of the portfolio, while maintaining a similar level of credit quality and duration risk. We have increased our long-term target risk asset allocation and modestly increased our exposure to non-investment grade fixed income securities, private equity investments, and private credit strategies to further diversify our allocation within risk assets. Our risk assets, which include public equities, non-investment grade fixed income securities, private equity investments, and other limited partnership private investments, represented 7.6% of our total invested assets at September 30, 2017 and may increase to approximately 10% over time.

Underwriting profitability and the more active management of our investment portfolio contributed to our long-term goal of generating an operating ROE that is approximately 300 basis points in excess of our weighted average cost of capital over time.

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Table of Contents

Our annualized operating ROE increased in Nine Months 2017 to 11.0%, compared to 10.5% in Nine Months 2016, mainly due to the increase in investment income mentioned above and a reduction in corporate expenses. These improvements were partially offset by higher catastrophe losses in 2017 that adversely impacted our insurance segments. Third Quarter 2017 is expected to be a record for the property and casualty insurance industry in terms of insured catastrophe losses, which according to some modeling agencies, could exceed $100 billion in the aggregate. Despite the occurrence of these major events, our results this year continued to be strong and the two U.S. landfalling hurricanes added a modest 2.5 points to our combined ratio for Third Quarter 2017. This is, in part, a result of our continued focus on our initiative to shift business towards lower hazard and smaller accounts from higher hazard and larger accounts, and our prudent underwriting risk appetite.
Insurance Segments
The key metric in understanding our insurance segments’ contribution to annualized operating ROE is the GAAP combined ratio. The following table provides a quantitative foundation for analyzing this ratio:
All Lines
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Change % or Points
 
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
 
Change % or Points
 
($ in thousands)
 
2017
 
2016
 
 
 
2017
 
2016
 
 
GAAP Insurance Operations Results:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
NPW
 
$
604,277

 
578,773

 
4

%
 
$
1,816,795

 
1,722,272

 
5

%
Net premiums earned (“NPE”)
 
572,055

 
542,429

 
5

 
 
1,700,939

 
1,596,819

 
7

 
Less:
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Losses and loss expenses incurred
 
344,587

 
316,258

 
9

 
 
1,003,618

 
911,881

 
10

 
Net underwriting expenses incurred
 
193,975

 
193,597

 

 
 
582,469

 
564,361

 
3

 
Dividends to policyholders
 
1,048

 
541

 
94

 
 
2,875

 
3,812

 
(25
)
 
Underwriting gain
 
$
32,445

 
32,033

 
1

%
 
$
111,977

 
116,765

 
(4
)
%
GAAP Ratios:
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Loss and loss expense ratio
 
60.2

%
58.3

 
1.9

pts 
 
59.0

%
57.1

 
1.9

pts 
Underwriting expense ratio
 
33.9

 
35.7

 
(1.8
)
 
 
34.2

 
35.4

 
(1.2
)
 
Dividends to policyholders ratio
 
0.2

 
0.1

 
0.1

 
 
0.2

 
0.2

 

 
Combined ratio
 
94.3

 
94.1

 
0.2

 
 
93.4

 
92.7

 
0.7

 
Statutory Ratios:
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Loss and loss expense ratio
 
60.3

 
58.3

 
2.0

 
 
59.0

 
57.0

 
2.0

 
Underwriting expense ratio
 
33.2

 
34.5

 
(1.3
)
 
 
33.0

 
34.0

 
(1.0
)
 
Dividends to policyholders ratio
 
0.2

 
0.1

 
0.1

 
 
0.2

 
0.2

 

 
Combined ratio
 
93.7

%
92.9

 
0.8

pts 
 
92.2

%
91.2

 
1.0

pts 

The GAAP loss and loss expense ratio increased 1.9 points in Third Quarter 2017 and Nine Months 2017 compared to the same prior year periods, driven by:
 
Third Quarter 2017
 
Third Quarter 2016
 
 
($ in millions)
Losses and Loss Expenses Incurred
Impact on
Loss and Loss Expense Ratio
 
 
Losses and Loss
Expenses
Incurred
Impact on
Loss and Loss Expense Ratio
 
Change in Ratio
 
Catastrophe losses
$
23.7

4.1

pts
 
$
10.4

1.9

pts
2.2

pts
Favorable prior year casualty reserve development
(9.9
)
(1.7
)
 
 
(19.0
)
(3.5
)
 
1.8

 
Non-catastrophe property losses
71.8

12.6

 
 
78.5

14.5

 
(1.9
)
 
Total
85.6

15.0

 
 
69.9

12.9

 
2.1

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Nine Months 2017
 
Nine Months 2016
 
 
($ in millions)
Losses and Loss Expenses Incurred
Impact on
Loss and Loss Expense Ratio
 
 
Losses and Loss
Expenses
Incurred
Impact on
Loss and Loss Expense Ratio
 
Change in Ratio
 
Catastrophe losses
$
65.3

3.8

pts
 
$
33.2

2.1

pts
1.7

pts
Favorable prior year casualty reserve development
(38.6
)
(2.3
)
 
 
(46.0
)
(2.9
)
 
0.6

 
Non-catastrophe property losses
216.5

12.7

 
 
209.2

13.1

 
(0.4
)
 
Total
243.2

14.2

 
 
196.4

12.3

 
1.9

 


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Table of Contents

Third Quarter 2017 catastrophe losses of $23.7 million were driven by the following hurricane activity: (i) $8.2 million, or 1.4 points, related to Hurricane Irma; and (ii) $6.2 million, or 1.1 points, related to Hurricane Harvey. The remaining catastrophe losses in the quarter were from smaller events and development on events that occurred in the first half of 2017.

Details of the favorable prior year casualty reserve development were as follows:
(Favorable)/Unfavorable Prior Year Casualty Reserve Development
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
 
($ in millions)
2017
 
2016
 
2017
 
2016
 
General liability
$
(10.9
)
 
(11.0
)
 
(48.3
)
 
(33.0
)
 
Commercial automobile
5.0

 
7.0

 
26.0

 
20.0

 
Workers compensation
(14.0
)
 
(15.0
)
 
(29.3
)
 
(36.0
)
 
Bonds

 

 
(2.0
)
 

 
   Total Standard Commercial Lines
(19.9
)
 
(19.0
)
 
(53.6
)
 
(49.0
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Homeowners

 

 
1.0

 

 
Personal automobile

 

 
4.0

 

 
   Total Standard Personal Lines

 

 
5.0

 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
E&S
10.0

 

 
10.0

 
3.0

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total (favorable) prior year casualty reserve development
$
(9.9
)
 
(19.0
)
 
(38.6
)
 
(46.0
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Favorable) impact on loss ratio
(1.7
)
pts
(3.5
)
 
(2.3
)
 
(2.9
)
 

For a qualitative discussion of this reserve development, please refer to the respective insurance segment section below in
"Results of Operations and Related Information by Segment."

The increases in the GAAP loss and loss expense ratio in both periods were partially offset by improvements in the GAAP underwriting expense ratio of 1.8 points in Third Quarter 2017 and 1.2 points in Nine Months 2017 compared to the same periods last year. This underwriting expense ratio reduction was due, in part, to:

A 0.7-point and 0.5-point decrease in commissions to our distribution partners in Third Quarter 2017 and Nine Months 2017, respectively due to lower supplemental commission expense, as well as lower base commission expenses that were driven by targeted actions we took in Third Quarter 2016 on our homeowners book of business;

A 0.2-point and 0.3-point decrease in pension expense in Third Quarter 2017 and Nine Months 2017, respectively, reflecting expected returns on pension plan assets that have outpaced expenses in the current year periods. As our pension plan ceased accruing benefits on March 31, 2016, we extended the amortization period for the net actuarial loss from the average remaining service life of active participants to the average remaining life expectancy of plan participants, which drove the decrease in plan expenses. For additional information on our pension plan, refer to Note 10. "Retirement Plans" in Item 1. "Financial Statements." of this Form 10-Q; and

A 0.6-point and 0.5-point decrease in labor expenses as a percentage of premium in Third Quarter 2017 and Nine Months 2017, respectively, as we recognized productivity gains from the growth of our business.

Investments Segment
In total, our investment segment contributed 8.2 points to our overall annualized ROE in Third Quarter 2017 and 7.6 points in Nine Months 2017, compared to 7.0 points in Third Quarter 2016 and 6.7 points in Nine Months 2016. These increases were driven by improved yields on our fixed income securities portfolio. Additionally, our alternative investments portfolio reported pre-tax income of $2.7 million in Third Quarter 2017 and $9.5 million in Nine Months 2017, compared to pre-tax income of $1.6 million in Third Quarter 2016 and no income in Nine Months 2016. Returns in our alternative investments portfolio in 2016 were negatively impacted by investments in the energy sector.

Other
Our other expenses, which are primarily comprised of stock compensation expense at the holding company level, reduced our overall annualized ROE by 2.0 points in Third Quarter 2017 and 2.2 points in Nine Months 2017, compared to 2.5 points in Third Quarter 2016 and 2.8 points in Nine Months 2016. In 2017, we restructured our newly-issued stock compensation awards to be more aligned with grant date fair value expense treatment and lowered the allocation to awards that require fair value adjustments subsequent to grant date. However, the 25% increase in our stock price during Nine Months 2017 has resulted in fair value adjustments to our outstanding awards that have partially offset the savings associated with the structural changes. Additionally, Nine Months 2017 included a tax benefit associated with stock compensation activity from the first quarter that benefited our overall annualized ROE by 0.3 points.

28

Table of Contents


For additional information on the tax effects of share-based compensation, refer to Note 2. "Adoption of Accounting Pronouncements" in Item 1. "Financial Statements." of this Form 10-Q.

Outlook
The insurance industry incurred a record level of catastrophe losses with some estimates for the three hurricanes, Harvey, Irma and Maria, exceeding $100 billion in the aggregate. Our third quarter results remained solid despite the elevated level of industry catastrophe losses, benefiting from our geographic concentration in the Northeast and Mid Atlantic states and our prudent underwriting risk appetite. These industry losses will likely serve as a reminder to anticipate and price for expected catastrophe losses. As increases in reinsurance costs will likely be seen in the marketplace going forward, particularly for loss-impacted property catastrophe reinsurance programs, these costs may ultimately result in improving primary property rates as well.

Internally, we continue to seek additional growth opportunities in our insurance operations while achieving rate and working towards our profit targets. Our NPW growth has exceeded the industry’s growth rate, while we are generating solid underwriting margins. In addition, we have about a 1.3% standard commercial lines market share in our long-term 22 state footprint and the District of Columbia, and our long-term goal is to increase this market share to approximately 3%. By offering our distribution partners superior technology solutions and customer experience, we are targeting a 12% share of the standard commercial lines business within our independent agencies, which we refer to as our "share of wallet." As of September 30, 2017, our share of wallet with agencies with which we have an established relationship was approximately 8%. We are also seeking to increase our agency appointments over time to represent a 25% market share of the states in which we are fully operational, from our current 18% share. We believe our relationships with our distribution partners are among the strongest in the industry and underpin our success. During Nine Months 2017, we appointed 83 of the 85 new agents we are planning for this year, net of agency terminations.

Effective July 1, 2017, we opened Arizona and New Hampshire for Standard Commercial Lines business. We have appointed a total of 26 agents in these states, with appointments in each state controlling about 25% of that state's available commercial lines premium. We began quoting business during the second quarter of 2017, with policies being effective on or after July 1, 2017. Direct premiums written in these states in Third Quarter 2017 totaled $5.6 million. Our approach to entering these states has been consistent with our agent franchise business model, which is predicated around our field-based underwriting, claims, and customer service. We expect to open Colorado for Standard Commercial Lines business in early 2018 and Utah and New Mexico later in 2018.

In our Investments segment, we generated after-tax net investment income of $87.3 million in Nine Months 2017 and are on track to exceed our original full year guidance. Our challenge in 2017 is navigating the increased market volatility that may accompany uncertainty regarding fiscal and monetary policy changes. We are positioning ourselves for a more competitive environment with a focus on generating adequate returns for our shareholders. We are preparing ourselves for changes in a period of heightened uncertainty surrounding interest rates, tax law changes, legislative changes, and inflation. We also have a number of internal strategic initiatives in place to enhance our technological offerings to our agents, while improving the overall customer experience.

After three quarters of results, we are increasing our full-year 2017 after-tax net investment income guidance by $2 million, to $115 million, with all other assumptions remaining the same. Our full-year expectations are as follows:
A statutory combined ratio, excluding catastrophe losses, of approximately 89.5%. This assumes no prior year casualty reserve development in the fourth quarter;
Catastrophe losses of 3.5 points;
After-tax net investment income of $115 million; and
Weighted average shares of approximately 59.2 million.


29

Table of Contents

Results of Operations and Related Information by Segment

Standard Commercial Lines
 
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Change
% or
Points
 
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
 
Change
% or
Points
 
($ in thousands)
 
2017
 
2016
 
 
 
2017
 
2016
 
 
GAAP Insurance Operations Results:
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
NPW
 
$
472,051

 
449,544

 
5

%
 
$
1,434,516

 
1,353,615

 
6

%
NPE
 
445,250

 
421,586

 
6

 
 
1,327,258

 
1,235,752

 
7

 
Less:
 
 
 
  

 
 

 
 
 
 
  
 
 
 
Losses and loss expenses incurred
 
254,870

 
238,215

 
7

 
 
749,310

 
683,183

 
10

 
Net underwriting expenses incurred
 
154,003

 
152,706

 
1

 
 
462,439

 
447,528

 
3

 
Dividends to policyholders
 
1,048

 
541

 
94

 
 
2,875

 
3,812

 
(25
)
 
Underwriting gain
 
$
35,329

 
30,124

 
17

%
 
$
112,634

 
101,229

 
11

%
GAAP Ratios:
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Loss and loss expense ratio
 
57.3

%
56.5

 
0.8

pts
 
56.5

%
55.3

 
1.2

pts
Underwriting expense ratio
 
34.6

 
36.3

 
(1.7
)
 
 
34.8

 
36.2

 
(1.4
)
 
Dividends to policyholders ratio
 
0.2

 
0.1

 
0.1

 
 
0.2

 
0.3

 
(0.1
)
 
Combined ratio
 
92.1

 
92.9

 
(0.8
)
 
 
91.5

 
91.8

 
(0.3
)
 
Statutory Ratios:
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Loss and loss expense ratio
 
57.4

 
56.5

 
0.9

 
 
56.5

 
55.2

 
1.3

 
Underwriting expense ratio
 
34.1

 
35.4

 
(1.3
)
 
 
33.5

 
34.6

 
(1.1
)
 
Dividends to policyholders ratio
 
0.2

 
0.1

 
0.1

 
 
0.2

 
0.3

 
(0.1
)
 
Combined ratio
 
91.7

%
92.0

 
(0.3
)
pts
 
90.2

%
90.1

 
0.1

pts

The increases in NPW in Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017 compared to Third Quarter and Nine Months 2016 were driven by: (i) direct new business; (ii) renewal pure price increases; and (iii) strong retention.
 
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in millions)
 
2017
 
2016
 
2017
 
2016
Retention
 
85

%
84

 
84
%
 
83

Renewal pure price increases
 
2.7

 
2.5

 
2.9

 
2.6

Direct new business
 
$
96.9

 
89.2

 
$
284.4

 
272.4


The NPE increases in Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017 compared to Third Quarter and Nine Months 2016 were consistent with the fluctuation in NPW for the twelve-month period ended September 30, 2017 compared with the twelve-month period ended September 30, 2016.

The GAAP loss and loss expense ratio increased 0.8 points in Third Quarter 2017 compared to Third Quarter 2016 and 1.2 points in Nine Months 2017 compared to Nine Months 2016. This increase was driven by the following:
 
Third Quarter 2017
 
Third Quarter 2016
 
 
($ in millions)
Losses and Loss Expenses Incurred
Impact on
Loss and Loss Expense Ratio
 
 
Losses and Loss
Expenses
Incurred
Impact on
Loss and Loss Expense Ratio
 
Change in Ratio
 
Catastrophe losses
$
14.3

3.2

pts
 
$
6.2

1.5

pts
1.7

pts
Non-catastrophe property losses
49.1

11.0

 
 
51.6

12.2

 
(1.2
)
 
Favorable prior year casualty reserve development
(19.9
)
(4.5
)
 
 
(19.0
)
(4.5
)
 

 
Total
43.5

9.7

 
 
38.8

9.2

 
0.5

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Nine Months 2017
 
Nine Months 2016
 
 
($ in millions)
Losses and Loss Expenses Incurred
Impact on
Loss and Loss Expense Ratio
 
 
Losses and Loss
Expenses
Incurred
Impact on
Loss and Loss Expense Ratio
 
Change in Ratio
 
Catastrophe losses
$
38.1

2.9

pts
 
$
21.5

1.7

pts
1.2

pts
Non-catastrophe property losses
147.0

11.1

 
 
136.8

11.1

 

 
Favorable prior year casualty reserve development
(53.6
)
(4.0
)
 
 
(49.0
)
(4.0
)
 

 
Total
131.5

10.0

 
 
109.3

8.8

 
1.2

 

30

Table of Contents


For additional information regarding the favorable prior year casualty reserve development by line of business, see the "Financial Highlights of Results for Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017 and Third Quarter and Nine Months 2016" section above and the line of business discussions below.

The GAAP underwriting expense ratio decreased 1.7 points in Third Quarter 2017 and 1.4 points in Nine Months 2017 compared to the same prior year periods due primarily to the following:
Lower supplemental and base commissions to our distribution partners of approximately 0.5 points in the quarter and 0.4 points in the year-to-date period;
Lower pension expense of 0.2 points in the quarter and 0.3 points in the year-to-date period; and
Decreases in labor expenses as a percentage of premium as we recognized productivity gains from the growth of our business.

The following is a discussion of our most significant Standard Commercial Lines of business and their respective statutory results:
General Liability
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Change
% or
Points
 
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
 
Change
% or
Points
 
($ in thousands)
 
2017
 
2016
 
 
 
2017
 
2016
 
 
Statutory NPW
 
$
147,858

 
141,556

 
4

%
 
$
461,716

 
431,751

 
7

%
  Direct new business
 
28,067

 
25,646

 
9

 
 
84,986

 
80,622

 
5

 
  Retention
 
85

%
84

 
1

pts
 
83

%
83

 

pts
  Renewal pure price increases
 
2.4

 
1.7

 
0.7

 
 
2.5

 
1.8

 
0.7

 
Statutory NPE
 
$
141,059

 
133,981

 
5

%
 
$
422,546

 
391,349

 
8

%
Statutory combined ratio
 
83.1

%
84.7

 
(1.6
)
pts
 
78.2

%
83.9

 
(5.7
)
pts
% of total statutory Standard Commercial Lines NPW
 
31

 
31

 
 

 
 
32

 
32

 
 

 
The statutory combined ratio decrease in Third Quarter 2017 compared to Third Quarter 2016 was driven primarily by: (i) lower supplemental commissions to our distribution partners of 0.7 points; and (ii) a decrease in current year loss costs that reduced the combined ratio by 0.3 points. These were partially offset by lower favorable prior year casualty reserve development, as illustrated in the table below.

The statutory combined ratio decrease in Nine Months 2017 compared to Nine Months 2016 was driven primarily by: (i) favorable prior year casualty reserve development, as illustrated in the table below; (ii) lower supplemental commissions to our distribution partners of 0.6 points; (iii) a decrease in current year loss costs that reduced the combined ratio by 0.4 points; and (iv) lower pension expense of 0.4 points.


Third Quarter 2017
Third Quarter 2016


($ in millions)
(Benefit) Expense
Impact on
Combined Ratio

 (Benefit) Expense
Impact on
Combined Ratio

Change
Points

Favorable prior year casualty reserve development
$
(10.9
)
(7.7
)
pts
$
(11.0
)
(8.2
)
pts
0.5

pts
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Nine Months 2017
Nine Months 2016
 
 
($ in millions)
(Benefit) Expense
Impact on
Combined Ratio
 
 (Benefit) Expense
Impact on
Combined Ratio
 
Change
Points
 
Favorable prior year casualty reserve development
$
(48.3
)
(11.4
)
pts
$
(33.0
)
(8.4
)
pts
(3.0
)
pts

The significant drivers of the development were as follows:

Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017: Development was primarily attributable to lower claims frequencies and severities primarily in accident years 2015 and prior, particularly in the products liability and excess liability segments.

Third Quarter and Nine Months 2016: Development was primarily attributable to lower claims frequencies and severities in the 2012 through 2014 accident years, particularly in the products liability and excess liability segments.


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Table of Contents

Commercial Automobile
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Change
% or
Points
 
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
 
Change
% or
Points
 
($ in thousands)
 
2017
 
2016
 
 
 
2017
 
2016
 
 
Statutory NPW
 
$
121,749

 
108,655

 
12

%
 
$
358,198

 
325,751

 
10
%
  Direct new business
 
21,906

 
18,953

 
16

 
 
61,456

 
58,225

 
6
 
  Retention
 
86

%
85

 
1

pts
 
84

%
84

 
pts
  Renewal pure price increases
 
6.5

 
4.8

 
1.7

 
 
6.7

 
4.9

 
1.8
 
Statutory NPE
 
$
111,711

 
100,612

 
11

%
 
$
327,156

 
294,927

 
11
%
Statutory combined ratio
 
113.1

%
114.5

 
(1.4
)
pts
 
111.0

%
108.9

 
2.1
pts
% of total statutory Standard Commercial Lines NPW
 
26

 
24

 
 

 
 
25

 
24

 
 
 

The decrease in the statutory combined ratio of 1.4 points in Third Quarter 2017 compared to Third Quarter 2016 was driven by underwriting expenses that were down 2.0 points. This decrease, coupled with lower unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development, was partially offset by an increase in the current year loss costs of 3.4 points. Quantitative information on the prior year development and property losses is as follows:
 
Third Quarter 2017
 
Third Quarter 2016
 
 
($ in millions)
Losses Incurred
Impact on
Combined Ratio
 
 
Losses Incurred
Impact on
Combined Ratio
 
Change in Ratio
 
Unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development
$
5.0

4.5

pts
 
$
7.0

7.0

pts
(2.5
)
pts
Catastrophe losses
0.5

0.5

 
 
0.4

0.4

 
0.1

 
Non-catastrophe property losses
18.5

16.6

 
 
16.6

16.5

 
0.1

 
Total
24.0

21.6

 
 
24.0

23.9

 
(2.3
)
 

The year-to-date period also benefited from underwriting expenses that were 1.3 points lower compared to Nine Months 2016; however, this benefit was more than offset by a 4.2-point increase in current year loss reserve estimates. In addition, quantitative information regarding prior year development and property losses is included in the following table:
 
Nine Months 2017
 
Nine Months 2016
 
 
($ in millions)
Losses Incurred
Impact on
Combined Ratio
 
 
Losses Incurred
Impact on Combined Ratio
 
Change in Ratio
 
Unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development
$
26.0

7.9
pts
 
$
20.0

6.8
pts
1.1

pts
Catastrophe losses
1.6

0.5
 
 
0.7

0.2
 
0.3

 
Non-catastrophe property losses
48.9

14.9
 
 
46.4

15.7
 
(0.8
)
 
Total
76.5

23.3
 
 
67.1

22.7
 
0.6

 

The significant drivers of the development were as follows:

Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017: Development was primarily due to higher claims frequencies, and some increases in claim severities, in accident years 2015 and 2016.

Third Quarter and Nine Months 2016: Development was primarily due to higher severities in the 2013 and 2014 accident years coupled with higher claims frequencies in the 2015 accident year.

The decreases in the statutory underwriting expense ratios in Third Quarter 2017 and Nine Months 2017 compared to the same prior year periods were driven primarily by the growth in premiums earned, which has more than outpaced fixed expenses, coupled with: (i) lower supplemental commissions to our distribution partners; and (ii) a reduction in pension expense.


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Table of Contents

Workers Compensation
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Change
% or
Points
 
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
 
Change
% or
Points
 
($ in thousands)
 
2017
 
2016
 
 
 
2017
 
2016
 
 
Statutory NPW
 
$
80,252

 
81,646

 
(2
)
%
 
$
253,446

 
252,032

 
1

%
Direct new business
 
18,617

 
17,952

 
4

 
 
52,923

 
52,763

 

 
Retention
 
85

%
85

 

pts
 
84

%
84

 

pts
Renewal pure price (decreases) increases
 
(0.4
)
 
0.9

 
(1.3
)
 
 
0.3

 
1.3

 
(1.0
)
 
Statutory NPE
 
$
77,580

 
78,596

 
(1
)
%
 
$
236,366

 
229,847

 
3

%
Statutory combined ratio
 
81.3

%
80.2

 
1.1

pts
 
85.1

%
82.8

 
2.3

pts
% of total statutory Standard Commercial Lines NPW
 
17

 
18

 
 

 
 
18

 
19

 
 
 

The variances in the statutory combined ratio in Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017 compared to the same prior year periods were due primarily to prior year casualty reserve development, as follows:
 
Third Quarter 2017
Third Quarter 2016
 
 
($ in millions)
(Benefit) Expense
Impact on
Combined Ratio
 
 (Benefit) Expense
Impact on
Combined Ratio
 
Change
Points
 
Favorable prior year casualty reserve development
$
(14.0
)
(18.0
)
pts
$
(15.0
)
(19.1
)
pts
1.1
pts
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Nine Months 2017
Nine Months 2016
 
 
($ in millions)
(Benefit) Expense
Impact on
Combined Ratio
 
 (Benefit) Expense
Impact on
Combined Ratio
 
Change
Points
 
Favorable prior year casualty reserve development
$
(29.3
)
(12.4
)
pts
$
(36.0
)
(15.7
)
pts
3.3
pts

The significant drivers of the development were as follows:

Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017: Development was primarily due to lower severities in accident years 2016 and prior, driven in part by an extended period of lower than historical medical inflation.

Third Quarter and Nine Months 2016: Development was primarily due to lower severities in accident years 2014 and prior.

For more information regarding the initiatives that we have undertaken regarding this line of business, refer to the Standard Market Workers Compensation Line of Business discussion within the Reserves for Losses and Loss Expenses section of "Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates" of our 2016 Annual Report.

Commercial Property
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Change
% or
Points
 
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
 
Change
% or
Points
 
($ in thousands)
 
2017
 
2016
 
 
 
2017
 
2016
 
 
Statutory NPW
 
$
84,664

 
82,695

 
2

%
 
$
247,138

 
237,693

 
4

%
  Direct new business
 
18,451

 
18,743

 
(2
)
 
 
55,614

 
56,892

 
(2
)
 
  Retention
 
83

%
82

 
1

pts
 
82

%
82

 

pts
Renewal pure price increases
 
1.4

 
2.0

 
(0.6
)
 
 
1.7

 
2.3

 
(0.6
)
 
Statutory NPE
 
$
78,151

 
74,052

 
6

%
 
$
232,594

 
217,821

 
7

%
Statutory combined ratio
 
89.1

%
85.2

 
3.9

pts
 
92.1

%
85.0

 
7.1

pts
% of total statutory Standard Commercial Lines NPW
 
18

 
18

 
 

 
 
17

 
18

 
 
 


33

Table of Contents

The increases in the statutory combined ratio in Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017 compared to the same prior year periods were driven by the following:

Third Quarter 2017

Third Quarter 2016


($ in millions)
(Benefit) Expense
Impact on
Combined Ratio


(Benefit) Expense
Impact on
Combined Ratio

Change
% or
Points

Catastrophe losses
$
12.6

16.1
pts

$
3.4

4.5
pts
11.6

pts
Non-catastrophe property losses
24.1

30.9


27.7

37.4

(6.5
)

Total
36.7

47.0
 
 
31.1

41.9
 
5.1

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Nine Months 2017
 
Nine Months 2016
 
 
($ in millions)
(Benefit) Expense
Impact on
Combined Ratio
 
 
(Benefit) Expense
Impact on
Combined Ratio
 
Change
% or
Points
 
Catastrophe losses
$
33.1

14.2
pts
 
$
16.5

7.6
pts
6.6

pts
Non-catastrophe property losses
82.2

35.3
 
 
74.0

34.0
 
1.3

 
Total
115.3

49.5
 
 
90.5

41.6
 
7.9

 

Catastrophe losses related to Hurricanes Irma and Harvey amounted to $6.6 million and $0.5 million, respectively, in Third Quarter 2017. These losses increased the statutory combined ratio for this line of business by 9.1 points in Third Quarter 2017 and 3.0 points in Nine Months 2017.

The variances in non-catastrophe property losses in Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017 compared to the same prior year periods reflect volatility from period to period in fire and weather-related losses that is normally associated with our commercial property line of business.

Standard Personal Lines
 
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Change
% or
Points
 
 
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
 
Change
% or
Points
 
($ in thousands)
 
2017
 
2016
 
 
 
 
2017
 
2016
 
 
GAAP Insurance Operations Results:
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
NPW
 
$
81,195

 
76,225

 
7

 
%
 
$
223,998

 
213,770

 
5

%
NPE
 
72,601

 
68,690

 
6

 
 
 
215,474

 
209,719

 
3

 
Less:
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
Losses and loss expenses incurred
 
42,120

 
41,582

 
1

 
 
 
141,135

 
123,489

 
14

 
Net underwriting expenses incurred
 
22,302

 
22,837

 
(2
)
 
 
 
66,822

 
67,229

 
(1
)
 
Underwriting gain
 
$
8,179

 
4,271

 
92

 
%
 
$
7,517

 
19,001

 
(60
)
%
GAAP Ratios:
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
Loss and loss expense ratio
 
58.0

%
60.5

 
(2.5
)
 
pts
 
65.5

%
58.9

 
6.6

pts
Underwriting expense ratio
 
30.7

 
33.3

 
(2.6
)
 
 
 
31.0

 
32.0

 
(1.0
)
 
Combined ratio
 
88.7

 
93.8

 
(5.1
)
 
 
 
96.5

 
90.9

 
5.6

 
Statutory Ratios:
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
Loss and loss expense ratio
 
58.0

 
60.7

 
(2.7
)
 
 
 
65.5

 
58.9

 
6.6

 
Underwriting expense ratio
 
28.4

 
31.3

 
(2.9
)
 
 
 
29.7

 
31.8

 
(2.1
)
 
Combined ratio
 
86.4

%
92.0

 
(5.6
)
 
pts
 
95.2

%
90.7

 
4.5

pts

The increases in NPW in Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017 compared to Third Quarter and Nine Months 2016 were due primarily to: (i) an increase in new business; (ii) renewal pure price increases; and (iii) improving retention.
 
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
 
($ in millions)
 
2017
 
2016
 
 
2017
 
2016
 
New business
 
$
13.6

 
12.0

 
 
$
38.2

 
29.0

 
Retention
 
84

%
83

 
 
84

%
82

 
Renewal pure price increases
 
3.1

 
4.7

 
 
2.8

 
5.0

 


34

Table of Contents

The NPE increases in Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017 compared to Third Quarter and Nine Months 2016 were consistent with the fluctuations in NPW for the twelve-month period ended September 30, 2017 compared with the twelve-month period ended September 30, 2016.

The GAAP loss and loss expense ratio decreased 2.5 points in Third Quarter 2017 compared to Third Quarter 2016 and increased 6.6 points in Nine Months 2017 compared to Nine Months 2016. Quantitative information on the drivers of this decrease is as follows:
 
Third Quarter 2017
 
Third Quarter 2016
 
 
($ in millions)
Losses and Loss Expenses Incurred
Impact on
Loss and Loss Expense Ratio
 
 
Losses and Loss
Expenses
Incurred
Impact on
Loss and Loss Expense Ratio
 
Change in Ratio
 
Non-catastrophe property losses
$
19.1

26.3

pts
 
$
18.9

27.6

pts
(1.3
)
pts
Catastrophe losses
2.2

3.0

 
 
2.5

3.6

 
(0.6
)
 
Flood claims handling fees
(2.2
)
(3.1
)
 
 
(2.0
)
(2.9
)
 
(0.2
)
 
Total
19.1

26.2

 
 
19.4

28.3

 
(2.1
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Nine Months 2017
 
Nine Months 2016
 
 
($ in millions)
Losses and Loss Expenses Incurred
Impact on
Loss and Loss Expense Ratio
 
 
Losses and Loss
Expenses
Incurred
Impact on
Loss and Loss Expense Ratio
 
Change in Ratio
 
Catastrophe losses
$
15.4

7.2

pts
 
$
6.8

3.2

pts
4.0

pts
Unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development
5.0

2.3

 
 


 
2.3

 
Flood claims handling fees
(3.6
)
(1.7
)
 
 
(4.0
)
(1.9
)
 
0.2

 
Non-catastrophe property losses
55.4

25.7

 
 
53.6

25.6

 
0.1

 
Total
72.2

33.5

 
 
56.4

26.9

 
6.6

 

Hurricanes Irma and Harvey did not have a significant impact on Personal Lines in Third Quarter 2017, with only $1.0 million in catastrophe losses. WYO flood claims handling fees related to these storms were $1.2 million.

The prior year casualty reserve development in Nine Months 2017 was primarily driven by increased frequency and severity in the personal automobile liability line for accident year 2016.

The GAAP underwriting expense ratio decreased 2.6 points in Third Quarter 2017 compared to Third Quarter 2016 and 1.0 points in Nine Months 2017 compared to Nine Months 2016 driven by targeted actions taken on direct commissions for our homeowners book of business, coupled with the impact of:
Cost containment measures related to expenditures for surveys and other underwriting reports;
Lower supplemental commissions to our distribution partners; and
A reduction in pension expense.


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Table of Contents

E&S Insurance Operations
 
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Change
% or
Points
 
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
 
Change
% or
Points
 
($ in thousands)
 
2017
 
2016
 
 
 
2017
 
2016
 
 
GAAP Insurance Operations Results:
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
NPW
 
$
51,031

 
53,004

 
(4
)
%
 
$
158,281

 
154,887

 
2

%
NPE
 
54,204

 
52,153

 
4

 
 
158,207

 
151,348

 
5

 
Less:
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
Losses and loss expenses incurred
 
47,597

 
36,461

 
31

 
 
113,173

 
105,209

 
8

 
Net underwriting expenses incurred
 
17,670

 
18,054

 
(2
)
 
 
53,208

 
49,604

 
7

 
Underwriting loss
 
$
(11,063
)
 
(2,362
)
 
(368
)
%
 
$
(8,174
)
 
(3,465
)
 
(136
)
%
GAAP Ratios:
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
Loss and loss expense ratio
 
87.8

%
69.9

 
17.9

pts
 
71.6

%
69.5

 
2.1

pts
Underwriting expense ratio
 
32.6

 
34.6

 
(2.0
)
 
 
33.6

 
32.8

 
0.8

 
Combined ratio
 
120.4

 
104.5

 
15.9

 
 
105.2

 
102.3

 
2.9

 
Statutory Ratios:
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
Loss and loss expense ratio
 
87.8

 
70.0

 
17.8

 
 
71.6

 
69.5

 
2.1

 
Underwriting expense ratio
 
32.3

 
31.4

 
0.9

 
 
33.0

 
31.4

 
1.6

 
Combined ratio
 
120.1

%
101.4

 
18.7

pts
 
104.6

%
100.9

 
3.7

pts

The highly competitive E&S marketplace is making NPW growth challenging. Quantitative information regarding new business and price increases is as follows:
 
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in millions)
 
2017
 
2016
 
2017
 
2016
Direct new business
 
$
20.6

 
24.2

 
$
69.3

 
72.1

Overall new/renewal price increases
 
3.2

%
5.8

 
5.5

%
4.8

 
The NPE increases in Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017 compared to Third Quarter and Nine Months 2016 were consistent with the fluctuations in NPW for the twelve-month period ended September 30, 2017 compared with the twelve-month period ended September 30, 2016.

The GAAP loss and loss expense ratio increased 17.9 points in Third Quarter 2017 and 2.1 points in Nine Months 2017 compared to the same prior year periods, driven by: (i) unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development, reflecting higher than expected casualty severities in accident years 2015 and prior; and (ii) higher catastrophe losses driven by $5.3 million of net losses from Hurricane Harvey, which added 9.8 points in Third Quarter 2017 and 3.4 points in Nine Months 2017. Partially offsetting these items was lower non-catastrophe property losses in both the quarter and year-to-date periods. Quantitative information on these drivers is as follows:
 
Third Quarter 2017
 
 
Third Quarter 2016
 
 
 
($ in millions)
Losses and Loss Expenses Incurred
Impact on
Loss and Loss Expense Ratio
 
 
Losses and Loss
Expenses
Incurred
Impact on
Loss and Loss Expense Ratio
 
Change in Ratio
 
Unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development
$
10.0

18.4
pts
 
$

pts
18.4

pts
Catastrophe losses
7.3

13.5
 
 
1.7

3.3
 
10.2

 
Non-catastrophe property losses
3.7

6.8
 
 
7.9

15.2
 
(8.4
)
 
Total
21.0

38.7
 
 
9.6

18.5
 
20.2

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Nine Months 2017
 
 
Nine Months 2016
 
 
 
($ in millions)
Losses and Loss Expenses Incurred
Impact on
Loss and Loss Expense Ratio
 
 
Losses and Loss
Expenses
Incurred
Impact on
Loss and Loss Expense Ratio
 
Change in Ratio
 
Unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development
$
10.0

6.3
pts
 
$
3.0

2.0
pts
4.3

pts
Catastrophe losses
11.7

7.4
 
 
4.9

3.2
 
4.2

 
Non-catastrophe property losses
14.1

8.9
 
 
18.8

12.4
 
(3.5
)
 
Total
35.8

22.6
 
 
26.7

17.6
 
5.0

 


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Reinsurance
We have successfully completed negotiations of our July 1, 2017 excess of loss treaties, which provide coverage for our Standard Commercial Lines, Standard Personal Lines, and E&S Lines. The renewal of these treaties included some enhancements in terms and conditions, with the same structure as the expiring treaties as follows:

Property Excess of Loss
The property excess of loss treaty ("Property Treaty") provides $58.0 million of coverage in excess of a $2.0 million retention:
The per occurrence cap on the first and second layers is $84.0 million.
The first layer has unlimited reinstatements and a limit of $8.0 million in excess of $2.0 million.
The annual aggregate limit, for the $30.0 million in excess of $10.0 million second layer, is $120.0 million.
A third layer has a limit of $20.0 million in excess of $40.0 million, with an annual aggregate limit of approximately $75.5 million.
The Property Treaty excludes nuclear, biological, chemical, and radiological ("NBCR") terrorism losses.

Casualty Excess of Loss
The casualty excess of loss treaty (“Casualty Treaty”) provides $88.0 million of coverage in excess of a $2.0 million retention:
The first through sixth layers provide coverage for 100% of up to $88.0 million in excess of a $2.0 million retention.
The Casualty Treaty includes a $25.0 million limit, per life, on our workers compensation business, which remains unchanged from the prior treaty.
The Casualty Treaty excludes NBCR terrorism losses and has annual aggregate non-NBCR terrorism limits of $208.0 million.

Investments
The primary objective of the investment portfolio is to maximize after-tax income and total return of the portfolio, while maintaining our historic credit quality and duration risk profile. Our investment philosophy includes certain return and risk objectives for the fixed income, equity, and other investment portfolios. After-tax yield and income generation are key drivers to our investment strategy, which we believe will be obtained through more active management of the portfolio.
Total Invested Assets
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
($ in thousands)
 
September 30, 2017
 
December 31, 2016
 
Change % or Points
 
Total invested assets
 
$
5,710,835

 
5,364,947

 
6

%
Invested assets per dollar of stockholders' equity
 
3.36

 
3.50

 
(4
)

Unrealized gain – before tax
 
135,996

 
64,803

 
110

 
Unrealized gain – after tax
 
88,398

 
42,122

 
110

 
The increase in invested assets at September 30, 2017 compared to December 31, 2016 was primarily driven by operating cash flow of $307.8 million, and an increase in pre-tax unrealized gains of $71.2 million. The $71.2 million change in pre-tax unrealized gains was driven by our fixed income securities portfolio, which was favorably impacted by tightening credit spreads and a decrease in risk-free rates.


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Fixed Income Securities
At September 30, 2017, our fixed income securities portfolio represented 91% of our total invested assets, largely unchanged compared to December 31, 2016. The effective duration and spread duration of the fixed income securities portfolio as of September 30, 2017 was 3.6 years and 4.4 years, respectively, including short-term investments. The Insurance Subsidiaries’ liability duration was approximately 4.0 years. Effective duration provides an approximate measure of the portfolio's price sensitivity to a change in interest rates, while spread duration provides an approximate measure of the portfolio's price sensitivity to spread changes, which are the differences between the yields on particular debt instruments and the yields of U.S. Treasury debt securities with similar maturities. The effective and spread durations of the fixed income securities portfolio are monitored and managed to maximize yield while managing interest rate risk and credit risk, respectively, at an acceptable level. We maintain a well-diversified portfolio across sectors, credit quality, and maturities that affords us ample liquidity. Purchases and sales are made with the intent of maximizing investment returns in the current market environment while balancing capital preservation.

Our fixed income securities portfolio had a weighted average credit rating of “AA-,” with 97% of the securities in the portfolio being investment grade quality at both September 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016. Within our fixed income securities portfolio, we maintained an allocation of non-investment grade high-yield securities, which represented 3% of our fixed income securities portfolio as of both September 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016. The sector composition and credit quality of our major asset categories within our fixed income securities portfolio did not significantly change from December 31, 2016. However, we have recently increased our exposure to floating rate fixed income securities, primarily in our collateralized loan obligations portfolio. Across all asset classes, floating rate securities represented approximately 19% of our fixed income securities portfolio as of September 30, 2017, compared to 13% as of December 31, 2016. The increase in floating rate instruments, which are primarily indexed to the 90-day LIBOR, will increase the sensitivity of changes to our book yield and investment income.

For details regarding the credit quality of our portfolio, see Item 7A. “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.” of our 2016 Annual Report.

Net Investment Income
The components of net investment income earned for the indicated periods were as follows:
 
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)
 
2017
 
2016
 
2017
 
2016
Fixed income securities
 
$
38,865

 
32,453

 
113,424

 
95,850

Equity securities
 
1,605

 
1,506

 
4,492

 
5,940

Short-term investments
 
396

 
192

 
1,023

 
493

Other investments
 
2,659

 
1,628

 
9,493

 
(49
)
Investment expenses
 
(3,079
)
 
(2,404
)
 
(9,137
)
 
(6,908
)
Net investment income earned – before tax
 
40,446

 
33,375

 
119,295

 
95,326

Net investment income tax expense
 
(10,856
)
 
(8,462
)
 
(31,951
)
 
(23,328
)
Net investment income earned – after tax
 
$
29,590

 
24,913

 
87,344

 
71,998

Effective tax rate
 
26.8
%
 
25.4

 
26.8

 
24.5

Annualized after-tax yield on fixed income securities
 
2.2

 
2.0

 
2.2

 
2.0

Annualized after-tax yield on investment portfolio
 
2.1

 
1.9

 
2.1

 
1.8


The increase in net investment income in both Third Quarter 2017 and Nine Months 2017 was driven primarily by our fixed income securities portfolio, which benefited from improved new money reinvestment yields and repositioning within the investment grade securities. In addition, income from our alternative investments portfolio increased in both periods due to valuation improvements in the private equity and energy-related sectors.

Realized Gains and Losses
Our general philosophy for sales of securities is to reduce our exposure to securities and sectors based on economic evaluations and when the fundamentals for that security or sector have deteriorated, or to opportunistically trade out of securities to other securities with better economic return characteristics. Net realized gains for the indicated periods were as follows:
 
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)
 
2017
 
2016
 
2017
 
2016
Net realized gains, excluding OTTI
 
$
6,871

 
4,030

 
12,252

 
7,233

OTTI
 
(73
)
 
(342
)
 
(4,765
)
 
(4,484
)
Total net realized gains
 
$
6,798

 
3,688

 
7,487

 
2,749


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Table of Contents

 
For further discussion of our realized gains and losses, as well as our OTTI methodology, see Note 2. “Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of our 2016 Annual Report. For additional information about our OTTI charges, see Note 4. "Investments" in Item 1. "Financial Statements." of this Form 10-Q.

Federal Income Taxes
The following table provides information regarding federal income taxes:
 
Quarter ended September 30,
 
Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in millions)
2017
 
2016
 
2017
 
2016
Federal income tax expense
$
20.6

 
16.9

 
55.2

 
50.5

Effective tax rate
30.6
%
 
30.6

 
28.5

 
29.8


The effective tax rate in the table above differs from the statutory tax rate of 35% primarily because of tax-advantaged interest and dividend income. The decrease in our effective tax rate in Nine Months 2017 from the same prior year period was driven primarily by our adoption of ASU 2016-09, Compensation - Stock Compensation (Topic 718): Improvements to Employee Share-based Payment Accounting ("ASU 2016-09") on January 1, 2017, which requires that the tax effects of share-based compensation be recognized in the income tax provision as discrete items outside of the annual estimated expected tax rate. Excess tax benefits recognized in the income statement reduced our effective tax rate by 1.8 points in Nine Months 2017, largely driven by first quarter 2017 activity. Previously, these amounts were recorded in additional paid-in capital. For further information on our adoption of ASU 2016-09, refer to Note 2. "Adoption of Accounting Pronouncements" in Item 1. "Financial Statements." of this Form 10-Q.

We believe that our future effective tax rate will continue to be impacted by similar items, assuming no significant changes to tax laws. However, the U.S. federal income tax structure is currently under significant debate and we are unable to provide an estimate of the magnitude of potential changes.

Financial Condition, Liquidity, and Capital Resources
Capital resources and liquidity reflect our ability to generate cash flows from business operations, borrow funds at competitive rates, and raise new capital to meet operating and growth needs.
 
Liquidity
We manage liquidity with a focus on generating sufficient cash flows to meet the short-term and long-term cash requirements of our business operations. Our cash and short-term investment position of $217 million at September 30, 2017 was comprised of $23 million at the Parent and $194 million at the Insurance Subsidiaries. Short-term investments are generally maintained in "AAA" rated money market funds approved by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners. The Parent maintains a fixed income security investment portfolio containing high-quality, highly-liquid government and corporate fixed income securities. This portfolio amounted to $89 million at September 30, 2017, compared to $74 million at December 31, 2016.
 
Sources of Liquidity
Sources of cash for the Parent have historically consisted of dividends from the Insurance Subsidiaries, the investment portfolio discussed above, borrowings under lines of credit and loan agreements with certain Insurance Subsidiaries, and the issuance of stock and debt securities. We continue to monitor these sources, giving consideration to our long-term liquidity and capital preservation strategies.

Insurance Subsidiary Dividends
We currently anticipate that the Insurance Subsidiaries will pay $80 million in total dividends to the Parent in 2017, of which $60 million was paid during Nine Months 2017. As of September 30, 2017, our allowable ordinary maximum dividend was $199 million for 2017, which is a $6 million increase from December 31, 2016 due to an Indiana regulation change regarding the calculation of ordinary dividends, which favorably impacted two of our insurance subsidiaries.


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Table of Contents

Any dividends to the Parent are subject to the approval and/or review of the insurance regulators in the respective Insurance Subsidiaries' domiciliary states and are generally payable only from earned surplus as reported in the statutory annual statements of those subsidiaries as of the preceding December 31. Although past dividends have historically been met with regulatory approval, there is no assurance that future dividends that may be declared will be approved. For additional information regarding dividend restrictions, refer to Note 19. “Statutory Financial Information, Capital Requirements, and Restrictions on Dividends and Transfers of Funds” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of our 2016 Annual Report.
The Insurance Subsidiaries generate liquidity through insurance float, which is created by collecting premiums and earning investment income before losses are paid. The period of the float can extend over many years. Our investment portfolio consists of maturity dates that continually provide a source of cash flows for claims payments in the ordinary course of business. The effective duration of the fixed income securities portfolio, including short-term investments, was 3.6 years as of September 30, 2017, while the liabilities of the Insurance Subsidiaries have a duration of 4.0 years. As protection for the capital resources of the Insurance Subsidiaries, we purchase reinsurance coverage for significantly large claims or catastrophes that may occur during the year.

Line of Credit
The Parent's line of credit with Wells Fargo Bank, National Association, as administrative agent, and Branch Banking and Trust Company (BB&T) (referred to as our "Line of Credit"), was renewed effective December 1, 2015 with a borrowing capacity of $30 million, which can be increased to $50 million with the approval of both lending partners. This Line of Credit expires on December 1, 2020 and has an interest rate which varies and is based on, among other factors, the Parent's debt ratings. There were no balances outstanding under the Line of Credit at September 30, 2017 or at any time during 2017.

The Line of Credit agreement contains representations, warranties, and covenants that are customary for credit facilities of this type, including, without limitation, financial covenants under which we are obligated to maintain a minimum consolidated net worth, a minimum combined statutory surplus, and a maximum ratio of consolidated debt to total capitalization, as well as covenants limiting our ability to: (i) merge or liquidate; (ii) incur debt or liens; (iii) dispose of assets; (iv) make certain investments and acquisitions; and (v) engage in transactions with affiliates.

The table below outlines information regarding certain of the covenants in the Line of Credit:
 
Required as of September 30, 2017
Actual as of September 30, 2017
Consolidated net worth
Not less than $1.1 billion
$1.7 billion
Statutory surplus
Not less than $750 million
$1.7 billion
Debt-to-capitalization ratio1
Not to exceed 35%
20.7%
A.M. Best Company ("A.M. Best") financial strength rating
Minimum of A-
A
1 
Calculated in accordance with the Line of Credit agreement.

Several of our Insurance Subsidiaries are members of certain branches of the Federal Home Loan Bank, which provides those subsidiaries with additional access to liquidity. Membership is as follows:
Branch
Insurance Subsidiary Member
Federal Home Loan Bank of Indianapolis ("FHLBI")
Selective Insurance Company of South Carolina ("SICSC")1
Selective Insurance Company of the Southeast ("SICSE")1
Federal Home Loan Bank of New York ("FHLBNY")
Selective Insurance Company of America ("SICA")
Selective Insurance Company of New York ("SICNY")
1These subsidiaries are jointly referred to as the "Indiana Subsidiaries" as they are domiciled in Indiana.

The Line of Credit permits aggregate borrowings from the FHLBI and the FHLBNY up to 10% of the respective member company’s admitted assets for the previous year end. Additionally, as SICNY is domiciled in New York, this company's borrowings from the FHLBNY are limited to the lower of 5% of admitted assets for the most recently completed fiscal quarter or 10% of admitted assets for the previous year end.


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Table of Contents

All borrowings from both the FHLBI and the FHLBNY are required to be secured by investments pledged as collateral. For additional information regarding collateral outstanding, refer to Note 4. "Investments" in Item 1. "Financial Statements." of this Form 10-Q. The following table provides information on the remaining capacity for Federal Home Loan Bank borrowings based on these restrictions, as well as the amount of additional stock that would need to be purchased to allow these member companies to borrow their remaining capacity:
($ in millions)
Admitted Assets
 
Borrowing Limitation
 
Amount Borrowed
 
Remaining Capacity
 
Additional Stock Requirements
 
 
 
 
 
SICSC
$
644.9

 
$
64.5

 
32.0

 
32.5

 
1.4

SICSE
490.7

 
49.1

 
28.0

 
21.1

 
0.9

SICA
2,314.2

 
231.4

 
50.0

 
181.4

 
8.2

SICNY
437.3

 
21.9

 

 
21.9

 
1.0

Total
 
 
$
366.9

 
110.0

 
256.9

 
11.5


Short-term Borrowings
In the first quarter of 2017, SICA borrowed $64 million from the FHLBNY, which was repaid on March 21, 2017. For further information regarding this borrowing, see Note 5. "Indebtedness" in Item 1. "Financial Statements." of this Form 10-Q.

Intercompany Loan Agreements
The Parent has lending agreements with the Indiana Subsidiaries that have been approved by the Indiana Department of Insurance, which provide additional liquidity to the Parent. Similar to the Line of Credit agreement, these lending agreements limit borrowings by the Parent from the Indiana Subsidiaries to 10% of the admitted assets of the respective Indiana Subsidiary. The following table provides information on the Parent’s borrowings and remaining borrowing capacity from the Indiana Subsidiaries:
($ in millions)
Admitted Assets
as of December 31, 2016
 
Borrowing Limitation
 
Amount Borrowed
 
Remaining Capacity
As of September, 2017
 
 
 
SICSC
$
644.9

 
$
64.5

 
27.0

 
37.5

SICSE
490.7

 
49.1

 
18.0

 
31.1

Total
 
 
$
113.6

 
45.0

 
68.6


Capital Market Activities
The Parent had no private or public issuances of stock or debt instruments during Nine Months 2017.

Uses of Liquidity
The liquidity generated from the sources discussed above is used, among other things, to pay dividends to our shareholders. Dividends on shares of the Parent's common stock are declared and paid at the discretion of the Board of Directors based on our operating results, financial condition, capital requirements, contractual restrictions, and other relevant factors.

On October 25, 2017, our Board of Directors declared, for stockholders of record as of November 15, 2017, an $0.18 per share dividend to be paid on December 1, 2017. This is a 13% increase compared to the dividend declared on July 26, 2017.

Our ability to meet our interest and principal repayment obligations on our debt, as well as our ability to continue to pay dividends to our stockholders, is dependent on liquidity at the Parent coupled with the ability of the Insurance Subsidiaries to pay dividends, if necessary, and/or the availability of other sources of liquidity to the Parent. Our next principal debt repayment is due in 2021.

Restrictions on the ability of the Insurance Subsidiaries to declare and pay dividends, without alternative liquidity options, could materially affect our ability to service debt and pay dividends on common stock.

Capital Resources
Capital resources provide protection for policyholders, furnish the financial strength to support the business of underwriting insurance risks, and facilitate continued business growth. At September 30, 2017, we had GAAP stockholders' equity and statutory surplus of $1.7 billion. With total debt of $439.0 million, our debt-to-capital ratio was approximately 20.5% at September 30, 2017.
 

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Table of Contents

Our cash requirements include, but are not limited to, principal and interest payments on various notes payable, dividends to stockholders, payment of claims, payment of commitments under limited partnership agreements and capital expenditures, as well as other operating expenses, which include commissions to our distribution partners, labor costs, premium taxes, general and administrative expenses, and income taxes. For further details regarding our cash requirements, refer to the section below entitled, “Contractual Obligations, Contingent Liabilities, and Commitments.”
 
We continually monitor our cash requirements and the amount of capital resources that we maintain at the holding company and operating subsidiary levels. As part of our long-term capital strategy, we strive to maintain capital metrics, relative to the macroeconomic environment, that support our targeted financial strength. Based on our analysis and market conditions, we may take a variety of actions, including, but not limited to, contributing capital to the Insurance Subsidiaries in our insurance operations, issuing additional debt and/or equity securities, repurchasing shares of the Parent’s common stock, and increasing stockholders’ dividends.
 
Our capital management strategy is intended to protect the interests of the policyholders of the Insurance Subsidiaries and our stockholders, while enhancing our financial strength and underwriting capacity.
 
Book value per share increased to $29.10, or 10%, as of September 30, 2017, from $26.42 as of December 31, 2016, due to $2.34 in net income and $0.79 in unrealized gains on our investment portfolio, partially offset by $0.48 in dividends to our shareholders.

Ratings
We are rated by major rating agencies that issue opinions on our financial strength, operating performance, strategic position, and ability to meet policyholder obligations. We believe that our ability to write insurance business is most influenced by our rating from A.M. Best. We have been rated “A” or higher by A.M. Best for the past 87 years. A downgrade from A.M. Best to a rating below “A-” is an event of default under our Line of Credit and could affect our ability to write new business with customers and/or distribution partners, some of whom are required (under various third-party agreements) to maintain insurance with a carrier that maintains a specified A.M. Best minimum rating.

Our ratings have not changed from those reported in our "Ratings" section of Item 7. "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations." in our 2016 Annual Report and continue to be as follows:
NRSRO
 
Financial Strength Rating
 
Outlook
A.M. Best
 
A
 
Stable
Moody's Investor Services ("Moody's")
 
A2
 
Stable
Fitch Ratings ("Fitch")
 
A+
 
Stable
Standard & Poor's Global Ratings ("S&P")
 
A
 
Stable

In the second quarter of 2017, Fitch reaffirmed our "A+" rating with a "stable" outlook. In taking this action, Fitch cited our strong underwriting results, solid capitalization with growth in stockholders' equity, stable leverage metrics, and stable interest coverage metrics.

In Third Quarter 2017, A.M. Best reaffirmed our "A" rating with a "stable" outlook. In taking this action, A.M. Best cited our strong level of risk-adjusted capitalization, improved operating performance since 2012, and high policy retention rate across our standard lines of business.

On October 20, 2017, S&P reaffirmed our "A" rating with a "stable" outlook. In taking this action, S&P cited our strong capital and earnings, exceptional liquidity, and recognized the strength of our enterprise risk management, management and governance.

Our S&P, Moody's, and Fitch financial strength and associated credit ratings affect our ability to access capital markets.  The interest rate on our Line of Credit varies and is based on, among other factors, the Parent's debt ratings. There can be no assurance that our ratings will continue for any given period of time or that they will not be changed.  It is possible that positive or negative ratings actions by one or more of the rating agencies may occur in the future.

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Table of Contents


Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
At September 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016, we did not have any material relationships with unconsolidated entities or financial partnerships, such entities often referred to as structured finance or special purpose entities, which would have been established for the purpose of facilitating off-balance sheet arrangements or for other contractually narrow or limited purposes. As such, we are not exposed to any material financing, liquidity, market, or credit risk that could arise if we had engaged in such relationships.

Contractual Obligations, Contingent Liabilities, and Commitments
Our future cash payments associated with: (i) loss and loss expense reserves; (ii) contractual obligations pursuant to operating leases for office space and equipment; and (iii) debt have not materially changed since December 31, 2016. As of September 30, 2017, we had contractual obligations that expire at various dates through 2030 that may require us to invest up to $167 million in alternative and other investments. There is no certainty that any such additional investment will be required. Additionally, as of September 30, 2017, we had contractual obligations that expire in 2023 to invest $17.3 million in a non-publicly traded common stock within our available-for-sale portfolio. We expect to have the capacity to repay and/or refinance these obligations as they come due.
 
We have issued no material guarantees on behalf of others and have no trading activities involving non-exchange traded contracts accounted for at fair value. For additional details on transactions with related parties, see Note 12. "Related Party Transactions" in Item 1. "Financial Statements." of this Form 10-Q.

ITEM 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK.
There have been no material changes in the information about market risk set forth in our 2016 Annual Report.

ITEM 4. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES.
Our management, with the participation of our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, has evaluated the effectiveness of our disclosure controls and procedures (as such term is defined in Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”)), as of the end of the period covered by this report. In performing this evaluation, management used the criteria set forth by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission in Internal Control Integrated Framework ("COSO Framework") in 2013. Based on this evaluation, our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer have concluded that, as of the end of such period, our disclosure controls and procedures are: (i) effective in recording, processing, summarizing, and reporting information on a timely basis that we are required to disclose in the reports that we file or submit under the Exchange Act; and (ii) effective in ensuring that information that we are required to disclose in the reports that we file or submit under the Exchange Act is accumulated and communicated to our management, including our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, as appropriate, to allow timely decisions regarding required disclosure. No changes in our internal control over financial reporting (as such term is defined in Rule 13a-15(f) of the Exchange Act) occurred during Nine Months 2017 that materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.


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PART II. OTHER INFORMATION

ITEM 1. LEGAL PROCEEDINGS.
In the ordinary course of conducting business, we are named as defendants in various legal proceedings. Most of these proceedings are claims litigation involving our Insurance Subsidiaries as either: (i) liability insurers defending or providing indemnity for third-party claims brought against our customers; or (ii) insurers defending first-party coverage claims brought against them. We account for such activity through the establishment of unpaid losses and loss expense reserves. We expect that any potential ultimate liability in such ordinary course claims litigation will not be material to our consolidated financial condition, results of operations, or cash flows after consideration of provisions made for potential losses and costs of defense.
 
From time to time, our insurance subsidiaries also are named as defendants in other legal actions, some of which assert claims for substantial amounts. These actions include, among others, putative class actions seeking certification of a state or national class. Such putative class actions have alleged, for example, improper reimbursement of medical providers paid under workers compensation and personal and commercial automobile insurance policies. Similarly, our Insurance Subsidiaries are also named from time-to-time in individual actions seeking extra-contractual damages, punitive damages, or penalties, some of which allege bad faith in the handling of insurance claims. We believe that we have valid defenses to these cases. We expect that any potential ultimate liability in any such lawsuit will not be material to our consolidated financial condition, after consideration of provisions made for estimated losses. Nonetheless, given the inherent unpredictability of litigation and the large or indeterminate amounts sought in certain of these actions, an adverse outcome in certain matters could possibly have a material adverse effect on our consolidated results of operations or cash flows in particular quarterly or annual periods.

As of September 30, 2017, we do not believe the Company was involved in any legal action that could have a material adverse effect on our consolidated financial condition, results of operations, or cash flows.

ITEM 1A. RISK FACTORS.
Certain risk factors exist that can have a significant impact on our business, liquidity, capital resources, results of operations, financial condition, and debt ratings. These risk factors might affect, alter, or change actions that we might take in executing our long-term capital strategy, including but not limited to, contributing capital to any or all of the Insurance Subsidiaries, issuing additional debt and/or equity securities, repurchasing our equity securities, redeeming our fixed income securities, or increasing or decreasing stockholders' dividends. We operate in a continually changing business environment and new risk factors emerge from time to time. Consequently, we can neither predict such new risk factors nor assess the potential future impact, if any, they might have on our business. There have been no material changes from the risk factors disclosed in Item 1A. “Risk Factors.” in our 2016 Annual Report other than as discussed below.

We face risks regarding our flood business because of uncertainties regarding the NFIP.
We are the fifth largest insurance group participating in the WYO arrangement of the NFIP, which is managed by the Mitigation Division of the Federal Emergency Management Agency (“FEMA”) in the U.S. Department of Homeland Security.  For WYO participation, we receive an expense allowance for policies written and a servicing fee for claims administered.  Under the program, all losses are 100% reinsured by the Federal Government.  Currently, the expense allowance is 30.9% of DPW.  The servicing fee is the combination of 0.9% of DPW and 1.5% of incurred losses.

As a WYO carrier, we are required to follow certain NFIP procedures when administering flood policies and claims.  Some of these requirements may differ from our normal business practices and may present a reputational risk to our brand.  Insurance companies are regulated by states and the NFIP requires WYO carriers to be licensed in the states in which they operate.  The NFIP, however, is a federal program and WYO carriers are fiscal agents of the U.S. Government and must follow the directives of the NFIP.  Consequently, we have the risk that directives of the NFIP and a state regulator on the same issue may conflict.


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There has been significant public policy and political debate regarding the NFIP and its outstanding debt, including the obtainment of reinsurance coverage for NFIP losses.  In 2016, FEMA secured its first placement of reinsurance for the NFIP.  In January 2017, FEMA expanded its September 2016 placement and transferred $1 billion of the NFIP's financial risk to reinsurers through January 1, 2018.  Prior to Hurricanes Harvey, Irma, and Maria in Third Quarter 2017, the NFIP had accumulated debt totaling approximately $25 billion. The NFIP's maximum borrowing authority is $30 billion. Losses from the recent storms are estimated to total approximately $16 billion. Congress is considering an aid package that would include $16 billion of debt forgiveness, allowing the NFIP to continue paying storm-related claims. In addition, there are several legislative proposals in Congress regarding NFIP reauthorization.  Following a brief extension, the NFIP statute will expire on December 8, 2017, unless reauthorized by Congress.  While it is possible that the NFIP program will be reauthorized with limited changes to the underlying structure, there is substantial uncertainty about the future of the program given the changing political environment.  Our flood business could be impacted by:  (i) any mandate for primary insurance carriers to provide flood insurance; or (ii) private writers becoming more prevalent in the marketplace.  The uncertainty created by the public policy debate and politics of flood insurance reform make it difficult for us to predict the future of the NFIP and our continued participation in the program.

ITEM 2. UNREGISTERED SALES OF EQUITY SECURITIES AND USE OF PROCEEDS.
The following table provides information regarding our purchases of our common stock in Third Quarter 2017:
Period
 
Total Number of
Shares Purchased1
 
Average Price
Paid per Share
 
Total Number of
Shares Purchased
as Part of Publicly
Announced Programs
 
Maximum Number of
Shares that May Yet
Be Purchased Under the Announced Programs
July 1 – 31, 2017
 
1,102

 
$
51.44

 

 

August 1 - 31, 2017
 

 

 

 

September 1 - 30, 2017
 

 

 

 

Total
 
1,102

 
$
51.44

 

 


1During Third Quarter 2017, 1,102 shares were purchased from employees in connection with the vesting of restricted stock units. These repurchases were made to satisfy tax withholding obligations with respect to those employees. These shares were not purchased as part of any publicly announced program. The shares that were purchased in connection with the vesting of restricted stock units were purchased at fair market value as defined in the Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan.

ITEM 6. EXHIBITS.
Exhibit No.  
 
 
 
Statement Re: Computation of Per Share Earnings.
 
Certification of Chief Executive Officer in accordance with Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
 
Certification of Chief Financial Officer in accordance with Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
 
Certification of Chief Executive Officer in accordance with Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
 
Certification of Chief Financial Officer in accordance with Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
** 101.INS
 
XBRL Instance Document.
** 101.SCH
 
XBRL Taxonomy Extension Schema Document.
** 101.CAL
 
XBRL Taxonomy Extension Calculation Linkbase Document.
** 101.LAB
 
XBRL Taxonomy Extension Label Linkbase Document.
** 101.PRE
 
XBRL Taxonomy Extension Presentation Linkbase Document.
** 101.DEF
 
XBRL Taxonomy Extension Definition Linkbase Document.
 * Filed herewith.
** Furnished and not filed herewith.




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SIGNATURES
 
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this Report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.
 
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
Registrant 
 
By: /s/ Gregory E. Murphy
October 26, 2017
Gregory E. Murphy
 
Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer
 
 
 
By: /s/ Mark A. Wilcox
October 26, 2017
Mark A. Wilcox
 
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
 
(principal financial officer)
 
 

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