aap10k.htm

 

 
 
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
Form 10-K

(Mark One)
x
ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the fiscal year ended January 3, 2009
OR
o
TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the transition period from ________ to ________.

Commission file number 001-16797


ADVANCE AUTO PARTS, INC.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
 

 
 
Delaware
(State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation or organization)
 
54-2049910
(I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.)
 
5008 Airport Road
Roanoke, Virginia
(Address of Principal Executive Offices)
 
24012
(Zip Code)
 
(540) 362-4911
(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)
 
Securities Registered Pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each class
Common Stock
($0.0001 par value)
Name of each exchange on which registered
New York
Stock Exchange
 
Securities Registered Pursuant to Section 12(g) of the Act: None
 
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act. Yes x No o

Indicate by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or Section 15(d) of the Act. Yes o No x

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes x No o

Indicate by check mark if disclosure of delinquent filers pursuant to Item 405 of Regulation S-K (§229.405 of this chapter) is not contained herein, and will not be contained, to the best of registrant’s knowledge, in definitive proxy or information statements incorporated by reference in Part III of this Form 10-K or any amendment to this Form 10-K. o
 

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer” and “smaller reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.
 
Large accelerated filer x   Accelerated filer o
     
Non-accelerated filer o (Do not check if a smaller reporting company)   Smaller reporting company o
 
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act).
Yes o No x
 
As of July 11, 2008, the last business day of the registrant’s most recently completed second fiscal quarter, the aggregate market value of the 95,066,907 shares of Common Stock held by non-affiliates of the registrant was $3,499,412,847, based on the last sales price of the Common Stock on July 11, 2008, as reported by the New York Stock Exchange.

As of March 2, 2009, the registrant had outstanding 94,999,986 shares of Common Stock, par value $0.0001 per share (the only class of common equity of the registrant outstanding).
 

Documents Incorporated by Reference:

Portions of the definitive proxy statement of the registrant to be filed within 120 days of January 3, 2009, pursuant to Regulation 14A under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, for the 2009 Annual Meeting of Stockholders to be held on May 20, 2009, are incorporated by reference into Part III.

 

 
 
     
Page
       
Part I.    
       
  Business
2
       
  Risk Factors
9
       
  Unresolved Staff Comments
13
       
  Properties
14
       
  Legal Proceedings
15
       
  Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders
15
       
Part II.    
       
  Market for the Registrant’s Common Equity, Related Stockholder Matters and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities
16
       
  Selected Consolidated Financial Data
17
       
  Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
20
       
  Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risks
37
       
  Item 8. Financial Statements and Supplementary Data
37
       
  Item 9. Changes in and Disagreements with Accountants on Accounting and Financial Disclosure
37
       
  Item 9A. Controls and Procedures
38
       
  Other Information
38
       
Part III.     
       
  Item 10. Directors, Executive Officers and Corporate Governance
39
       
  Executive Compensation
39
       
 
39
       
  Item 13. Certain Relationships and Related Transactions, and Director Independence
39
       
  Item 14. Principal Accountant Fees and Services
39
       
 
 
       
  Exhibits, Financial Statement Schedules
40
 

 
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

Certain statements in this report are "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Forward-looking statements are usually identified by the use of words such as "anticipate," "believe," "could," "estimate," "expect," "forecast," "intend," "likely," "may," "plan," "position," "possible," "potential," "probable," "project," "projection," "should," "strategy," "will," or similar expressions.   We intend for any forward-looking statements to be covered by, and we claim the protection under, the safe harbor provisions for forward-looking statements contained in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.

These forward-looking statements are based upon assessments and assumptions of management in light of historical results and trends, current conditions and potential future developments that often involve judgment, estimates, assumptions and projections. Forward-looking statements reflect current views about our plans, strategies and prospects, which are based on information currently available.

Although we believe that our plans, intentions and expectations as reflected in or suggested by any forward-looking statements are reasonable, we do not guarantee or give assurance that such plans, intentions or expectations will be achieved.  Actual results may differ materially from our anticipated results described or implied in our forward-looking statements, and may be due to a variety of factors. Our business could also be affected by additional factors that are presently unknown to us or that we currently believe to be immaterial to our business.

Listed below and discussed elsewhere in this report are some important risks, uncertainties and contingencies which could cause our actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any forward-looking statements made or implied in this report. These include, but are not limited to, the following:
 
a decrease in demand for our products;
deterioration in general economic conditions, including unemployment, inflation, consumer debt levels, energy costs and unavailability of credit leading to reduced consumer spending on discretionary items;
our ability to develop and implement business strategies and achieve desired goals;
our ability to expand our business, including locating available and suitable real estate for new store locations and the integration of any acquired businesses;
competitive pricing and other competitive pressures;
our overall credit rating, which impacts our debt interest rate and our ability to borrow additional funds to finance our operations;
deteriorating and uncertain credit markets could negatively impact our merchandise vendors, as well as our ability to secure additional capital at favorable (or at least feasible) terms in the future;
our relationships with our vendors;
our ability to attract and retain qualified team members;
the occurrence of natural disasters and/or extended periods of unfavorable weather;
our ability to obtain affordable insurance against the financial impacts of natural disasters and other losses;
high fuel costs, which impacts our cost to operate and the consumer’s ability to shop in our stores;
regulatory and legal risks, such as environmental or OSHA risks, including being named as a defendant in administrative investigations or litigation, and the incurrence of legal fees and costs, the payment of fines or the payment of sums to settle litigation cases or administrative investigations or proceedings;
adherence to the restrictions and covenants imposed under our revolving and term loan facilities;
acts of terrorism; and
other statements that are not of historical fact made throughout this report, including the sections entitled “Business,” "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" and "Risk Factors."
 
We assume no obligations to update publicly any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. In evaluating forward-looking statements, you should consider these risks and uncertainties, together with the other risks described from time to time in our other reports and documents filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, or SEC, and you should not place undue reliance on those statements.

 
1

 

PART I
 
 
Business.
 
Unless the context otherwise requires, “Advance,” “we,” “us,” “our,” and similar terms refer to Advance Auto Parts, Inc., its predecessor, its subsidiaries and their respective operations.  Our fiscal year consists of 52 or 53 weeks ending on the Saturday closest to December 31st of each year. Fiscal 2008 included 53 weeks of operations. All other fiscal years presented include 52 weeks of operations.

Overview

We operate primarily within the United States automotive aftermarket industry, which includes replacement parts (excluding tires), accessories, maintenance items, batteries and automotive chemicals for cars and light trucks (pickup trucks, vans, minivans and sport utility vehicles). We currently are the second largest specialty retailer of automotive parts, accessories and maintenance items to "do-it-yourself," or DIY, and "do-it-for-me," or Commercial, customers in the United States, based on store count and sales.

We were founded in 1929 as Advance Stores Company, Incorporated and operated as a retailer of general merchandise until the 1980s. During the 1980s, we sharpened our focus to target sales of automotive parts and accessories to DIY customers. From the 1980s to the present, we have grown significantly as a result of comparable store sales growth, new store openings and strategic acquisitions. Since 1996, we have aggressively expanded our sales to Commercial customers through our commercial delivery program. Our parent company, Advance Auto Parts, Inc., was incorporated in 2001 in conjunction with the acquisition of Discount Auto Parts, Inc., or Discount. In 2005, we acquired Autopart International, Inc., or AI.

Our Internet address is www.AdvanceAutoParts.com. We make available free of charge through our Internet website our annual reports on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, current reports on Form 8-K and amendments to those reports filed or furnished pursuant to the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 as soon as reasonably practicable after we electronically file such material with, or furnish it to, the SEC. The SEC maintains a website that contains reports, proxy statements and other information regarding issuers that file electronically with the SEC. These materials may be obtained electronically by accessing the SEC's website at www.sec.gov.

Operating Segments

We operate in two reportable segments: Advance Auto Parts, or AAP, and AI. The AAP segment is comprised of our store operations within the United States, Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands which operate under the trade names “Advance Auto Parts,” “Advance Discount Auto Parts” and “Western Auto.” The AI segment consists solely of the operations of Autopart International, Inc., which operates as an independent, wholly-owned subsidiary and primarily serves the Commercial market.

Financial information on our segments is included in Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations, of this Annual Report on Form 10-K. In addition, selected financial data for our segments is available in Note 18, Segment and Related Information, of the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, included in Item 15. Exhibits, Financial Statement Schedules, of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.

AAP Segment
 
At January 3, 2009, our 2008 fiscal year-end, we operated 3,243 AAP stores within the United States, Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. 3,215 stores were located throughout 40 states in the Northeastern, Southeastern and Midwestern regions of the United States. These stores operated under the “Advance Auto Parts” trade name except for certain stores in the state of Florida, which operated under the “Advance Discount Auto Parts” trade name. These stores offer a broad selection of brand name and proprietary automotive replacement parts, accessories and maintenance items for domestic and imported cars and light trucks. In addition, we operated 28 stores under the “Western Auto” and “Advance Auto Parts” trade names, located outside the United States, or Offshore. 
 
2



AAP Stores

Store Overview.   Our stores generally are located in freestanding buildings in areas with high vehicle traffic counts, good visibility and easy access to major roadways. We believe that our stores exhibit a customer-friendly format with the majority of our stores featuring an updated exterior and interior, bright lighting, and a well-designed and easily navigated floor plan. The average size of our stores is 7,400 square feet with the size of our typical new stores approximating 6,000 to 7,000 square feet. Our stores generally are open from 7:30 a.m. to 9:00 p.m. six days a week and 9:00 a.m. to 9:00 p.m. on Sundays and most holidays to meet the needs of our DIY and Commercial customers. We offer extended hours in a limited number of our stores, including 24 hours per day in certain stores.
 
Our stores carry a standard product offering of approximately 16,000 stock keeping units, or SKUs. Certain stores carry slightly more SKUs within centralized market locations where there is demand for a more customized assortment of merchandise. Additionally, some of our stores carry an additional customized assortment of 10,000 SKUs for same-day or next-day delivery to other select stores within the respective service area. The standard SKU offering within each of our stores is replenished from one of our eight distribution centers once per week on average.

We also utilize a network of Parts Delivered Quickly, or PDQ®, facilities and one Master PDQ® facility to ensure our stores have the right product at the right time for our customers’ needs. Our PDQ® and Master PDQ® network of facilities provide our customers with an additional assortment of approximately 64,000 less common SKUs on a same-day or overnight basis. Lastly, our customers have access to over 280,000 SKUs by ordering directly from one of our vendors for delivery to a particular store or other destination as chosen by the customer.
 
Store team members utilize our proprietary point-of-sale, or POS, system, including a fully integrated electronic parts catalog to identify and suggest the appropriate quality and price options for the SKUs we carry, as well as the related products, tools or additional information that is required by our customers to complete their automotive repair projects properly and safely.  We strive to be the leader in the automotive aftermarket industry in serving our customers by providing quality products at the right price and backed by a solid warranty and outstanding customer service. We offer many of the products in our stores at a good, better or best recommendation differentiated by price and quality.
 
The products offered in our stores include the following:

Filters
Alternators
Transmissions
Windshield Wipers
Radiators
Batteries
Clutches
Windshield Washer Fluid
Brake Pads
Shock Absorbers
Electronic Ignition Components
Floor Mats
Belts and Hoses
Struts
Engines
Steering Wheel Covers
Radiator Hoses
Suspension Parts
Oil and Transmission Fluid
Lighting
Starters
Spark Plugs
Antifreeze
Wash and Waxes
 
We also provide a variety of services free of charge to our customers including:
 
Battery installation “How-To” Project Brochures Electrical system testing
Wiper installation “How-To” Video Clinics Oil and battery recycling
 
Our retail stores are 100% company operated and are divided into three geographic areas. Each geographic area is managed by a senior vice president, who is supported by seven regional vice presidents. District managers report to the regional vice presidents and have direct responsibility for store operations in a specific district, which typically consists on average of 14 stores. Depending on store size and sales volume, each store is staffed by 8 to 16 team members under the leadership of a general manager. We offer training to our employees, who we refer to as Team Members. Team Member training includes formal classroom workshops, online seminars and certification by the National Institute for Automotive Service Excellence, or ASE, which is broadly recognized for training certification in the automotive industry. We also continue to increase the number of bilingual team members in our stores to better serve an increasingly diverse customer base.
 
3

 
Commercial Sales. Our commercial sales consist of sales to both our walk-in and delivery Commercial customers, which represented approximately 27% of our AAP sales in fiscal 2008. Since 1996, we have aggressively expanded our sales to Commercial customers through our Commercial delivery program. For delivered sales, we utilize our Commercial delivery fleet to deliver product from our store locations to our Commercial customers’ place of business, including independent garages, service stations and auto dealers. Our stores are supported by a Commercial sales team who are dedicated to the development of our Commercial customers, which include national and regional accounts.
 
 Under our Commercial Acceleration strategy, we are focused on increasing our Commercial sales at a faster pace in light of the favorable market dynamics. The Commercial team is led by a senior vice president who is building a sales force whose sole focus is on the Commercial customer. Initiatives include the addition of key product brands in our stores that are well recognized by our Commercial customers, as well as increasing the parts knowledge of our store Team Members. We believe these initiatives will enable us to gain more Commercial customers as well as increase our sales from existing customers who will use us as their “first call” supplier. At January 3, 2009, we had 2,755 AAP stores, or 85% of total AAP stores, with Commercial delivery programs, which was up slightly from 83% at December 29, 2007.
 
Store Development. Our store development program has historically focused on adding new stores within existing markets, remodeling or relocating existing stores and entering new markets. The addition of new stores, along with strategic acquisitions, has played a significant role in our growth and success. We believe the opening of new stores, and their strategic location in relation to our DIY and Commercial customers, will continue to play a significant role in our future growth and success.  Additionally, we will continue to monitor existing stores based on cash flow, market importance and occupancy cost rates.
 
 Our 3,243 AAP stores were located in the following states and territories at January 3, 2009:
 
   
Number of
     
Number of
     
Number of
Location
 
Stores
 
Location
 
Stores
 
Location
 
Stores
                     
Alabama
 
119
 
Maryland
 
72
 
Oklahoma
 
32
Arkansas
 
35
 
Massachusetts
 
54
 
Pennsylvania
 
158
Colorado
 
41
 
Michigan
 
91
 
Puerto Rico
 
27
Connecticut
 
36
 
Minnesota
 
16
 
Rhode Island
 
8
Delaware
 
7
 
Mississippi
 
58
 
South Carolina
 
125
Florida
 
457
 
Missouri
 
41
 
South Dakota
 
7
Georgia
 
229
 
Nebraska
 
20
 
Tennessee
 
142
Illinois
 
83
 
New Hampshire
 
11
 
Texas
 
177
Iowa
 
26
 
New Mexico
 
1
 
Vermont
 
7
Indiana
 
97
 
New Jersey
 
50
 
Virgin Islands
 
1
Kansas
 
24
 
New York
 
120
 
Virginia
 
167
Kentucky
 
91
 
North Carolina
 
234
 
West Virginia
 
66
Louisiana
 
61
 
North Dakota
 
4
 
Wisconsin
 
47
Maine
 
12
 
Ohio
 
186
 
Wyoming
 
3
 
The following table sets forth information concerning increases in the total number of our AAP stores during the past five years:
 
   
2008
   
2007
   
2006
   
2005
   
2004
 
Beginning Stores
    3,153       2,995       2,810       2,652       2,539  
New Stores (1)
    109       175       190       169       125  
Stores Closed
    (19 )     (17 )     (5 )     (11 )     (12 )
Ending Stores (2)
    3,243       3,153       2,995       2,810       2,652  
 
 
4

 
 
(1)  
Does not include stores that opened as relocations of previously existing stores within the same general market area or substantial renovations of stores.
(2)  
Includes 2 and 7 stores not operating at December 30, 2006 and December 31, 2005, respectively, primarily due to hurricane damage.

Store Technology.  Our store-based information systems, which are designed to improve the efficiency of our operations and enhance customer service, are comprised of a proprietary POS system and electronic parts catalog, or EPC, system.  Information maintained by our POS system is used to formulate pricing, marketing and merchandising strategies and to replenish inventory accurately and rapidly. Our POS system is fully integrated with our EPC system and enables our store Team Members to assist our customers in their parts selection and ordering based on year, make, model and engine type of their vehicles. Our centrally-based EPC data management system enables us to reduce the time needed to (i) exchange data with our vendors and (ii) catalog and deliver updated, accurate parts information.

Our EPC system also contains enhanced search engines and user-friendly navigation tools that enhance our Team Members’ ability to look up any needed parts as well as additional products the customer needs to complete their automotive repair project. If a hard-to-find part or accessory is not available at one of our stores, the EPC system can determine whether the part is carried and in-stock through our PDQÒ system. Available parts and accessories are then ordered electronically from another store, PDQÒ or Master PDQÒ with immediate confirmation of price, availability and estimated delivery time.

We also support our store operations with additional proprietary systems. Our store-level inventory management system provides real-time inventory tracking at the store level. With the store-level system, store Team Members can check the quantity of on-hand inventory for any SKU, adjust stock levels for select items for store specific events, automatically process returns and defective merchandise, designate SKUs for cycle counts and track merchandise transfers. Our stores use radio frequency hand-held devices to help ensure the accuracy of our inventory. Our standard operating procedure, or SOP, system is a web-based, electronic data management system that provides our Team Members with instant and quick access to any of our standard operating procedures through a comprehensive on-line search function.  Additionally, we utilize a labor scheduling system known as management planning and training, or MPT. All of these systems are tightly integrated and provide real-time, comprehensive information to store personnel, resulting in improved customer service levels, Team Member productivity and in-stock availability.

Store Support Center

Merchandising.  Purchasing for virtually all of the merchandise for our stores is handled by our merchandise teams located in our store support center in Roanoke, Virginia and in our regional office in Minneapolis, Minnesota.  In fiscal 2008, we purchased merchandise from over 400 vendors, with no single vendor accounting for more than 9% of purchases. Our purchasing strategy involves negotiating agreements with certain vendors to purchase merchandise over a specified period of time along with other terms, including pricing, payment terms and volume.

Our merchandising team is skilled in sourcing high quality products globally and maintaining consistent inventory levels. The merchandising team has developed strong vendor relationships in the industry and, in a collaborative effort with our vendor partners, utilizes a category management process. We believe this process, which develops a customer-focused business plan for each merchandise category, has been highly effective and is critical to improving comparable store sales, gross margin and inventory turns.
 
Our merchandising strategy is to carry a broad selection of high quality brand name automotive parts and accessories such as Bosch®, Castrol®, Sylvania®, Prestone®, Monroe®, Wagner®, Purolator®, Dayco®, Trico® and Federal-Mogul Moog®, or Moog®, which generates DIY customer traffic and also appeals to Commercial customers. In addition to these branded products, we stock a wide selection of high quality proprietary products that appeal to value conscious customers. These lines of merchandise include everything from chemical and wash-and-wax products to tools, batteries, parts and interior automotive accessories under various private label names.

5

 
Supply Chain. Our supply chain consists of centralized inventory management and transportation functions which support a logistics network of distribution centers, PDQ® warehouses and stores. Our inventory management team utilizes a replenishment system to monitor the distribution center, PDQ® warehouse and store inventory levels and orders additional product when appropriate while streamlining handling costs. Our replenishment system utilizes the most up-to-date information from our POS system as well as inventory movement forecasting based upon sales history, sales trends by SKU, seasonality and demographic shifts in demand. Our replenishment system combines these factors with service level goals, vendor lead times and cost of inventory assumptions to determine the timing and size of purchase orders. A significant portion of our purchase orders are sent via electronic data interchange, with the remainder being sent by computer generated e-mail or facsimile.
 
Our transportation team utilizes a transportation management system to efficiently manage incoming shipments to our distribution centers and stores. Benefits from this system include (i) reduced vendor to distribution center freight costs, (ii) visibility of purchase orders and shipments for the entire supply chain, (iii) a reduction in distribution center inventory, or safety stock, due to consistent transit times, (iv) decreased third party freight and billing service costs, (v) decreased distribution center to store freight costs and (vi) higher store in-stock position. We recently announced our plan to outsource our private fleet operations to two reputable dedicated carriers. We believe outsourcing our private fleet operations will allow us to focus resources on achieving our key strategies, improve our ability to manage transportation as we continue to grow and reduce costs.
 
We currently operate eight distribution centers. All of these distribution centers are equipped with our distribution center management system, or DCMS. Our DCMS provides real-time inventory tracking through the processes of receiving, picking, shipping and replenishing inventory at our distribution centers. The DCMS, integrated with technologically advanced material handling equipment, significantly reduces warehouse and distribution costs, while improving efficiency. This equipment includes carousels, “pick-to light” systems, radio frequency technology, voice technology and automated sorting systems. Through the continued implementation of our supply chain initiatives we expect to further increase the efficient utilization of our distribution capacity. We believe our current capacity will allow us to support in excess of 3,400 AAP stores. We plan to open a new distribution center in Indiana in 2010.

We currently offer approximately 60,000 SKUs to support all of our retail stores via our 15 stand-alone PDQ® warehouses and/or our eight distribution centers (all of which stock PDQ® items). Stores have system visibility to inventory in their respective PDQÒ warehouses and distribution centers and can place orders to these facilities, or as an alternative, through an online ordering system to virtually any of the other facilities.  Ordered parts are delivered to substantially all stores on a same day or next day basis through our dedicated PDQ® trucking fleet and third party carriers. Store inventories are replenished from our eight distribution centers. In addition, we operate a Master PDQ® warehouse that stocks approximately 26,000 incremental SKUs of harder-to-find automotive parts and accessories and utilizes our existing PDQ® distribution infrastructure and/or third party arrangements to provide next day service to substantially all of our stores.

Marketing & Advertising.  We have an extensive marketing and advertising program designed to communicate our ability to meet consumers’ needs through our merchandise offerings, parts assortment and availability, competitive prices, free services and commitment to customer service. Our marketing and advertising program is focused on establishing Advance Auto Parts as the primary resource for a customer's automotive needs. We reinforce our brand image through a mix of media that includes television, radio, promotional signage, outdoor media, print and our Internet site.

Our marketing and advertising plan is a brand-building program primarily built around television and radio advertising. The plan is supported by in-store signage, online advertising and print. Our television advertising is a combination of national and regional media in both sports and entertainment programming. Radio advertising generally airs during peak drive times. We use Spanish-language radio and television advertising to market to our Hispanic customers. Our advertising program is also supported through sponsorships of sporting events, racing teams and other grass-root level events intended to positively impact individual communities, including Hispanic and other ethnic communities, to create awareness and drive traffic for our stores. Since 2004, we have used an integrated consumer education program to build our image as not only the best source for parts, but also the best resource for vehicle information. Our goal with our consumer education initiative is to continue our long-term brand building success, increase customer loyalty and expand our customer base.
 
 
 
6

 
In February 2008, we launched a new branding campaign, “Keep the wheels turning.” This campaign was developed based on a strategic review of our business as well as extensive research conducted with our customers and Team Members. We believe this campaign, which targets core DIY and Commercial customers, is differentiating Advance Auto Parts in our industry by positioning us as (i) the brand that best understands customers’ needs, (ii) the source for brand name parts and products and (iii) the resource for expert advice and knowledge to help customers keep their vehicles running. The campaign includes creative and compelling television and radio commercials designed to drive sales and build an enduring, positive image of Advance Auto Parts with our targeted customers.

AI Segment

We acquired AI in September 2005. The acquisition included 61 stores throughout New England and New York, a distribution center and AI’s wholesale distribution business. AI complements our growing presence in the Commercial market in the Northeast.

AI’s business primarily serves the Commercial market, with an emphasis on import parts, from its store locations. In addition, its North American Sales Division serves warehouse distributors and jobbers throughout North America. We believe AI provides a high level of service to its Commercial customers by providing quality parts, unsurpassed customer service and efficient parts delivery. As a result of its extensive sourcing network, AI is able to serve its customers in search of replacement parts for both domestic and imported cars and light trucks with a greater focus on imported parts. The vast majority of AI’s product is sold under its own proprietary brand. The AI stores offer approximately 11,000 SKUs with access to an additional 17,000 unique SKUs through its logistics network.

At January 3, 2009, we operated 125 stores under the “Autopart International” trade name in the following states throughout the Northeast:
 
   
Number of
     
Number of
     
Number of
Location
 
Stores
 
Location
 
Stores
 
Location
 
Stores
                     
Connecticut
 
17
 
New Hampshire
 
8
 
Pennsylvania
 
20
Delaware
 
1
 
New Jersey
 
14
 
Rhode Island
 
4
Maine
 
4
 
New York
 
23
 
Vermont
 
1
Massachusetts
 
33
               
 
The following table sets forth information concerning increases in the total number of our AI stores:
 
   
2008
   
2007
   
2006
   
2005
     
Beginning Stores
    108       87       62       -      
New Stores
    18       21       25       62 (1)    
Stores Closed
    (1 )     -       -       -      
Ending Stores
    125       108       87       62      
 
(1)
Of the 62 new stores in 2005, 61 stores were acquired in September 2005 as a result of our AI acquisition. 
 
Seasonality

Our business is somewhat seasonal in nature, with the highest sales occurring in the spring and summer months. In addition, our business can be affected by weather conditions. While unusually heavy precipitation tends to soften sales as elective maintenance is deferred during such periods, extremely hot or cold weather tends to enhance sales by causing automotive parts to fail at an accelerated rate.
 
Team Members

At March 2, 2009, we employed 27,396 full-time Team Members and 20,186 part-time Team Members. Our 
 
7

 
workforce consisted of 89% of our Team Members employed in store-level operations, 8% employed in distribution and 3% employed in our corporate offices. We have never experienced any labor disruption and are not party to any collective bargaining agreements. We believe that our Team Member relations are good.
 
Intellectual Property

We own a number of trade names and own and have federally registered several service marks and trademarks, including “Advance Auto Parts,” “Western Auto,” “Parts America,” “Autopart International” and “PDQ” for use in connection with the automotive parts retailing business. In addition, we own and have registered a number of trademarks for our proprietary products. We believe that these trade names, service marks and trademarks are important to our merchandising strategy. We do not know of any infringing uses that would materially affect the use of these trade names and marks, and we actively defend and enforce them.

Competition

We operate in both the DIY and Commercial markets of the automotive aftermarket industry. Our primary competitors are (i) both national and regional retail chains of automotive parts stores, including AutoZone, Inc., O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. and The Pep Boys–Manny, Moe & Jack, (ii) discount stores and mass merchandisers that carry automotive products, (iii) wholesalers or jobber stores, including those associated with national parts distributors or associations, such as NAPA and Carquest, (iv) independent operators and (v) automobile dealers that supply parts. We believe that chains of automotive parts stores that, like us, have multiple locations in one or more markets, have competitive advantages in customer service, marketing, inventory selection, purchasing and distribution as compared to independent retailers and jobbers that are not part of a chain or associated with other retailers or jobbers. The principal methods of competition in our business include store location, product offerings, availability, quality, price and customer service.

Environmental Matters

We are subject to various federal, state and local laws and governmental regulations relating to the operation of our business, including those governing recycling of automotive lead-acid batteries and used automotive oil, and ownership and operation of real property. We sell consumer products containing hazardous materials as part of our business. In addition, our customers may bring automotive lead-acid batteries or used automotive oil onto our properties. We currently provide collection and recycling programs for used lead-acid batteries and used oil at all of our stores as a service to our customers. Pursuant to agreements with third party vendors, lead-acid batteries and used oil are collected by our Team Members, deposited onto pallets or into vendor supplied containers and stored by us until collected by the third party vendors for recycling or proper disposal. The terms of our contracts with third party vendors provide that they are in compliance with all applicable laws and regulations. Persons who arrange for the removal, disposal, treatment or other handling of hazardous or toxic substances may be liable for the costs of removal or remediation at any affected disposal, treatment or other site affected by such substances. Based on our experience, we do not believe that there are any material environmental costs associated with the current business practice of accepting lead-acid batteries and used oil as these costs are borne by the respective third parties.

We own and lease real property. Under various environmental laws and regulations, a current or previous owner or operator of real property may be liable for the cost of removal or remediation of hazardous or toxic substances on, under or in such property. These laws often impose joint and several liability and may be imposed without regard to whether the owner or operator knew of, or was responsible for, the release of such hazardous or toxic substances. Other environmental laws and common law principles also could be used to impose liability for releases of hazardous materials into the environment or work place, and third parties may seek recovery from owners or operators of real properties for personal injury or property damage associated with exposure to released hazardous substances. From time to time, we receive notices from the Environmental Protection Agency and state environmental authorities indicating that there may be contamination on properties we own, lease or operate or may have owned, leased or operated in the past or on adjacent properties for which we may be responsible.  Compliance with these laws and regulations has not had a material impact on our operations to date.
 
8

 
 
 
Risk Factors.
 
Risks Relating to Our Business

If overall demand for products sold by our stores slows or declines, our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows will suffer.   Decreased demand could also negatively impact our stock price.

Overall demand for products sold by our stores depends on many factors and may slow or decrease due to any number of reasons, including:
 
the economy, because during periods of declining economic conditions (including higher unemployment, lower wages, higher credit costs or unavailability of credit, and higher fuel or energy prices), both DIY and Commercial customers may defer vehicle maintenance or repair; conversely, during periods of favorable economic conditions, more of our DIY customers may pay others to repair and maintain their cars or they may purchase new cars;
the weather, as vehicle maintenance may be deferred during periods of unfavorable weather;
the average duration of manufacturer warranties and the decrease in the number of annual miles driven, because newer cars typically require fewer repairs and will be repaired by the manufacturer’s dealer network using dealer parts; and lower vehicle mileage decreases the need for maintenance and repair (while higher miles driven increases the need);
the quality of vehicles manufactured, because vehicles that have high part failure rates will require more frequent repairs using aftermarket parts; and
the refusal of vehicle manufacturers to make available diagnostic, repair and maintenance information to the automotive aftermarket industry that our DIY and Commercial customers require to diagnose, repair and maintain their vehicles may force consumers to have all diagnostic work, repairs and maintenance performed by the vehicle manufacturers’ dealer network.
 
If any of these factors cause overall demand for the products we sell to decline, our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows will suffer.

Deterioration in general economic conditions, including unemployment, inflation or deflation, consumer debt levels or unavailability of credit and high energy costs will likely have a negative impact on our customers’ ability to purchase our products and our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows will suffer.

The deterioration in general macro-economic conditions that occurred during the fourth quarter of 2008 led many U.S. companies to announce plant closings and employee layoffs, which resulted in higher unemployment that may continue for a prolonged period of time.  Unemployment of our customers or any decrease in the market value of their homes would have a negative impact on our customers’ net worth and financial resources, and could reduce their willingness or ability to pay for accessories, maintenance or repair of their vehicles.  Although the price of gasoline decreased substantially in November and December of 2008, the price of fuel or other energy resources may increase substantially in the future.  Higher fuel and energy costs may reduce the amount of customers’ disposable income available to purchase our products, as well as reduce the number of miles driven. Rising energy prices may impact demand for the products we sell, overall transaction count and our profitability.  In addition, higher energy prices impact our merchandise distribution, commercial delivery, utility and product costs, and inflation or deflation could also result in a potentially material negative impact on our business, financial condition, profitability and cash flows.

If we are unable to compete successfully against other companies in the automotive aftermarket industry we may lose customers, our revenues may decline, and we may be less profitable or potentially unprofitable.

The sale of automotive parts, accessories and maintenance items is highly competitive in many ways, including name recognition, location, price, quality, product availability and customer service. We compete in both the DIY and Commercial categories of the automotive aftermarket industry, primarily with: (i) national and regional retail
 
9

 
automotive parts chains, (ii) discount stores and mass merchandisers that carry automotive products, (iii) wholesalers or jobber stores, (iv) independent operators and (v) automobile dealers that supply parts. These competitors and the level of competition vary by market. Some of our competitors may possess advantages over us in certain markets we share, including a greater amount of marketing activities, a larger number of stores, store locations, store layouts, longer operating histories, greater name recognition, larger and more established customer bases, lower prices, and better product warranties. Our response to these competitive disadvantages may require us to reduce our prices below our normal selling prices or increase our promotional spending, which would lower revenue and profitability. Competitive disadvantages may also prevent us from introducing new product lines, require us to discontinue current product offerings, or change some of our current operating strategies. If we do not have the resources or expertise, or otherwise fail to develop successful strategies to address these competitive disadvantages, we may lose customers, our revenues and profit margins may decline and we may be less profitable or potentially unprofitable.

Disruptions in our relationships with vendors, or disruptions in or changes in our vendors' operations, could increase our cost of goods sold and/or affect the supply of automotive parts and supplies we sell.

Our business depends on developing and maintaining close relationships with our vendors and on our vendors' ability or willingness to sell quality products to us at favorable prices and terms. Many factors outside of our control may harm these relationships and the ability or willingness of these vendors to sell us products on favorable terms. For example, financial or operational difficulties that some of our vendors may face could increase the cost of the products we purchase from them or our ability to source product from them. In addition, the trend towards consolidation among automotive parts suppliers as well as the off-shoring of manufacturing capacity to foreign countries may disrupt or end our relationship with some vendors, and could lead to less competition and result in higher prices.  We could also be negatively impacted by suppliers who might experience work stoppages, labor strikes or other interruptions to or difficulties in the manufacture or supply of the products we purchase from them.
 
Deteriorating and uncertain credit markets could negatively impact our vendors, as well as our liquidity and ability to secure additional capital at favorable cost-effective terms in the future.

Impact on the Company’s Suppliers

During the fourth quarter of 2008, the Company, our suppliers (also referred to as vendors) and our customers were exposed to deteriorating and uncertain credit markets.  The general decline in the economy and economic conditions could negatively affect our suppliers by making it difficult for them to obtain the credit lines or loans necessary to finance their operations in the short-term, or long-term.

Additionally, if any of the major U. S. automobile manufacturers files a petition in bankruptcy, or if other factors result in a substantial reduction in the number of new cars manufactured, or in a company-wide shut-down, it would likely have a material negative short-term (as well as potentially long-term) impact on the operations and cash flows of some of our suppliers.  Any such negative impacts to our suppliers will likely result in the loss of certain suppliers and/or in higher product costs.

Impact on the Company

Supplier bankruptcies would likely decrease the production output and supply of domestic (and possibly foreign) automobile parts and accessories, thereby decreasing the availability and increasing the cost of our parts and accessories.  We might not be able to pass our increased costs onto our customers. Any increased per unit costs of our suppliers, would likely result in the Company paying a higher per unit price for parts and accessories, potentially resulting in higher cost of goods sold, lower gross profit margins and reduced operating profits if such increased costs could not be passed onto our customers.
 
Our overall credit rating may be negatively impacted by the deteriorating and uncertain credit markets.  (See Item 7., Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations -- Credit Ratings.)  The interest rates on our credit facilities are linked directly to our credit ratings. Accordingly, any negative impact on our credit rating would likely result in higher interest rates and interest expense we pay on borrowed funds. Additionally, we may be limited in our ability to borrow additional funds to finance our operations. In light of
 
10

 
the uncertainty in the credit markets, it is possible that one or more of the banks that provides us with financing under our credit facilities may fail to honor the terms of our existing credit facilities or be financially unable to provide the unused credit. An inability to obtain sufficient financing at cost-effective rates could have a materially adverse affect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
 
We depend on the services of many qualified Team Members, whom we may not be able to attract and retain.

Our success depends to a significant extent on the continued services and experience of our Team Members. At March 2, 2009, we employed 47,582 Team Members. We may not be able to retain our current qualified Team Members, or attract and retain additional qualified Team Members that may be needed in the future. Our ability to maintain an adequate number of qualified Team Members is highly dependent on an attractive and competitive compensation and benefits package. If we fail or are unable to maintain such a package, our customer service and execution levels could suffer by reason of a declining quality of our workforce, which could adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.

We may not be able to successfully implement our business strategy, including increasing comparable store sales, enhancing our margins and increasing our return on invested capital, which could adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.

We have implemented numerous initiatives as part of our business strategy, including four key turnaround strategies introduced in 2008, to increase comparable store sales, enhance our margins and increase our return on invested capital in order to increase our earnings and cash flow. If we are unable to implement these initiatives efficiently and effectively, or if these initiatives are unsuccessful, our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows could be adversely affected.

Successful implementation of our business strategy also depends on factors specific to the retail automotive parts industry and numerous other factors that may be beyond our control. Adverse changes in the following factors could undermine our business strategy and have a material adverse affect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flow:
 
general economic conditions, including the current U.S. recession which could continue into the future, and unfavorable conditions in our local markets, which could reduce our sales;
the competitive environment in the automotive aftermarket parts and accessories retail sector that may force us to reduce prices below our desired pricing level or increase promotional spending;
changes in the automotive aftermarket parts manufacturing industry, such as manufacturer consolidation or closures, which may disrupt or sever one or more of our supplier relationships and increase the cost of the parts and accessories we sell;
our ability to anticipate changes in consumer preferences and to meet customers’ needs for automotive products (particularly parts availability) in a timely manner;
our ability to stimulate DIY customer traffic as well as grow our Commercial business; and
our continued ability to hire and retain qualified personnel, which depends in part on the types of recruiting, training, compensation and benefit programs we adopt or maintain.
 
We will not be able to expand our business if our growth strategy is not successful, including the availability of suitable locations for new store openings or the successful integration of any acquired businesses, which could adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.

New Store Openings
 
We have increased our store count significantly from 814 stores at the end of fiscal 1997 to 3,368 stores at January 3, 2009. We intend to continue to increase the number of our stores and expand the markets we serve as part of our growth strategy, primarily by opening new stores. We may also grow our business through strategic acquisitions. We do not know whether the implementation of our growth strategy will be successful. The actual number of new stores to be opened and their success will depend on a number of factors, including, among other
 
11

 
things:
 
the availability of potential store locations;
the negotiation of acceptable lease or purchase terms for new locations;
the availability of financial resources, including access to capital at cost-effective interest rates; and
our ability to manage the expansion and hire, train and retain qualified sales associates.
 
We are unsure whether we will be able to open and operate new stores on a timely or sufficiently profitable basis, or that opening new stores in markets we already serve will not harm existing store profitability or comparable store sales. The newly opened and existing stores' profitability will depend on the competition we face as well as our ability to properly merchandise, market and price the products desired by customers in these markets.

Acquisitions, Investments or Strategic Alliances

We may acquire stores or businesses from, make investments in, or enter into strategic alliances with companies that have stores or distribution networks in our current markets or in areas into which we intend to expand our presence. Any future acquisitions, investments, strategic alliances or related efforts will be accompanied by risks, including but not limited to:
 
the difficulty of identifying appropriate strategic partners or acquisition candidates;
securing adequate financing on cost-effective terms for acquisition or post-acquisition expenditures;
the potential disruption to our ongoing business and diversion of our management's attention;
inability or failure to discover liabilities prior to completion of an acquisition, including the assumption of legal liabilities;
the difficulty of assimilating and integrating the operations of the respective entities to realize anticipated economic, operational or other favorable benefits;
the inability to maintain uniform standards, controls, procedures and policies;
inability or failure to retain key personnel from the acquired business; and
the impairment of relationships with team members and customers as a result of changes in management.
 
We are unsure whether we will be successful in overcoming these risks or any other problems encountered with any acquisitions, investments, strategic alliances or related efforts. If we fail to successfully open and operate new stores or make strategic acquisitions or alliances, then our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows may be negatively impacted.

Because we are involved in litigation from time to time, and are subject to numerous laws and governmental regulations, we could incur substantial judgments, fines, legal fees and other costs.

We are sometimes the subject of complaints or litigation from customers, employees or other third parties for various actions. From time to time, we are involved in litigation involving claims related to, among other things, breach of contract, tortious conduct, employment discrimination, payment of wages, asbestos exposure, real estate, and product defects. The damages sought against us in some of these litigation proceedings are substantial. Although we maintain liability insurance for some litigation claims, if one or more of the claims were to greatly exceed our insurance coverage limits or if our insurance policies do not cover a claim, this could have a material adverse affect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.

Additionally, we are subject to numerous federal, state and local laws and governmental regulations relating to environmental protection, product quality standards, building and zoning requirements, as well as employment law matters. If we fail to comply with existing or future laws or regulations, we may be subject to governmental or judicial fines or sanctions, while incurring substantial legal fees and costs. In addition, our capital expenses could increase due to remediation measures that may be required if we are found to be noncompliant with any existing or future laws or regulations.

 
 
12

 
War or acts of terrorism, or the threat of either, may negatively impact the availability and cost of merchandise and our customers and adversely impact our sales and profitability.
 
War or acts of terrorism, or the threat of either, may have a negative impact on our ability to obtain merchandise available for sale in our stores. Some of our merchandise is imported from other countries. If imported goods become difficult or impossible to import into the United States, and if we cannot obtain such merchandise from other sources at similar costs, our sales and profit margins may be negatively affected.

In the event that commercial transportation is curtailed or substantially delayed, our business may be adversely impacted, as we may have difficulty shipping merchandise to our distribution centers and stores.

Furthermore, terrorist attacks, war in the Middle East, or war within or between any oil producing country would likely result in an abrupt increase in the price of crude oil, gasoline, diesel fuel and energy costs. Such price increases would increase the cost of doing business for us and our suppliers, and also would negatively impact our customers' disposable income and have an adverse impact on our business, sales, profit margins and results of operations.

Risks Relating to Our Financial Condition

The covenants governing our revolving and term loan facilities impose restrictions on us.

The terms of our revolving and term loan facilities include covenants that impose operating and financial restrictions on us and our subsidiaries and require us to meet certain financial ratios and conditions. These restrictions may also have a negative impact on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows by significantly limiting or prohibiting us from engaging in certain transactions, including:
 
incurring or guaranteeing additional indebtedness;
making capital expenditures and other investments;
incurring liens on our assets and engaging in sale-leaseback transactions;
issuing or selling capital stock of our subsidiaries;
transferring or selling assets currently held by us; and
engaging in mergers or acquisitions.
 
The failure to comply with any of these covenants would cause a default under our credit facilities. Furthermore, our credit facilities contain certain financial covenants, including a maximum leverage ratio and a minimum coverage ratio, which, if not maintained by us, will cause us to be in default under our credit facilities. Any of these defaults, if not waived, could result in the acceleration of all of our debt, in which case the debt would become immediately due and payable. If this occurs, we may not be able to repay our debt or borrow sufficient funds to refinance it. Even if new financing were available, it may be on terms that are less favorable or otherwise not acceptable to us.
 
 
Unresolved Staff Comments.
 
None.
 
 
13

 
 
 
Properties.
 
The following table sets forth certain information relating to our distribution and other principal facilities:
 
     
Opening
     
Size
 
Nature of
Facility
 
Date
 
Area Served
 
(Sq. ft.)(1)
 
Occupancy
                   
Main Distribution Centers:
               
 
Roanoke, Virginia
 
1988
 
Mid-Atlantic
 
     433,681
 
Leased
 
Lehigh, Pennsylvania
 
2004
 
Northeast
 
     635,487
 
Owned
 
Lakeland, Florida
 
1982
 
Florida
 
     552,796
 
Owned
 
Gastonia, North Carolina
 
1969
 
South, Offshore
 
     634,472
 
Owned
 
Gallman, Mississippi
 
2001
 
South
 
     388,168
 
Owned
 
Salina, Kansas
 
1971
 
West, Midwest
 
     413,500
 
Owned
 
Delaware, Ohio
 
1972
 
Northeast
 
     480,100
 
Owned
 
Thomson, Georgia
 
1999
 
Southeast
 
     374,400
 
Owned
                   
Master PDQ® Warehouse:
               
 
Andersonville, Tennessee
 
1998
 
All
 
     115,019
 
Leased
                   
PDQ® Warehouses:
               
 
Youngwood, Pennsylvania
 
1999
 
East
 
       39,878
 
Leased
 
Riverside, Missouri
 
1999
 
West
 
       43,912
 
Leased
 
Guilderland Center, New York
 
1999
 
Northeast
 
       40,950
 
Leased
 
Temple, Texas
 
1999
 
Southwest
 
       61,343
 
Leased
 
Altamonte Springs, Florida
 
1996
 
Central Florida
 
       10,000
 
Owned
 
Jacksonville, Florida
 
1997
 
Northern Florida and Southern
 
       12,712
 
Owned
         
Georgia
       
 
Tampa, Florida
 
1997
 
West Central Florida
 
       10,000
 
Owned
 
Hialeah, Florida
 
1997
 
South Florida
 
       12,500
 
Owned
 
West Palm Beach, Florida
 
1998
 
Southeast Florida
 
       13,300
 
Leased
 
Mobile, Alabama
 
1998
 
Alabama and Mississippi
 
       10,000
 
Owned
 
Atlanta, Georgia
 
1999
 
Georgia and South Carolina
 
       16,786
 
Leased
 
Tallahassee, Florida
 
1999
 
South Georgia and Northwest
 
       10,000
 
Owned
         
Florida
       
 
Fort Myers, Florida
 
1999
 
Southwest Florida
 
       14,330
 
Owned
 
Cleveland, Ohio
 
2008
 
Northeast Ohio
 
       22,000
 
Leased
 
Chicago, Illinois(2)
 
2009
 
Northern Illinois, Wisconsin
 
       45,485
 
Leased
         
and Northern Indiana
       
                   
Corporate/Administrative Offices:
               
 
Roanoke, Virginia
 
1995
 
All
 
       49,000
 
Leased
 
Roanoke, Virginia
 
2002
 
All
 
     144,000
 
Leased
 
Minneapolis, Minnesota
 
2008
 
All
 
       51,674
 
Leased
                   
AI Properties:
               
 
Norton, Massachusetts
 
2006
 
AI corporate office
 
       30,000
 
Leased
 
Norton, Massachusetts
 
2006
 
New England, New York - AI
 
     317,500
 
Leased
 
(1) 
Square footage amounts exclude adjacent office space.
(2)  
This facility opened in January 2009.

14

 
At January 3, 2009, we owned 633 of our stores and leased 2,735 stores. The expiration dates, including the exercise of renewal options, of the store leases are summarized as follows:
 
Years
 
AAP Stores
 
AI Stores
 
Total
2008-2009
 
                    24
 
                    1
 
              25
2010-2014
 
                  235
 
                 62
 
            297
2015-2019
 
                  616
 
                 32
 
            648
2020-2029
 
                  815
 
                 30
 
            845
2030-2039
 
                  790
 
                             -
 
            790
2040-2056
 
                  130
 
                             -
 
            130
   
               2,610
 
               125
 
         2,735
 
 
Legal Proceedings.
 
We currently and from time to time are involved in litigation incidental to the conduct of our business, including litigation arising from claims of employment discrimination or other types of employment matters as a result of claims by current and former employees. Although we diligently defend against these claims, we may enter into discussions regarding settlement of these and other lawsuits, and may enter into settlement agreements, if we believe settlement is in the best interests of our shareholders. The damages claimed against us in some of these proceedings are substantial. Although the amount of liability that may result from these matters cannot be ascertained, we do not currently believe that, in the aggregate, they will result in liabilities material to our consolidated financial condition, future results of operations or cash flow.

Our Western Auto subsidiary, together with other defendants including automobile manufacturers, automotive parts manufacturers and other retailers, has been named as a defendant in lawsuits alleging injury as a result of exposure to asbestos-containing products. We and some of our other subsidiaries also have been named as defendants in many of these lawsuits. The plaintiffs have alleged that these products were manufactured, distributed and/or sold by the various defendants. To date, these products have included brake and clutch parts and roofing materials. Many of the cases pending against us or our subsidiaries are in the early stages of litigation. The damages claimed against the defendants in some of these proceedings are substantial. Additionally, some of the automotive parts manufacturers named as defendants in these lawsuits have declared bankruptcy, which will limit plaintiffs’ ability to recover monetary damages from those defendants. Although we diligently defend against these claims, we may enter into discussions regarding settlement of these and other lawsuits, and may enter into settlement agreements, if we believe settlement is in the best interests of our shareholders. We also believe that most of these claims are at least partially covered by insurance. Based on discovery to date, we do not believe the cases currently pending will have a material adverse effect on us. However, if we were to incur an adverse verdict in one or more of these claims and were ordered to pay damages that were not covered by insurance, these claims could have a material adverse effect on our operating results, financial position and liquidity. If the number of claims filed against us or any of our subsidiaries alleging injury as a result of exposure to asbestos-containing products increases substantially, the costs associated with concluding these claims, including damages resulting from any adverse verdicts, could have a material adverse effect on our operating results, financial position and liquidity in future periods.
 
 
Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders.
 
None.
 
 
15

 
 
PART II
 
 
Market for Registrant’s Common Equity, Related Stockholder Matters and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities.
 
Our common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange, or NYSE, under the symbol "AAP." The table below sets forth, for the fiscal periods indicated, the high and low sale prices per share for our common stock, as reported by the NYSE.
 
   
High
   
Low
 
Fiscal Year Ended January 3, 2009
           
Fourth Quarter
  $ 37.37     $ 24.17  
Third Quarter
  $ 44.61     $ 36.75  
Second Quarter
  $ 41.74     $ 33.57  
First Quarter
  $ 37.99     $ 31.20  
Fiscal Year Ended December 29, 2007
               
Fourth Quarter
  $ 40.73     $ 31.53  
Third Quarter
  $ 40.15     $ 29.51  
Second Quarter
  $ 43.62     $ 39.22  
First Quarter
  $ 40.80     $ 34.90  
 
The closing price of our common stock on March 2, 2009 was $36.31. At March 2, 2009, there were 384 holders of record of our common stock (which does not include the number of individual beneficial owners whose shares were held on their behalf by brokerage firms in street name).

On February 15, 2006, our Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend, the first in our history. The $0.06 per share quarterly cash dividend has been declared in each quarter since its inception in fiscal 2006. Any payments of dividends in the future will be at the discretion of our Board of Directors and will depend upon our results of operations, earnings, capital requirements and other factors deemed relevant by our Board of Directors.

Stock Price Performance

The following graph shows a comparison of our cumulative total return on our common stock, the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index and the Standard & Poor’s 500 Specialty Retail Index. The graph assumes that the value of an investment in our common stock and in each such index was $100 on January 3, 2004, and that any dividends have been reinvested. The comparison in the graph below is based solely on historical data and is not intended to forecast the possible future performance of our common stock.

16

 
COMPARISON OF CUMULATIVE TOTAL RETURN AMONG
ADVANCE AUTO PARTS, INC., S&P 500 INDEX
AND S&P 500 SPECIALTY RETAIL INDEX
 
 
 Company / Index
Jan 3, 2004
Jan 1, 2005
Dec 31, 2005
Dec 30, 2006
Dec 29, 2007
Jan 3, 2009
 Advance Auto Parts
100
107.30
160.13
131.88
142.46
128.29
 S&P 500 Index
100
111.23
116.69
135.12
143.53
92.64
 S&P 500 Specialty Retail Index
100
114.63
117.91
125.73
99.82
79.42

 
 
Selected Consolidated Financial Data.
 
The following table sets forth our selected historical consolidated statement of operations, balance sheet and other operating data. Included in this table are key metrics and operating results used to measure our financial progress. The selected historical consolidated financial and other data at January 3, 2009 and December 29, 2007 and for the three years ended January 3, 2009 have been derived from our audited consolidated financial statements and the related notes included elsewhere in this report. The historical consolidated financial and other data at December 30, 2006, December 31, 2005 and January 1, 2005 and for the years ended December 31, 2005 and January 1, 2005 have been derived from our audited consolidated financial statements and the related notes that have not been included in this report. You should read this data along with "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations," and our consolidated financial statements and the related notes included elsewhere in this report.
 
 
17

 
   
Fiscal Year (1)(2)
 
                               
   
2008
   
2007
   
2006
   
2005
   
2004
 
   
(in thousands, except per share data)
 
                               
Statement of Operations Data:
                             
Net sales
  $ 5,142,255     $ 4,844,404     $ 4,616,503     $ 4,264,971     $ 3,770,297  
Cost of sales (3)
    2,679,191       2,523,435       2,415,339       2,250,493       2,016,926  
Gross profit
    2,463,064       2,320,969       2,201,164       2,014,478       1,753,371  
Selling, general and administrative expenses
    2,048,137       1,904,540       1,797,814       1,605,986       1,424,613  
Operating income
    414,927       416,429       403,350       408,492       328,758  
Interest expense
    (33,729 )     (34,809 )     (35,992 )     (32,384 )     (20,069 )
Gain (loss) on extinguishment of debt
    -       -       986       -       (3,230 )
Other income, net
    (506 )     1,014       1,571       2,815       289  
Income from continuing operations before income taxes and loss on discontinued operations
    380,692       382,634       369,915       378,923       305,748  
Income tax expense
    142,654       144,317       138,597       144,198       117,721  
Income from continuing operations before loss on discontinued operations
    238,038       238,317       231,318       234,725       188,027  
Discontinued operations:
                                       
     Loss from operations of discontinued
                                       
     Wholesale Distribution Network
    -       -       -       -       (63 )
     Benefit for income taxes
    -       -       -       -       (24 )
     Loss on discontinued operations
    -       -       -       -       (39 )
Net income
  $ 238,038     $ 238,317     $ 231,318     $ 234,725     $ 187,988  
                                         
                                         
Per Share Data:(4)
                                       
Income from continuing operations before loss on discontinued operations per basic share
  $ 2.51     $ 2.30     $ 2.18     $ 2.17     $ 1.70  
Income from continuing operations before loss on discontinued operations per diluted share
  $ 2.50     $ 2.28     $ 2.16     $ 2.13     $ 1.66  
Net income per basic share
  $ 2.51     $ 2.30     $ 2.18     $ 2.17     $ 1.70  
Net income per diluted share
  $ 2.50     $ 2.28     $ 2.16     $ 2.13     $ 1.66  
Cash dividends declared per basic share
  $ 0.24     $ 0.24     $ 0.24     $ -     $ -  
Weighted average basic shares outstanding
    94,655       103,826       106,129       108,318       110,846  
Weighted average diluted shares outstanding
    95,305       104,654       107,124       109,987       113,222  
                                         
Cash flows provided by (used in):
                                       
                                         
Operating activities
  $ 478,739     $ 410,542     $ 333,604     $ 321,632     $ 260,397  
Investing activities
    (181,609 )     (202,143 )     (258,642 )     (302,780 )     (166,822 )
Financing activities
    (274,426 )     (204,873 )     (104,617 )     (34,390 )     (48,741 )

18

 
   
Fiscal Year (1)(2)
 
                               
   
2008
   
2007
   
2006
   
2005
   
2004
 
   
(in thousands, except per share data and ratios)
 
Balance Sheet and Other Financial Data:
                             
                               
Cash and cash equivalents
  $ 37,358     $ 14,654     $ 11,128     $ 40,783     $ 56,321  
Inventory
  $ 1,623,088     $ 1,529,469     $ 1,463,340     $ 1,367,099     $ 1,201,450  
Inventory turnover(5)
    1.70       1.69       1.71       1.75       1.74  
Inventory per store(6)
  $ 482     $ 469     $ 475     $ 476     $ 453  
Accounts payable to inventory ratio(7)
    57.2 %     55.1 %     53.2 %     54.8 %     53.7 %
Net working capital(8)
  $ 442,632     $ 456,897     $ 498,553     $ 406,476     $ 416,302  
Capital expenditures
  $ 184,986     $ 210,600     $ 258,586     $ 216,214     $ 179,766  
Total assets
  $ 2,964,065     $ 2,805,566     $ 2,682,681     $ 2,542,149     $ 2,201,962  
Total debt
  $ 456,164     $ 505,672     $ 477,240     $ 438,800     $ 470,000  
Total net debt(9)
  $ 439,394     $ 521,018     $ 500,318     $ 448,187     $ 433,863  
Total stockholders' equity
  $ 1,075,166     $ 1,023,795     $ 1,030,854     $ 919,771     $ 722,315  
                                         
Selected Store Data:
                                       
                                         
Comparable store sales growth (10)
    1.5 %     0.7 %     1.6 %     8.2 %     6.0 %
Number of stores at beginning of year
    3,261       3,082       2,872       2,652       2,539  
   New stores
    127       196       215       231       125  
   Closed stores
    (20 )     (17 )     (5 )     (11 )     (12 )
Number of stores, end of period
    3,368       3,261       3,082       2,872       2,652  
Relocated stores
    10       29       47       54       34  
Stores with commercial delivery program, end of period
    2,880       2,712       2,526       2,254       1,945  
Total commercial sales, as a percentage of total sales
    29.5 %     26.6 %     25.0 %     21.8 %     18.4 %
SG&A expenses per store (in 000s)(11)(12)
  $ 618     $ 601     $ 604     $ 586     $ 549  
Operating income per team member (in 000s)(13)
  $ 9.02     $ 9.40     $ 9.29     $ 10.30     $ 9.01  
Total store square footage, end of period
    24,711       23,982       22,753       21,246       19,734  
Average net sales per store (in 000s)(12)(14)
  $ 1,551     $ 1,527     $ 1,551     $ 1,555     $ 1,453  
Average net sales per square foot(12)(15)
  $ 211     $ 207     $ 210     $ 209     $ 195  
Gross margin return on inventory(16)
  $ 3.56     $ 3.39     $ 3.38     $ 3.43     $ 3.18  
 
(1)
Our fiscal year consists of 52 or 53 weeks ending on the Saturday nearest to December 31st. All fiscal years presented are 52 weeks, with the exception of fiscal 2008, which consisted of 53 weeks.
(2)
The statement of operations data for each of the years presented reflects the operating results of the wholesale distribution segment as discontinued operations.
(3)
Cost of sales includes a non-cash obsolete inventory write-down of $37.5 million recorded in fiscal 2008 due to a change in our inventory management approach for slow moving inventory.
(4)
Basic and diluted shares outstanding for each of the years presented gives effect to a 3-for-2 stock split effectuated by us in the form of a 50% stock dividend distributed on September 23, 2005.
(5)
Inventory turnover is calculated as cost of sales divided by the average of beginning and ending inventories.
(6)
Inventory per store is calculated as ending inventory divided by ending store count.
(7)
Accounts payable to inventory ratio is calculated as ending accounts payable divided by ending inventory. Beginning in fiscal 2004, as a result of our new vendor financing program, we aggregate financed vendor accounts payable with accounts payable to calculate our accounts payable to inventory ratio.
(8)
Net working capital is calculated by subtracting current liabilities from current assets.
(9)
Net debt includes total debt and bank overdrafts, less cash and cash equivalents.
(10)
Comparable store sales is calculated based on the change in net sales starting once a store has been open for 13 complete accounting periods (each period represents four weeks). Relocations are included in comparable store sales from the original date of opening. Beginning in fiscal 2008, we include in comparable store sales the net sales from stores operated in Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, or Offshore, and AI stores. The comparable periods have been adjusted accordingly. Fiscal 2008 comparable store sales exclude sales from the 53rd week.
(11)
Selling, general and administrative, or SG&A, expense per store is calculated as total SG&A expenses divided by the average of beginning and ending store count. Excluding the SG&A impact of the 53rd week of fiscal 2008 of approximately $28.0 million, SG&A expenses per store in fiscal 2008 was $609.
(12)
The ending store count and/or store square footage used in the calculation of the 2005 ratios has been weighted
 
 
19

 
  for the period of the AI acquisition.
(13)
Operating income per team member is calculated as operating income divided by an average of beginning and ending number of team members. Excluding the operating income impact of the 53rd week of fiscal 2008 of approximately $16.0 million and a $37.5 million non-cash obsolete inventory write-down, operating income per team member in fiscal 2008 was $9.49.
(14)
Average net sales per store is calculated as net sales divided by the average of the beginning and the ending number of stores for the respective period. Excluding the net sales impact of the 53rd week of fiscal 2008 of approximately $89.0 million, average net sales per store in fiscal 2008 was $1,524.
(15)
Average net sales per square foot is calculated as net sales divided by the average of the beginning and ending total store square footage for the respective period. Excluding the net sales impact of the 53rd week of fiscal 2008 of approximately $89.0 million, average net sales per square foot in fiscal 2008 was $208.
(16)
Gross margin return on inventory is calculated as gross profit divided by an average of beginning and ending inventory, net of accounts payable and financed vendor accounts payable. Excluding the gross profit impact of the 53rd week of fiscal 2008 of approximately $44.0 million and a $37.5 million non-cash obsolete inventory write-down, gross margin return on inventory in fiscal 2008 was $3.46.
 
 
Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.
 
The following discussion and analysis of financial condition and results of operations should be read in conjunction with "Selected Consolidated Financial Data," our consolidated historical financial statements and the notes to those statements that appear elsewhere in this report. Our discussion contains forward-looking statements based upon current expectations that involve risks and uncertainties, such as our plans, objectives, expectations and intentions. Actual results and the timing of events could differ materially from those anticipated in these forward-looking statements as a result of a number of factors, including those set forth under “Forward-Looking Statements” and "Risk Factors" elsewhere in this report.

Our fiscal year ends on the Saturday nearest December 31st of each year, which results in an extra week every several years (fiscal 2008 contained 53 weeks). Our first quarter consists of 16 weeks, and the other three quarters consist of 12 weeks, with the exception of the fourth quarter fiscal 2008 which contained 13 weeks due to our 53-week fiscal year in 2008.

Introduction

We operate primarily within the United States automotive aftermarket industry, which includes replacement parts (excluding tires), accessories, maintenance items, batteries and automotive chemicals for cars and light trucks (pickup trucks, vans, minivans and sport utility vehicles). We currently are the second largest specialty retailer of automotive parts, accessories and maintenance items to “do-it-yourself,” or DIY, and "do-it-for-me," or Commercial, customers in the United States, based on store count and sales. At January 3, 2009, we operated 3,368 stores throughout 40 states.

We operate in two reportable segments: Advance Auto Parts, or AAP, and Autopart International, or AI.  The AAP segment is comprised of our store operations within the United States, Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands which operate under the trade names “Advance Auto Parts,” “Advance Discount Auto Parts” and “Western Auto.” At January 3, 2009, we operated 3,243 stores in the AAP segment, of which 3,215 stores operated under the trade names “Advance Auto Parts” and “Advance Discount Auto Parts” throughout 40 states in the Northeastern, Southeastern and Midwestern regions of the United States. These stores offer automotive replacement parts, accessories and maintenance items.  In addition, we operated 28 stores under the “Western Auto” and “Advance Auto Parts” trade names, located in Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, or Offshore.

At January 3, 2009, we operated 125 stores in the AI segment under the “Autopart International” trade name. We acquired AI in September 2005. AI operates as an independent, wholly-owned subsidiary. AI’s business primarily serves the Commercial market from its store locations. In addition, its North American Sales Division services warehouse distributors and jobbers throughout North America.

Management Overview

During fiscal 2008, in a challenging year of deteriorating macroeconomic conditions, we accelerated top-line sales growth by 6.1% and recorded earnings per diluted share of $2.50 compared to $2.28 in fiscal 2007.  Our fiscal 2008 financial results included an extra week of operations (53rd week) as well as a non-cash obsolete inventory
 
20

 
write-down of $37.5 million due to a change in inventory management approach for slow moving inventory. We continued to generate significant operating cash flow that allowed us to invest in business initiatives and return capital to shareholders through cash dividends and share repurchases.

Fiscal 2008 was a transitional year for Advance, which included several executive management changes and the introduction of key strategies and initiatives, as we embarked on a concentrated effort to drive changes in response to diminished sales and earnings growth during fiscal 2006 and 2007. In January 2008, Darren Jackson was appointed to the position of President and Chief Executive Officer. Mr. Jackson, who had previously served on our Board of Directors, Audit Committee and Finance Committee, had already been involved with management on the completion of certain strategic business assessments during fiscal 2007 and the formulation of key initiatives discussed below. In addition to our CEO, other new management leaders joined Advance in fiscal 2008 to work with existing leaders on developing and executing a turnaround plan.

Fiscal 2008 Highlights

Highlights from our fiscal 2008 include:

Financial
 
We recorded earnings per diluted share of $2.50 compared to $2.28 for fiscal 2007.  These results included approximately $0.10 of diluted earnings per share from the 53rd week as well as a reduction in diluted earnings per share of $0.25 from the non-cash obsolete inventory write-down. In addition to these items, our increase in earnings per share was driven by increased operating income, reduced interest expense and a lower outstanding share count as a result of 6.1 million shares having been repurchased during fiscal 2008.
     
Total sales for fiscal 2008 increased 6.1% over fiscal 2007 to $5.14 billion, primarily driven by new store growth, the 1.7% impact of the 53rd week’s sales ($88.8 million) on total sales and a comparable store sales increase of 1.5%. Our fourth quarter comparable sales increase of 3% was the highest in 11 quarters.
     
We generated operating cash flow of $478.7 million for the year, an increase of $68.2 million over the comparable period in fiscal 2007, which was primarily driven by higher earnings and the impact of the 53rd week.
     
During fiscal 2008, we repurchased 6.1 million shares of common stock for $216.5 million at an average price of $35.28 per share, of which 4.6 million shares were repurchased under our previous $500 million stock repurchase program.
 
Operational
 
Executive management introduced four key turnaround strategies as the primary catalyst for our transformation and turnaround. These four strategies are:
     
  1.
Commercial Acceleration
 
 
  2. 
DIY Transformation
 
 
  3.
Availability Excellence
     
  4.
Superior Experience
     
 
A majority of the initiatives we began and/or completed during fiscal 2008 are centered around these four strategies, some of which are discussed in the following section.
     
We retired the 2010 store format and related remodel program.  In early fiscal 2009, we began an assessment of our store occupancy costs and a potential divestiture of approximately 40 to 55 stores in addition to our normal annual store closings that are strategically or financially delivering unacceptable
 
 
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results. These stores were assessed for impairment as of January 3, 2009 and no impairment was considered necessary at that time.
 
Update on Turnaround Strategies

Our favorable results during fiscal 2008 were in part being driven by progress on our key turnaround strategies. Each of the four strategies is at a different stage of implementation.

Ø  
Commercial Acceleration
 
The effectiveness of our Commercial Acceleration strategy is evident as we experienced double digit comparable sales increases over the last four quarters in Commercial sales. For fiscal 2008, we experienced a 12.1% Commercial comparable store sales increase. We continue to gain market share in a business that is very fragmented and still growing overall. We have added more parts to our stores with Commercial programs, including key brands which are highly respected and preferred by our Commercial customers. We are developing a sales force to drive our Commercial business, another key component of the Commercial Acceleration strategy. We are increasing the number of Commercial account managers and equipping them with tools to acquire new customers and increase the volume of existing customers’ purchases. We are also testing other initiatives to roll out on a larger scale that meet the needs of our Commercial customers and drive shareholder value.
 
Ø  
DIY Transformation

The initial focus of the DIY Transformation strategy is to turnaround our current DIY sales trends utilizing targeted initiatives. Our DIY comparable store sales decrease was 2.3% in fiscal 2008 with our fourth quarter improving to a decrease of 1.1%. During fiscal 2008, we completed a 100-day assessment of our DIY business where a representative group of management and field team members worked together and concluded that we must continue to focus on initiatives such as parts availability, attachment selling, superior customer service, and the proper scheduling of team members. Additionally, we have identified certain operating areas where we are experiencing positive DIY sales results which provide us with an opportunity to utilize those best practices across the entire DIY business.

Our ability to achieve successful results in our Commercial Acceleration and DIY Transformation strategies is dependent on our Availability Excellence and Superior Experience strategies.

Ø  
Availability Excellence
 
The Availability Excellence strategy represents our commitment to enhance the breadth and depth of our parts availability in our stores, and the speed of our parts delivery, to better serve both our Commercial and DIY customers. This strategy incorporates our supply chain and logistics network capabilities, space management and merchandising initiatives. We are making progress on the parts availability initiative as the merchandising and inventory management teams partner with the Commercial and DIY teams to accelerate sales growth. As discussed in Commercial Acceleration, key brands of parts such as Moog® and Wagner® were added during fiscal 2008. We began the rollout of a custom mix inventory process chain-wide. In addition, we reviewed our inventory productivity and changed our inventory management approach for slow moving inventory. We intend to increase our inventory productivity by reducing the amount of slow moving inventory and utilizing vendor return privileges earlier in the life-cycle of our inventory which will allow us to add faster moving custom mix inventory. We believe this change in inventory management approach will accelerate sales, improve margins and increase inventory turnover.
 
Progress in other initiatives included the restructuring of our merchandising department into an integrated operating model, the completion of an initial phase of a new category management process and the roll-out of a new price optimization tool. As previously announced, we are also implementing an Oracle merchandising system over a multi-year period which will serve as a key upgrade to our current merchandising systems. We recently launched the Company’s global sourcing capability and private brand strategy. In February 2009, we announced the outsourcing of our private vehicle fleet, which will allow more scheduling flexibility and reduce costs to help fund the expansion of our PDQ® network. We will continue to measure progress in our Availability Excellence strategy, using productivity metrics such as sales per square foot and gross margin return on inventory.  See Item 6, Selected Consolidated Financial Data, for a presentation of these and other key metrics.
 
22

 
Ø  
Superior Experience

Superior Experience is centered around our store operations and providing superior customer service. We have begun to evaluate our customer service through the measurement of Team Member engagement and customer satisfaction. We believe we will gain valuable information from these results which will drive improvement in our results in future quarters.  In the fourth quarter, we tested a new integrated operating model that demonstrated efficiencies in our Commercial delivery business and related acceleration in Commercial sales. This new staffing model will begin a phased-in rollout in the first quarter of 2009. The leaders of Superior Experience will be re-engineering the store experience and store operations as well as gaining a better understanding of what the customer ultimately wants.

Industry

The steep decline in consumer confidence, rapidly rising unemployment, the credit crisis and the single largest decline in annual miles driven presented challenges to retailers throughout fiscal 2008. More recently, retail industry comparable store sales represented the worst retail environment in 40 years. However, the automotive aftermarket industry will likely have an opportunity to benefit from the economic downturn because consumers are keeping their vehicles longer which increases the average age of vehicles and the need to repair and complete routine maintenance on those vehicles.

Although our fiscal 2008 results were positive, our outlook is cautious for fiscal 2009 given the current economic environment. We are still in the early stages of implementing our four key turnaround strategies. We are committed to making the necessary investments to help ensure our long-term success.

Store Development by Segment

The following table sets forth the total number of new, closed and relocated stores and stores with Commercial delivery programs during fiscal 2008, 2007 and 2006. We lease approximately 81% of our stores.
 
AAP
 
   
Fiscal Year
 
   
2008
   
2007
   
2006
 
Number of stores at beginning of year
    3,153       2,995       2,810  
   New stores
    109       175       190  
   Closed stores
    (19 )     (17 )     (5 )
Number of stores, end of period(a)
    3,243       3,153       2,995  
Relocated stores
    10       29       47  
Stores with commercial delivery programs
    2,755       2,604       2,439  
                         
AI
   
   
Fiscal Year
 
   
2008
   
2007
   
2006
 
Number of stores at beginning of year
    108       87       62  
   New stores
    18       21       25  
   Closed stores
    (1 )     -       -  
Number of stores, end of period
    125       108       87  
Stores with commercial delivery programs
    125       108       87  
 
(a)
Includes 2 stores not operating at December 30, 2006, primarily due to hurricane damage.
 
During fiscal 2009, we anticipate adding approximately 75 AAP and 30 AI stores and closing 10 to 15 stores, excluding the stores that may be closed in connection with our store divestiture plan.

23

 
Critical Accounting Policies

Our financial statements have been prepared in accordance with accounting policies generally accepted in the United States of America. Our discussion and analysis of the financial condition and results of operations are based on these financial statements. The preparation of these financial statements requires the application of accounting policies in addition to certain estimates and judgments by our management. Our estimates and judgments are based on currently available information, historical results and other assumptions we believe are reasonable. Actual results could differ materially from these estimates.

The preparation of our financial statements included the following significant estimates and exercise of judgment.

Vendor Incentives

We receive incentives from vendors as a result of purchasing and promoting their products through a variety of programs, including cooperative advertising allowances, volume rebates and other promotional incentives.  We account for vendor incentives in accordance with Emerging Issues Task Force, or EITF, No. 02-16, “Accounting by a Customer (Including a Reseller) for Certain Consideration Received from a Vendor.”  Many of the incentives are under long-term agreements (terms in excess of one year), while others are negotiated on an annual basis.  Cooperative advertising allowances and volume rebates are earned based on inventory purchases and are initially recorded as a reduction to inventory.  The deferred amounts are included as a reduction to cost of sales as the inventory is sold.

We recognize other promotional incentives earned under long-term agreements as a reduction to cost of sales. These incentives are recognized based on the cumulative net purchases as a percentage of total estimated net purchases over the life of the agreement. Our margins could be impacted positively or negatively if actual purchases or results from any one year differ from our estimates; however, the impact over the life of the agreement would be the same.  Short-term incentives (terms less than one year) are generally recognized as a reduction to cost of sales over the course of the agreements.

Amounts received or receivable from vendors that are not yet earned are reflected as deferred revenue. Management's estimate of the portion of deferred revenue that will be realized within one year of the balance sheet date is included in Other current liabilities. Earned amounts that are receivable from vendors are included in receivables except for that portion expected to be received after one year, which is included in Other assets, net.

Inventory Reserves

We establish reserves for inventory shrink for our distribution centers based on historical results from our cycle counting program and actual results from our most recent cycle counts. For our store locations, we establish reserves for estimated shrink based on historical results from our cycle counting program and results of physical inventories, as adjusted for current economic conditions if necessary. Beginning in the third quarter of fiscal 2008, we began transitioning to a physical inventory process and had completed physical inventories in approximately one-third of our retail stores as of January 3, 2009.

An increase (or decrease) to our inventory reserves is recorded as an increase (or decrease) to our cost of sales. Our estimates of these shrink reserves depend on the results of the independent physical inventory counts and the accuracy of the cycle count program, which is dependent on compliance rates of our facilities and the execution of the required procedures. We evaluate the accuracy of our cycle program on an ongoing basis and believe it provides reasonable assurance for the established inventory shrink reserves.  If estimates of our shrink reserves are inaccurate based on the inventory counts, we may be exposed to losses or gains that could be material.
 
We also have recorded reserves for potentially excess and obsolete inventories based on (i) current inventory levels, (ii) historical analysis of product sales and (iii) current market conditions. We provide reserves where less than full credit is expected from a vendor or where we anticipate that items will be sold at retail prices that are less than recorded cost. We have historically developed these estimates based on the determination of return privileges with vendors, the level of credit provided by the vendor and management’s estimate of the discounts to be recorded,
 
24

 
if any, required by market conditions.  At the end of fiscal 2008, we reviewed our inventory productivity and changed our inventory management approach for slow moving inventory. As a result, we increased our reserve for excess and obsolete inventories by $34.1 million, excluding a LIFO and warehousing cost impact of $3.4 million.

Our total inventory reserves increased by $27.3 million in fiscal 2008 compared to fiscal 2007 primarily as a result of the increase to our excess and obsolete inventory reserve. Future changes by vendors in their policies or willingness to accept returns of excess inventory or changes in our inventory management approach for excess and obsolete inventory could require us to revise our estimates of required reserves and result in a negative impact on our consolidated statement of operations. A 10% difference in actual inventory reserves at January 3, 2009 would have affected net income by approximately $3.9 million for the fiscal year ended January 3, 2009.

Warranty Reserves

We offer limited warranties on certain products that range from 30 days to lifetime warranties; the warranty obligation on the majority of merchandise sold by us with a manufacturer’s warranty is borne by our vendors.  However, we have an obligation to provide customers free replacement of merchandise or merchandise at a prorated cost if under a warranty and not covered by the manufacturer.  Merchandise sold with warranty coverage by us primarily includes batteries but may also include other parts such as brakes and shocks.  We estimate and record a reserve for future warranty claims based on the historical return experience of the products sold and record any change as income or expense in the period the product is sold. If claims experience differs from historical levels, revisions in our estimates may be required, which could have an impact on our consolidated statement of operations.

Our warranty reserves increased by $10.9 million in fiscal 2008 compared to fiscal 2007. A portion of this obligation is funded by incentives from our vendors. The overall increase in our warranty reserves was primarily attributable to an increase in the quantity and cost of batteries sold during fiscal 2008 as well as an increase in related warranty claims. Effective December 30, 2007, the Company also began including in its warranty reserves the warranty obligation on certain other products sold in addition to batteries.  A 10% change in the warranty reserves at January 3, 2009 would have affected net income by approximately $1.8 million for the fiscal year ended January 3, 2009.

Self-Insurance Reserves

We are self-insured for general and automobile liability, workers' compensation and the health care claims of our Team Members, although we maintain stop-loss coverage with third-party insurers to limit our total liability exposure. Our self-insurance program, started in 2001, has not reached full maturity. A reserve for liabilities associated with these losses is established for claims filed, claims incurred but not yet reported, projected future claims using actuarial methods followed in the insurance industry and our historical claims experience.  Each year, our reserve for self-insurance increases over the prior year because each year adds an additional layer of reserves without an equal amount of prior year reserves being fully relieved. Generally, claims have historically taken several years to settle and thus are not relieved at the same rate as additional reserves are added each year. Our self-insurance reserves increased by $5.0 million in fiscal 2008 compared to fiscal 2007. This increase was primarily the result of the increase in the number of workers’ compensation claims and automobile accident claims as well as an increase in the total cost to settle workers’ compensation claims as compared to the prior year.  Although the increase in self-insured reserves in fiscal 2008 is less than in fiscal 2007, the increase in the number of claims continues to be driven by overall growth, including an increase in total number of stores, employees and Commercial delivery vehicles.

While we do not expect the amounts ultimately paid to differ significantly from our estimates, our self-insurance reserves and corresponding selling, general and administrative expenses could be affected if future claim experience differs significantly from historical trends and actuarial assumptions. A 10% change in our self-insurance liabilities at January 3, 2009 would have affected net income by approximately $5.7 million for the fiscal year ended January 3, 2009.

25

 
Tax Reserves

The determination of our income tax liabilities is based upon the tax codes, regulations and pronouncements of the taxing jurisdictions in which we do business. Our income tax returns are periodically examined by those jurisdictions. These examinations include, among other things, auditing our filing positions, the timing of deductions and allocation of income among the various jurisdictions. At any particular time, multiple years are subject to examination by various taxing authorities.

In evaluating our income tax positions, we record reserves for potential exposures. These tax reserves are adjusted in the period actual developments give rise to such change. Those developments could be, but are not limited to: settlement of tax audits, expiration of the statute of limitations, the evolution of tax codes and regulations, along with varying applications of tax policy and administration within those jurisdictions.

These tax reserves contain uncertainties because management is required to make assumptions and apply judgment to estimate exposures associated with our various filing positions. Although management believes that the judgments and estimates are reasonable, actual results could differ and the company may be exposed to gains or losses that could be material. To the extent that actual results differ from our estimates, the effective tax rate in any particular period could be materially affected. Favorable tax developments would be recognized as a reduction in our effective tax rate in the period of resolution. Unfavorable tax developments would require an increase in our effective tax rate and a possible use of cash in the period of resolution.  A 10% change in the tax reserves at January 3, 2009 would have affected net income by approximately $1.4 million for the fiscal year ended January 3, 2009.

Components of Statement of Operations

Net Sales

Net sales consist primarily of merchandise sales from our retail store locations to both our DIY and Commercial customers. Our total sales growth is comprised of both comparable store sales and new store sales. We calculate comparable store sales based on the change in store sales starting once a store has been opened for 13 complete accounting periods (approximately one year). We include sales from relocated stores in comparable store sales from the original date of opening. Beginning in fiscal 2008, we also include in comparable store sales the net sales from the Offshore and AI stores. The comparable periods have been adjusted accordingly. Fiscal 2008 comparable store sales exclude the effect of the 53rd week.

Cost of Sales

Our cost of sales consists of merchandise costs, net of incentives under vendor programs; inventory shrinkage, defective merchandise and warranty costs; and warehouse and distribution expenses. Gross profit as a percentage of net sales may be affected by (i) variations in our product mix, (ii) price changes in response to competitive factors and fluctuations in merchandise costs, (iii) vendor programs, (iv) inventory shrinkage, (v) defective merchandise and warranty costs and (v) warehouse and distribution costs. We seek to minimize fluctuations in merchandise costs and instability of supply by entering into long-term purchasing agreements, without minimum purchase volume requirements, when we believe it is advantageous. Our gross profit may not be comparable to those of our competitors due to differences in industry practice regarding the classification of certain costs. See Note 2 to our consolidated financial statements elsewhere in this report for additional discussion of these costs.

Selling, General and Administrative Expenses

Selling, general and administrative (“SG&A”) expenses consist of store payroll, store occupancy (including rent and depreciation), advertising expenses, Commercial delivery expenses, other store expenses and general and administrative expenses, including salaries and related benefits of store support center team members, share-based compensation expense, store support center administrative office expenses, data processing, professional expenses, self-insurance costs and other related expenses. See Note 2 to our consolidated financial statements for additional discussion of these costs.

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Consolidated Results of Operations

The following table sets forth certain of our operating data expressed as a percentage of net sales for the periods indicated.
 
   
Fiscal Year Ended
 
   
January 3,
   
December 29,
   
December 30,
 
   
2009
   
2007
   
2006